NCAA 11/1 through 11/5

AL FARR

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 20, 2003
2,206
55
48
S.C.
CONN. @ W. VIR.

CONN. @ W. VIR.

M.C.,

Glad you got alittle last night.
Think Conn. tries to play ball
control tonight, the old keep-
away game. Can't see them
scoring more than 14. Strange
things happen in Morgantown
on week night game. W. Vir.
may just look for win and wait
for the big boys to go @ each
other this week-end. For those
reasons i'm playing the under
44.5. I"ve been looking heay
@ S.Fla @ Rutgers want to pull
triger on BIG play,cap it and tell
me what you come out with.

AL FARR
 

Master Capper

Emperior
Forum Member
Jan 12, 2002
9,104
11
0
Dunedin, Florida
Al,

Looks like we are in agreement as I played the under early this morning! The gods must of been on our side last night for the over but thank god good ole Watson has no remorse about running the score up
 

Joe De

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2002
1,440
1
0
al farr

i show s. fla winning s/u against the rutger green qb
one of my top plays
 

Master Capper

Emperior
Forum Member
Jan 12, 2002
9,104
11
0
Dunedin, Florida
AL.

Agree with JoeDe on SFLA, I have capped the game and it shows that SFLA should be the favorite in this tilt. I will post all the games in a few minutes!
 

Master Capper

Emperior
Forum Member
Jan 12, 2002
9,104
11
0
Dunedin, Florida
MC's Projections
These are based on a projection model that I have been working on for awhile, one weakness is the ability to adjust the factors for injuries or suspensions as UCONN is an example of this in this weeks projections.


Projections

UAB by 7.7
UCONN by 2.7
Louisville by 22
Toledo by 23.5
MSU by 14.2
Rutgers 4.2
BC 16.4
UVA 38.9
Minn 13.7
NW 2.4
GT 18.1
FLA 26.0
Clem 39.4
WMU 7.4
NILL 2.3
BG 25.2
Navy 2.8
SCAR 4.5
Akron 6.0
TXTech 20.0
Mia Oh 40.7
ND 14.3
BYU 8.6
Boise 36.3
Utah 9.4
LTech 32.7
SMU 11.3
Texas 26.7
ORST 17.6
OSU 28.7
IWST 20.6
COL 3.3
KANSAS 0.5
Air Force 3.0
VT 6.8
Oreg 3.5
PSU 21.6
AUB 48.6
Reno 8.9
CFU 8.1
UCLA 25.5
USC 33.3
Bama 22.2
TCU 10.4
Wazzou 5.4
FSU 19.8
Tulsa 6.6
Fresno 33.6
Troy 8.8
Monroe 11.1
ARKST 3
ULLAF 11.6


Rushing Dogs Theory
Cal
Texas AM
Ark State
South FLA
Mizzou
Wake
Wazzou
Rice

Defensive Dogs Theory
Miami FLA
Kansas
Tenn

Rush defense mismatches this week
Minn over Ind
ULLAF over NTEX

Pass Defense mismatches
Texas Tech over Texas AM
OREGST over Wash

Best overall offensive match ups
Wazzou and ASU
Tech and AM

Best overall defensive matchups
VT and Miami
FSU and NCST
Kansas and Nebraska

Possible weather factors
Oreg heavy rain
Ohio heavy rain
 

Master Capper

Emperior
Forum Member
Jan 12, 2002
9,104
11
0
Dunedin, Florida
Have a baseball doubleheader to play in tomorrow starting at 9 in the morning if the rain holds off and will more than likely have a few cocktails after the games so posting my plays early. Played 11 of the games as straight wagers and 13 of them in multiple parlay plays and then wheeled them.

South Fla under 47.5-CRIS Single

BC-4 Single

Hoosiers +13 Single

NW +3 Double

Eastern Mich +3 Single

CMU under 50.5 Single

Tulane +12.5 Double

Hogs-4 Single

Texas AM +17 Single

BYU over 56 Single

Utah -2.5 Single

Rice +8 Single

Orgst-3 Double

Mizzou +12.5 Double

Nebraska pick Single

Army +12 Double

ORG under 59.5 Single

PSU -10.5 Single

AUB -22 DOUBLE

Reno-4.5 Single

Wazzou ML

Tulsa +9 Single

Troy State-3 Single

ArkST+6 Double

Good Luck Cappers!!!!
 
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