Ncaa Early Look

[Master Capper]

Bgold, thanks for the input on SD State, played it last night.

Joe,

Vandy, I think this game is a complete crap shoot, both teams have been money burners all year.

UTEP,
They made a QB change last week and Carson Palmers brother is now starting but the team still has a long way to go. SMU is capable of covering the 12 but again when you have two bad teams matched up it comes down to turnovers, pass for me, lean SMU.

Air Force,
Interesting game here you have the number 1 ranked rushing off Navy going against the number 29 rush def, and the number 2 rushing off Air Force going against the number 62 rushing d. On the other hand you have the 110th Passing Off Navy going against the 68th ranked Passing D and the 114th ranked Passing O in Air Force going against the number 32 Passing D. If you watched East Carolina try to pass the ball imigane how bad Navy is trying to pass they are completeing passes at a 45% clip. Air Force when they pass complete the pass at a 60% clip, but they they have only aired it out 74 times this year, only Rice and Neb have attempted less passes. Navy has the advantage in takeaways between the two teams, but as you can see this game is going to be a clock eater with both teams running the ball at a 75-80% clip, so Navy and the points would be the safer bet.

Tenn-Aub.

Still undecided

Memphis-UAB
Although Memphis is the better team UAB has a streak going of covering 75% of their last 20 conf USA games.

Georg-Bama

Any chance this will be a look ahead game for the Dawgs? They have Vols next week.

Troy State
You would think Troy State would be able to get inside the big number, but I wouldnt base it on Neb not being able to pass because other than Rice no team has a lower completion percentage than Troy St only 40%.

 

[Joe De]

Mc..just a suggestion..on Tennessee...my numbers are strong ..do not go against.. one of my strong plays ..this will be one goood game...One thing for sure...next week they each play difficult teams....bet against these two teams because they will be deplelted..especially Auburn..they play Georgia

Georgia..will be a strong play for me

I have played so far:
Houston-1'
ARk St -8'
Troy st+27'
ballst+2'
Tulsa+12'...i would not chase this below this number
Kansas St.+6

Played these Monday

Treading very Lightly this week...

 

[x2man]

MC:
What is ur take on the Memphis/UAB game?
I attended the Baylor/UAB game and this UAB team is just horrible. Memphis has a triple revenge game at home against this team. Mem -9 is really very tempting at this point.
Memphis has played some pretty decent teams the last few week on their why to a 3-1 record and 2-1 ATS.
Only good whipping was against So. MIss where they were beat
23-6, but Memphis had 6 turnovers with 3 ints and 3 fumbles.
If u look at the stats, Memphis really hung tough against USM, I really think if not for the turnovers the outcome would have been different.

Mem USM
First downs 17 14
Rushes-yards 39-192 49-205
Passing 182 102
Comp-Att-Int 16-36-3 7-25-1
Return Yards 22 153
Punts-Avg. 9-40 9-37
Fumbles-Lost 4-3 3-2
Penalties-Yards 9-57 4-20
Time of Possession 27:17 32:43

I'm putting a good side wager on this game. Your opinion is
really appreciated.

 

[taoist]

Joe,

...actually Tennessee plays Georgia next week, not Auburn.... But I agree that both teams will be depleated after the game this weekend..... It should be a slugfest.

 

[Master Capper]

Joe,

Don't get me wrong about the Vols I may be on them this week just still checking out a few more sources of info before I committ. I am off Kent now, Alston there top back is out for the season, they thought he had turf toe but his foot is broken, thus they are toying with the idea of starting the Flanker Robinson at tailback. If Alston had played then Kent more than likely would of won the game straight up, but Cribbs is also hurt so the Flashes are a mess on offense.

X2man
Right now I have Memphis winning by 11-13 points vs UAB, both teams have decent defenses and UAB has a amazing streak going of cover 75% of their last 20 Conf USA games. I am going to defer this question to JoeDe, he keeps close tabs on teams in that neck of the woods and I am sure he will share his observations on this game.

Taoist,

Absolutely agree.

 

[Bama6895]

Joe,

Why would Shula go for the endzone. We had already held Ark. He was playing for 3 because that would have got the victory. He was trying to get a few extra yards for our kicker. It would have been stupid IMO for him to have thrown it with a QB who had seperated his shoulder earlier and risk and INT. We did not need an TD to win, we needed any score. So basically, I think you are dead wrong about last week and Shula's ability to coach.

Also not sure where this disciplin problem came from? This past week the 3rd string DT (T. Britt) was suspended because of a resisting arrest. That is not a problem, that is an idiot. However, I would like to hear why you say we have a problem in this area.

As for UGA, I am laying off because of the amount of injuries Bama has. Croyle might not play, plus the Odom (starting DE), and Pope (starting LB). Plus 2 defensive tackles could be out, but unsure (Childress and Clark). So I can not bet against Bama. However, I think going against Bama in this situation would be a smart move.

 

[Joe De]

thx on info on Kent St....my number this week showed 3 strong wins...
Houston, Tennessee and Ball State..

Tennesse and Ball State fit Laugher Picks

Houston was a favoritewhich does not qualify for a Laugher pick.

The other favorite came up strong Arkansas State..but is contain to under 9 points to play

another that came up strong was Washington-1'

Do you have any strong plays yet?

 

[Master Capper]

West Virg @ Miami (ranking out of 117 Div 1A schools)

WVU Run OFF 190.25 (25th) Miami Run D 116.00 (33)
Miami Run Off 166.25 (66th) WVU Run D 187.50 (96)

WVU Passing O 123.3 (113th) Miami Pass D 171.25 (25th)
Miami Passin O 251.3 (38th) WVU Pass D 206.25 (61st)

Turnovers
WVU 12 takeaways 5 giveaways (number 6 in country)
Miami 11 takeaways 10 giveaways (50th)

Punting
WVu Net Punting 34.48 (83rd)
Miami Net Punting 32.15 yards (104)

Punt Returns
WVU 5.3 yards per return (106)
Miami 22.2 yards per return (#1)

Kick off Returns
WVU 23.94 (26th)
Miami 32.36 (6th)

Strength of schedule based on cumulative opposition
Miami 18th
WVU 30th

Strength of Schedule based on games played
WVU 57th in country
Miami 78

 

[Master Capper]

Joe,

Still tinkering around but right now Washington Huskies, Temple (which I dont trust), San Diego St, NC State, La Tech, Tenn, NW, Ind, Northern ILL, and Penn State are so far looking like strong plays. Still have some more things to look at so as usual this is a work in progress, hope to have it wrapped up tonight.

 

[AR182]

mc,

i always read your threads, i find them very informative.

fwiw, i like nw,latech & tenn. i don't know if thats good for you since i'm only hitting at .500.

good luck & thanks for the info

 

[zack2345]

master capper, im the new guy, ive been comin here for about 2 years n i love your picks, always good info too. Im young so im probaly gonna have a lot of questions, hope you guys can help me out.

this week i like tenn, mich, penn st., and oregon

seen both auburn n tenn play, auburn showed me absolutely nothing....i just cant see how iowa could beat michigan, i really dont think that oregon game was any type of example on what mich is really about.....i realize penn. st. has been playin bad too but they only lost to nebraska by 8 at nebraska and had a chance to beat minnesota this weekend, n sorgi for wisconsin isnt that good in my mind i think penn. st. is gonna suprise people this week, and this oregon game just seems too easy, i mean maybe im overlookin somethin but i saw utah play n i just dont think they're better than oregon......i would love to hear peoples thoughts on these picks, and or advice

 

[Master Capper]

Zack,

Can't see anything wrong with any of your plays actually all four of those teams I am considering playing, agree with your on Mich, also remember this is a big revenge game for the Wolves. Iowa went into the Big House last year and absolutely pounded Michigan. Penn State is due and a change of qb's may inigorate the stagnate offense. I am starting to wonder about the Oreg line as too many folks are bettint Oreg and the line is rising. Good luck with your plays there are many good handicappers that post information here and most of them are open to answering questions that you may have.

 

[Master Capper]

Thursday Night Action

Week 1-0 +1.0
Season 47-28-1 +20.6 Units



WVU @ Miami

I really don't care for a side here because I just don't see how WVU will be able to move the ball on Miami and put anything in the end zone, on the other hand if the game gets out of hand early how long will Coker keep his starters in the game? Canes have FSU on deck and I doubt he will risk injury, thus I am afraid of a backdoor cover here. WVU sorely misses Coburne the whole offense revolved around his running, it set up the passing game and they have yet to find a back to take over the reigns. Marshall is not a pure passer and to set up his passing he must have a rushing threat or else the defense crowds the line and takes away his lanes for running. What really bothers me about WVU's offense is that vs Maryland, a good team but not the same status as Miami, WVU had only 74 total yards at the end of 3 quarters, they ended up with 156 total yards but nearly 50% of the yards came at garbage time when Maryland was up 34-0. Tonight WVU faces a secondary that has 4 guys nominated for the Thorpe award, so passing is going to be tough for Marshall. I am playing this game under 55 points for a small 1 unit play, but I am also following Horns play on the Canes 1st quarter.


Good Luck Cappers!!!!!!!

 

[Bama6895]

JOE

Check my post just a little earlier in the thread. I was wondering your opinion on the questions raised in it.

Thanks in advance.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

1 unit play on Houston Cougars-1
line has dropped nearly three points creating decent value on the Cougars. Briles has installed a new direction that is looking promising, he is the first coach in school history that has actually played for the Cougars. ECU is really hyping this game in the Greenville community, pulling out all stops to get a large crowd for the game, they are even going to have drawing for all students that attend the game for free tution. ECU has absolutely no passing game, but their defense is not bad and I see them keeping this game close with the Cougars prevailing 20-17.

easy winner for BOTH of us.

gl the rest of the way.

 

[Joe De]

Bama..Shula probably made the wiser decision to run.

..

 

[Master Capper]

Oreg @ Utah (ranking of the 117 Div 1A teams)

Oreg Rushing Off 155.40 (57th) Utah Rush D 130.3 (50th)
Utah Rushing Off 183.25 (29th) Oreg Rush D 59.2 (6th)

Oreg Pass Off 293.00 (20th) Utah Pass D 234.50 (76th)
Utah Pass Off 171.0 (95th) Oreg Pass D 270.0 (103)


Turnovers
Oreg 11 takeaways 14 giveaways (85th in country)
Utah 14 takeaways 8 giveaways (10th in country)

Kicking
Siegel (Oreg) 6 attempts 4 makes avg 0.80 per game (64)
Borreson (Utah) 4 att 3 makes avg .75 per game (72nd)

Punt Returns
Oreg 11.82 (25th)
Utah 7.43 (83rd)

Net Punting
Oreg 33.83 (89th)
Utah 36.88 (36th)

Kickoff Returns
Oreg 22.0 (48th)
Utah 22.88 (35th)

Strength of Schedule Cumulative
Oreg (37)
Utah (68)

Strength of Schedule based on Past opponets
Oreg (77th)
Utah (93rd)

 

[King Cobra]

Are you playing tonights game? I was thinking of playing Utah plus the points which side are you playing?

 

[Master Capper]

Week 2-0 +2.0
Season 48-28-1 +21.6 Units


Oreg @ Utah

Which Duck's team will take the field tonight the team that was humbled by Washington State or the team that outplayed Michigan the first half of the game? I really hate to bite the hand that has been feeding me, but tonight I am just going to have to go against the Running Utes, I have been riding the Ute's hard this year and they have been covering each week I have played them but tonight I am going to go against the utes and hop on the public train and take the Ducks. The utah and CSU final score was really misleading as CSU had two fumble returns returned for TD's by the Utes, but the Ute's have thrived on forcing the turnover all year. Oreg weakness on defense has been stopping the pass, but even though Smith went 17-21 against CSU most of those were dinks and dunks, so I look for Oreg to overload the box to stop Warfield and force Smith to beat them. The Ute's are meeting a team tonight that in my opinion has a slightly better offense than Cal, and if you watched the Ute's play Cal then you know that Cal moved the ball quite easily on the Ute's but was snake bit by turnovers, so I think Oreg is going to move the ball on the Ute's and if this game turns into a shootout I can't see the Ute's matching Oreg. The pressure is on Belloti here if he loses this game the chances of getting into a attractive bowl are diminshed with the bulk of the Pac 10 schedule looming, if they lose here he will have a hell of a time getting the team fired up the rest of the season knowing that more than likely they will be going to the Seattle Bowl again.

Again another small play not too overly enthused with the game thus Oreg-3 for 1 unit, predicted outcome Oreg 31 Utah 24.


Good Luck Cappers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[King Cobra]

Just curious why would you against a team that just went on the road and beat a good team and should be undefeated this year?