NBA WED 111809 early thoughts - value hunting

peteyboy

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weird ass line movement today on some of these totals... they moved 3-5 points of the opening and then are almost right back to where they started. WEIRD:scared :scared :scared
 

Truckin'

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Locked for 7PM games

no worries bro. I'm guessing. :)

Will this be all your guesses for the night?
or
U still got a couple darts to throw????? :142smilie

BOL

Where have you been most of the day... We might have to get a Ban for you on the MOJO Forum :scared
 

Truckin'

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:padlock:

Celtics: - 16.5

That's all for now; may revisit the Cleveland/Washington game in a minute - and, if pressed, would lean towards the Wizards.

Best of luck to all - hope everyone comes out on top w/ dinero/$$$ tonight... :slomo:

BOL ETZ :0corn
 

Truckin'

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I agree here......................MIA made a few pushes to make it close last night, but fell well short. Interesting lines for both these teams today then........

Everyone loves D-Wade - myself included - one of the good ones. So here they get all these points against the Hawks........................oh the public will love this. Now, if MIA can't look after a young athletic team at home, then have to travel to take on a young athletic team with rest.........I think ATL will look after MIA tonight.

Now, the other team involved - OKC - now get more than a handful of points against the Magic............seems like a setup to me. A team that just beat the Heat, now only has to stay within double digits of this ORL team................hmmmmmm. Seems too easy. Off an emotional win on the road, travelling and playing a waiting and rested ORL team.......OKC would worry me.

CLEV line seems waaaay fishy............
This team needs to develop that killer instinct to put away teams. They made the game last night far more interesting than it should have been........with no semblance of defense - as all us on the under know.....

Now this same GS team has just as many points against BOS tonight. We - and Vegas - all know how the public has such short term memory. They will love all these points tonight - but I like BOS intense nature to look after this patch-work team that is only dressing 7 players at the moment I think..................1st Q or half number will be interesting.

HOU jumped out to a big lead last night and then lost to this surprising PHX team..........now travelling and playing a rested waiting MINN team - though they are 1-10...............

Toronto and NJ both looked terrible last night. Toronto was sooo tired in the 2nd half of last nights game, and the DEN / UTAH trip is a tough one with the elevation. If UTAH was playing like they were in synch, I would not hesitate taking them tonight. As it is, I still could not imagine taking NJ or TO tonight.....................ML parlay against them tonight...................hmmm????

GL to all tonight. :0corn
FWIW - an excellent capper likes BUFF-4 tonight in NCAAF for those that are interested or may have comments. :toast:

GL BW :toast:
 

barts185

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weird ass line movement today on some of these totals... they moved 3-5 points of the opening and then are almost right back to where they started. WEIRD:scared :scared :scared

Been happening a lot this season.

My own belief is that it's taking a lot less money to move the lines these days, and you have groups that have realized they can move the lines, so are doing one of 2 things:

1) Making bets opposite of what they want, knowing that people follow the screen and will push the line up even more, and then they make the bets they really want for more money, and the line comes back down.

2) People going for middles on lines they think are correct but know that they can move.
 

axp59

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Oct 8, 2008
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Will this be all your guesses for the night?
or
U still got a couple darts to throw????? :142smilie

BOL

Where have you been most of the day... We might have to get a Ban for you on the MOJO Forum :scared

LMAO truck. Got a few darts left pal and yes, ban me PLEASE.

I've been reading like I always do. There's great info and unless I see something really out of whack, I just keep my mouth shut.
 

softballmaniac

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Holy mackeral, just got back and read thru the thread. A lot going on here. I wrote down all your plays and i am rooting for you guys just like i have action on them myself. :00hour BOLTA tonight fellas!!!
 

axp59

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Serg, you might have the right side on that game. I'm having second thoughts now :scared Well the bet is in. :shrug:
 

grindstone

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Mar 18, 2009
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Damn Serg, it's one of those days I see. I forced myself to stay home tonight and watch some of these games. I'll see if I have a play at 9 and at 10. BOL to you my friend.

Thanks alot Sir knowing your track record it always worries me when I'm against you. The good thing is that one of us will be a winner tonight. I guess I will have to do a little :mj09: :00x11

Hey AX sent you an email sir GL
 

axp59

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Got the email Serg. We're good to go. Very acute and funny observation BTW.


back to business. OKC was a good play. hey, good plays are lost sometimes.

Looking at maybe playing DET and the Over as my nightcap.
 

grindstone

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Got the email Serg. We're good to go. Very acute and funny observation BTW.


back to business. OKC was a good play. hey, good plays are lost sometimes.

Looking at maybe playing DET and the Over as my nightcap.

No troubles my friend was close till the end. Let me give you the public # on the late game

Spread %

Det 79%
Port 21%

Total %
75% Over
25% Under


I don't really ahve a feel for this game AX :confused:
 

BillyBatts

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Mar 31, 2009
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This was one of my initial leans, I then capped the game at 182. The one thing that really makes me like this under, is the fact that the Bobs can really struggle to score points on the road. In 3 out of thier 5 road games, they've failed to score 80 :scared In those 3, they svg a whopping total of 71. Philly is no Lockdown "D" but I see Charlotte scoring in the low 80's at best. I see an 85-82 type game. :director:



Dammit, final was 86-84. I had a great read on this game and passed. :mad:

Oh well, how bout those Wizzards???:00hour
 

ChumpChange

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Mar 23, 2009
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Got the email Serg. We're good to go. Very acute and funny observation BTW.


back to business. OKC was a good play. hey, good plays are lost sometimes.

Looking at maybe playing DET and the Over as my nightcap.

Hamilton and Prince are out !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:nono:
 
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