NBA Week of Dec13-19

grandpa

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Nov 2, 2004
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Still only 10-11 on posted plays, but actually much better in the real world, with line changes, halftimes, add-ons, etc.

Got a play for today, with a funky reason, but pretty good one so far.

Dallas -9 (played at 8.5 last night)

Dallas 7-3 ATS on the road, but the real reason is the every-other-game persona of their opponent - Da Bulls. They won and covered last outing v TWolves, so they will not cover here. Why, you say?

The Bulls are 9-9 ATS this year, Once they lost two straight ATS, and once they won two straight ATS. Up to date, if a bettor had played the Bulls all year in every game after the opener to alternate between covers and non-covers, that bettor would be 15-2. The last 12 games have alternated LWLWLWLWLWLW (ATS), so it stands to reason that tonight is a loser.

Fortunately I noticed this pattern 6 games ago, so I am 6-0 on my last 6 Bulls games. Sounds silly, I know, I know, but it's my POD.

GL All
 

gsp

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Now that you posted it might never happen again. Hope it dones tonight. Good luck
 

grandpa

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Of course the carousel has come to a grinding halt. It's like on those SAT tests or other aptitude measurers, only it was a trick question!

Mavs steal the victory outright, but never threaten the cover.

10-12-0 YTD now
 

grandpa

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Man, it's hard to get over the hump as I keep just missing. Hawks blow 12 point lead and get blown out in OT. Utah can't finish off Clips, even though LA off of a 2OT/travel game. Even Sac-Milw threatened to go to OT and burn me, but had to settle for 1-2 on posteds, running posted ttl to 11-14.

Takin another shot on Wednesday with:

Suns/Jazz over 207.5

Knicks +3

Hawks +11.5
 
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