NCAA FB PREVIEWS

Lumi

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Cal could be Golden


Okay, let's be truthful. Did any of you really think a few years ago that Jeff Tedford would still be in Berkeley for what will be his eighth season in charge of Cal football? Considering the high-profile college and pro jobs supposedly offered Tedford's way the past several years, it's indeed a bit of a surprise that he remains in charge of the Bears, especially since school administrators have been slow to implement the facility upgrades Tedford sought in order to keep him entrenched in the East Bay. Tedford thus becomes the longest-serving Cal mentor since Ray Willsey spent eight seasons between1964-71...when things were really fun in Berkeley.




Another group of potential Tedford suitors is likely to emerge after the upcoming campaign, with the Golden Bears again pegged to finish in the top half of the Pac-10 and expected to be "bowling" for the seventh straight season. Like most recent campaigns, however, the Bears figure to be chasing Pete Carroll and USC, and unless Tedford can beat the Trojans for the first time since 2003 when the teams meet October 3 in Strawberry Canyon, Cal's Rose Bowl drought is likely to grow to an exasperating 51 years.

The bigger question in Berkeley is whether Cal has hit something of a ceiling under Tedford, under whom a succession of minor bowl appearances (such as the Armed Forces and Emerald the past two seasons)has begun to mildly irritate excitable vet play-by-play man Joe Starkey and Golden Bear backers that once would have killed for any bowl appearance at all. And for this to be the first serious Cal push in the national rankings since 2004 largely depends upon whether Tedford can groom one of three available QBs (junior Kevin Riley, who started most of '08, along with jumbo sized 6-5 soph Brock Mansion & RS frosh Beau Sweeney) to resemble Kyle Boller and Aaron Rodgers, Tedford's first two QBs at Cal but whom none of the successive signal-callers has come close to replicating, somewhat tarnishing Tedford's once-unquestioned rep as a QB guru. Most Pac-10 sources believe the job is Riley's to lose, which hardly comforts Bear supporters now accustomed to his inconsistencies.

In the meantime, whoever is at QB will likely be spending considerable time handing off to electric RBs Jahvid Best (the nation's leading returning rusher after gaining 1580 YR in '08) and Shane Vereen, who added another 715 YR. Tedford will also be looking for a go-to threat to emerge from a big and fast corps of wideouts; it could be athletic former Florida transfer Nyan Boateng, who caught 29 balls LY, or perhaps sophs Alex Lagemann (a possession WR who missed '08 due to injury) or Marvin Jones, each of whom flashed considerable upside in spring. Experience returns along an OL that opened up enough holes for Best, Vereen, and other Cal backs to gain a hefty 5.6 ypc in '08, but must replace stud C Alex Mack (a first-round choice of the Browns) and respected OL coach Jim Michalczik (now with the NFL Raiders after briefly joining Steve Sarkisian's new staff at Washington). The return of injury-prone LT Mike Tepper (granted a 6th year of eligibility) to team with mammoth RT Mitchell Schwartz does provide a potentially-nasty pair of bookends for the OL, however.

Meanwhile, underrated d.c. Bob Gregory (on the radar for HC jobs) authored a seamless transition to 3-4 looks for his stop unit in '08, and few teams will have a better pair of DEs than sr. Tyson Alualu and jr. Cameron Jordan. The play of backups in spring suggested Gregory could go 6 or 7-deep up front. And the 2ndary might be one of the nation's best, returning all four starters from a unit that ranked 6th nationally in pass "D" and snagged 24 picks, third best in the land. The questions on the stop unit are at the LB spots, where Gregory must replace the anchors (all-Pac-10 honorees Zack Follett, Anthony Felder, and Worrell Williams) from LY's 3-4. Senior OLBs Devin Bishop & Eddie Young, however, are the sort of speed rushers off the edge that can generate necessary pressure.

Summary...It's a bit odd that we're talking about a Jeff Tedford-coached team that seems to have the pieces in place for a run at a BCS berth...except for a reliable passing game. That, however, is a scenario that's been repeated like a broken record in Berkeley the past four years. So unless Riley or one of the other QBs finally emerge as a consistent leader, Cal could be stuck in minor bowl territory once more. Note, however, that the Bears did rediscover their pointspread magic at home LY, covering all 7 of their games at Strawberry Canyon.
 

Lumi

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Navy preview

Navy preview

Navy preview


If the game-day programs hadn't told us otherwise, we would have sworn that Navy was still operating with HC Paul Johnson on the sidelines last fall. After all, the '08 Mids certainly resembled their previous several editions under Johnson, who took his brand of sorcery to Georgia Tech after the 2007 campaign. But the transfer of power in Annapolis to new HC Ken Niumatalolo was even smoother than between the Bush and Obama administrations. Niumatalolo, a long-time protege' of Johnson's from his days as a QB at the University of Hawaii to working as Johnson's o.c. at Navy, maintained the continuity, which was the primary reason AD Chet Gladchuck sought Niumatalolo as Johnson's successor in the first place. The clever Mid spread option that served Johnson so well in Annapolis (and at Georgia Tech last year) operated in much the same manner last fall under Niumatalolo, with Navy again among the nation's top rushing teams and qualifying for its sixth straight bowl game in the process. And, most importantly, a 7th straight win for the Annapolis bunch over Army, which succumbed meekly by a 34-0 count in Philadelphia, not to mention Navy's record sixth straight Commander-in-Chief's trophy.





The recipe will stay much the same this fall, although some of the ingredients in the mix have been changed. The assembly line of Midshipmen option QBs spits out a new model this year in jr. Ricky Dobbs, not a completely unfamiliar face to Navy fans after a handful of relief appearances last fall in place of the graduated Kaipo-Noa Keahaku-Enhada, who bravely battled a balky hamstring for much of '08. Dobbs, however, is bigger and faster than Kaipo, and gave Mid fans a taste of what might be to come in a rather incredible 42-carry, 224-yard, 4-TD performance in last October's 34-7 romp past SMU. It's worth noting that Navy didn't even bother to attempt a pass in that game (played mostly in a downpour) vs. the Mustangs, becoming the first college team to do so in 11 years, or since Ohio U. similarly shunned any aerial diversion in a 1997 win over Akron.

But don't take the quirky dynamics and stat box of that SMU game as an indicator of what the Navy option is likely to do with Dobbs at the tiller, because regional scouts remind us that Dobbs was actually a pass-first QB at Douglas County HS (Georgia), where he threw 28 TDs as a senior. And though we've heard the forecasts of improved Mid passing numbers (which rarely materialize) like a broken record in recent years, Dobbs indeed has the arm to stretch enemy defenses if need be, perfect to sneak a pass downfield when opposing stops units least expect it.

Dobbs, however, is only one of several new weapons in the Mid torpedo bay that was depleted following the graduations not only of Kaipo, but slamming FB Eric Kettani (982 YR LY) and homerun slot back Shun White (1092 YR and a whopping 8.3 ypc in '08). New FB Alex Teich is a bit undersized (200 lbs.) compared to preceding battering rams such as Kettani & Kyle Eckel, but hits the hole quickly on Navy's trademark FB-dive plays, while slot-back Bobby Doyle demonstrated big-play potential when gaining a whopping 10.6 ypc in limited action last season. Fleet WR Tyree Barnes also departed after catching almost half (20) of Navy's pass completions in '08, so another speed-burner, jr. Mario Washington, will be asked to fill that underutilized but often important role. As usual, expect another well-coordinated Mid OL that returns three starters to again effectively pave the way.

The real pleasant surprise last season was the improvement of the Navy stop unit that cut over 14 ppg from its '07 allowance. Shrewd, longtime Mid d.c. Buddy Green has plenty of scheming experience with his 3-4 alignments, and with more foot speed at his disposal was able to wreak a bit more havoc than usual in '08, helping Navy to a +15 TO margin. Though still a bit undersized, each level of the platoon features playmakers, including quick DE Jabanee Tuani & NT Nate Frazier up front, sr. LBs Ross Pospisil & Clint Sovie, & FS Wyatt Middleton.

Summary...The beat goes on at Navy, and given how the spread option has been able to consistently plug in different components with no dropoff in recent years, there's no reason to think this fall's new faces on offense (especially exciting QB Dobbs) won't deliver. And since the Mid "D" doesn't appear to be a liability any longer, another bowl bid beckons despite a challenging schedule that takes Navy halfway around the globe (at Ohio State, Pitt, Rice, SMU, Notre Dame...as well as a special trip for Niumatalolo to his native Hawaii in late November).
 

Lumi

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Oklahoma St. preview

Oklahoma St. preview

Oklahoma St. preview


Much is expected of Oklahoma State, which finished 16th in the final AP poll last season after a 7-0 start. The wide-open Cowboy attack (41 PPG; 8th in rushing; 6th in total offense) was broadly praised for its versatility, clever design, and supreme balance. However, OSU's season ended in relative disappointment, with losses in four of its last six games, as the Cowboys could neither outscore nor significantly disrupt Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma and Oregon, allowing 47 PPG in those four setbacks.

OSU's frustration was typified in its final contest vs. Oregon in the Holiday Bowl, which the Cowboys led 17-7 at the half with dazzling WR Dez Bryant having already collected nine receptions. However, Bryant suffered an injured knee ligament in the second half, and the Ducks repeatedly ripped off big chunks of yardage while outscoring OSU 35-14 for a 42-31 Oregon victory.


In establishing the priorities for this season, Cowboy coach Mike Gundy says, "I've referred to the bowl game from a toughness standpoint. We've always prided ourselves here at Oklahoma State on being tough. But we weren't tough in that ball game." Gundy knows that his team is going to have to be deeper across the board in order to challenge the top teams in the powerful Big XII South. And, to his credit, Gundy is recruiting fewer quick-fix jucos, landing improved newcomer classes of freshmen, more of whom are now being redshirted. He will have to use every edge at his disposal this season after his defense (109th vs. the pass, 93rd in total defense, 107th in sacks with only 13) lost its starting DTs and three of its starting DBs.

Fortunately, incoming defensive coordinator Bill Young (an OSU grad and former assistant who ran the defense. last season at Miami after the previous six at Kansas) will have something to work with this fall. Sr. CB Perrish Cox, an NFL prospect with two ints. and two KR TDs last year, returns on one corner. The starting LB corps returns intact, and there's depth with sr. backup LB and STs ace Donald Booker. And Young should have an improved rotation at DE with returnees Ugo Chinasa, Derek Burton & Jeremiah Price backed up by promising soph Richetti Jones and juco Darius Hart, a potential speed rusher (a one-time WR) who enrolled early in order to go through spring practice. Other juco defenders who reported early are DT Horrace Hubbard & DB Andrew McGee. Sr. NT Swanson Miller is being counted upon to hold the fort in the middle while younger Cowboys earn their spurs. But an established rotation was not set in the secondary coming out of spring.

Things are not so problematic for the star-studded 2009 offense, where heady sr. spread QB Zac Robinson (65%, 25 TDs, 10 INT, 562 YR in 2008) has bulked up to withstand the pounding (and prepare for the NFL), quick 5-8 Kendall Hunter (1555 YR, 6.5 YPC) leads a deep group of RBs, and last year's OL backups are expected to fill in the vacancies at C & RG without difficulty (returning LT Russell Okung is considered a potential first-round NFL pick). Rehabbing big-play WR Bryant (87 REC, 1480 yards, team-record 19 TDC, plus two more TDs on PRs) was held out of spring drills, but is expected to be okay by August. Srs. Keith Toston (686 YR) & Beau Johnson (357) are quality backups at RB for the elusive Hunter, and 5-11, 225 RS frosh RB Kye Staley adds a short-yardage dimension. WR depth is a different matter due to the suspension of sr. possession type Bo Bowling. 6-1 soph Hubert Anyiam and 6-1 RS frosh Justin Blackmon both developed into improved targets in the spring. TE production is nearly certain to decline with the loss of Brandon Pettigrew as Detroit's second pick in the first round.

PK Dan Bailey (15 of 19 FGs in 2008) is back, but projected new P Quinn Sharp did not live up to his surname in the spring.

Summary...Oklahoma State finds itself in many preseason top tens, which seems a bit lofty for a team that has never won the Big XII South and that once again has stop unit issues after never finishing higher than 74th in defense under Mike Gundy. However, the 2009 offense promises to put up gaudy numbers, Boone Pickens Stadium has been expanded, and the OSU schedule is fairly favorable. So if veteran Bill Young can find a few key pieces in the right spots, the Cowboys could make their "Bedlam" finale at Norman quite interesting
 

Lumi

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Early Top 30 Index

Early Top 30 Index

Early Top 30 Index


My ?official? pre-season predictions will not come out until August but in the interest of fun and speculation, let?s go ahead and release a way-too-early edition of B.E.?s Top 30 Index.

For those scoring at home, here was last season?s pre-season Top 30 that you can compare to the final Top 30 after the bowl games. Here?s what we have ? for now ? and we?ll do some explaining below.

1-Florida
2-Texas
3-Oklahoma
4-USC
5-Penn St.
6-Alabama
7-Oklahoma St.
8-Ole Miss
9-Boise St.
10-Virginia Tech
11-LSU
12-Ga. Tech
13-Ohio St.
14-Georgia
15-Oregon St.
16-Oregon
17-California
18-North Carolina
19-Iowa
20-Utah
21-TCU
22-Kansas
23-FSU
24-Nebraska
25-East Carolina
26-Clemson
27-Michigan St.
28-West Va.
29-Illinois
30-Texas Tech

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Obviously, I feel like the Gators are the clear-cut favorites to repeat, but things ? injuries, suspensions, bad bounces, etc. -- happen during the course of a season. Even if things don?t happen for UF, it will have its hands full at LSU and in the SEC Championship Game, assuming it wins the SEC East.

Florida has one of the most generous schedules for SEC standards that I?ve ever seen. Not only do the Gators miss out on Alabama, Ole Miss and Auburn from the West on the regular-season schedule, but they also get an open date prior to their toughest regular-season game ? at LSU. In addition, the Bayou Bengals have to play at Georgia the previous week.

Who knows what?s going to happen in the Big 12 between Texas, Oklahoma and Oklahoma St.? There?s not much separation between that trio of squads. The Cowboys get to host Georgia, Texas, Texas Tech and Missouri, but they have to go to Norman for their regular-season finale.

In the SEC West, it will probably be a three-team race between ?Bama, LSU and Ole Miss. The Rebels get to host both of those squads and my sleeper in the division, Arkansas.

The Crimson Tide probably have the best overall team in the SEC West, but they are breaking in a new QB (Greg McElroy) and have to play in Oxford, not to mention a testy opener versus Va. Tech at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta.

Penn St. is an interesting team to watch in the national-title hunt. The Nittany Lions have four easy home games against non-conference foes and most importantly, they get Ohio St. in Happy Valley. Remember, stud LB Sean Lee returns after missing the 2008 campaign.

As for USC, unlike last season when its toughest games were at home, its toughest games this year are on the road. The Trojans play at Ohio St., at Cal, at Oregon and at ASU. They are likely to trip somewhere and as Big Ten and Pac 10 teams have realized the last few seasons, one loss probably means elimination from the title hunt since both leagues don?t have a championship game (and subsequent win to add to their resume).

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

--Five new coordinators to watch:

1-Monte Kiffin (Tennessee) ? The longtime defensive coordinator for the Tampa Bay Bucs is an NFL legend, but how much gas is left in the 69-year-old?s tank? Junior All-American safety Eric Berry will probably provide plenty of energy for the master of the cover-2 scheme. Kiffin coached in college as an assistant at Nebraska and Arkansas from 1966-1979 before taking his only head-coaching job at N.C. St. from 1980-1982. He?s been in the NFL ever since until joining his son at UT.

2-John Chavis (LSU) ? Phillip Fulmer didn?t take his pink slip in Knoxville because of Chavis? defense. That unit was just fine in 2008, but Chavis was dismissed nonetheless. That?s LSU?s gain as Les Miles wisely hired Chavis, who was UT?s d-coordinator the last 14 seasons. The loss of Bo Pelini hurt the Tigers last year, but Chavis will get things corrected on that side of the ball.

3-Mark Whipple (Miami) ? Randy Shannon?s future might hinge on this hire. Whipple has been in the NFL since 2004, but he has previous head-coaching stints at the collegiate level at New Haven, Brown and UMass. He?ll need to turn an offense around that finished 89th in the country in yardage in 2008.

4-Gus Malzahn (Auburn) ? The Arkansas situation in 2006 got ugly, but Malzahn?s offense thrived at Tulsa the last two years. Gene Chizik?s staff will be under the microscope from the get-go. If Malzahn can get this offense going, the heat won?t be so intense. If not, this could be a very similar drama to the one Malzahn experienced in Fayetteville.

5-Bill Young (Oklahoma St.) ? The Cowboys gave up 40 or more points in three of their last four games in 2008. If Young can get this defense playing better, OSU could be a threat to win the Big 12 because the offense is absolutely loaded.

--There are a number of important players that were ruled ineligible due to academics for 2008. Here are a few of those that will be back in 2009 and they are ranked in order of the impact I expect them to have:

1-Mitch Petrus (OL, Arkansas)
2-Mike Williams (WR, Syracuse)
3-Jameel Sewell (QB, Virginia)
4-Paul Warford (CB, Kentucky)
5-E.J. Savannah (LB, Washington)

--Likewise, here are five players coming back from injuries:

1-Jake Locker (QB, Washington)
2-Sean Lee (LB, Penn St.)
3-Trinton Sturdivant (OT, Georgia)
4-Jeff Owens (DT, Georgia)
5-Jamar Chaney (LB, Mississippi St.)

--Ranking the jobs done by new coaches in 2008:
1-Houston Nutt (Ole Miss)
2-Paul Johnson (Ga. Tech)
3-David Cutcliffe (Duke)
4-Bo Pelini (Nebraska)
5-Art Briles (Baylor)


LAST YEARRS TOP 30

1-Florida
2-USC
3-Georgia
4-Missouri
5-Oklahoma
6-Clemson
7-Ohio St.
8-West Va.
9-Auburn
10-Texas
11-LSU
12-South Fla.
13-Fresno St.
14-Penn St.
15-Texas Tech
16-Wisconsin
17-South Carolina
18-Wake Forest
19-Arizona St.
20-Va. Tech
21-Tennessee
22-Pittsburgh
23-Alabama
24-Oregon
25-California
26-Rutgers
27-Oklahoma St.
28-Utah
29-BYU
30-Kansas

LAST YEARS FINAL TOP 30

1-Florida
2-USC
3-Texas
4-Oklahoma
5-Utah
6-Alabama
7-Penn St.
8-Ole Miss
9-TCU
10-Georgia
11-Boise St.
12-Oregon
13-Ohio St.
14-Texas Tech
15-Oregon St.
16-Va. Tech
17-Iowa
18-West Va.
19-Oklahoma St.
20-California
21-Missouri
22-Cincinnati
23-LSU
24-Michigan St.
25-Ga. Tech
26-FSU
27-Rutgers
28-Arizona
29-Pittsburgh
30-North Carolina
 

BGFalcon

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I thought I would provide the links to these articles in case anyone wanted additional information.


please no links to pay service sites:admin

and please refrain from posting articles from pay service sites : admin
 
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Lumi

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TCU Preview

TCU Preview

TCU Preview

Well, if HC Gary Patterson is still on the payroll at TCU, we suppose he's going to stick around for a while longer. After all, Patterson's stock is never going to be higher than it was after last season, his third 11-win campaign in the last four years. And there were reportedly plenty of suitors sniffing around Fort Worth last December, with several high-profile jobs (including one at Patterson's alma mater, Kansas State) needing to be filled, and Patterson supposedly a top candidate for almost all of them.

Indeed, there were some erroneous reports that Patterson had even agreed to take over the Wildcat program, although that might have been a convenient smokescreen for the "cigars" at K-State to finalize the deal to that brought back former HC Bill Snyder to Manhattan. Whatever, Patterson didn't end up at K-State, Tennessee, Auburn, or anywhere else, to the delight of the Horned Frog faithful and to the chagrin of Mountain West opponents that have become accustomed to absorbing annual beatings at the hands of Patterson's ravenous TCU teams.

Still, don't be surprised if Patterson again appears on the coaching radar at the end of this season. Metroplex sources indicate that Patterson has grown a bit tired of being on the outside of the BCS umbrella, and covets a chance at a direct shot into the national title picture instead of the roundabout way that the best Mountain West teams have to take before entering the BCS discussion. In that context, future openings at a Big XII or SEC school might prove enticing. But it's also said that Patterson truly enjoys TCU (a delightful campus) and Fort Worth (a surprisingly delightful town and livable place that's quite dissimilar from glitzier neighbor Dallas), and much appreciates his job security and position of dominance within the MWC that he enjoys with the Frogs. Either way, Patterson is in an enviable position, but just in case we'll be staying tuned for further developments.





For the time being, however, Patterson remains at TCU, although he'll be shuffling the personnel deck a bit more than usual this fall. Seven starters graduated from last year's voracious defense that ranked tops nationally. But remember that Patterson and shrewd d.c Dick Bumpas also had to replace six starters from a similarly-accomplished '07 stop unit. Don't expect too much dropoff, even though Bumpas once again has to reload on a DL (as he did a year ago) now minus three starters, including irrepressible DT Cody Moore. A good block around which to build, however, is nonstop DE Jerry Hughes, who recorded a nation's-best 17 sacks (more than some entire teams!) in '08. And the LB corps is more seasoned than it seems, as a new starter, sr. Daryl Washington, saw enough playing time in '08 to rank as the platoon's fourth-leading tackler. A sticky pass "D" that allowed only 48% completions returns both of its starting CBs in srs. Nick Sanders and Rafael Priest, while all-name nominee Sir Demarco Bledsoe is one of the capable candidates to fill openings at the safety positions in Bumpas' pet 4-2-5 scheme.

Meanwhile, the offense is in a bit of an adjustment phase, too, after o.c. Mike Schultz moved to Illinois, with coordinator duties now shared by QB coach Justin Fuente & RB coach Jarrett Anderson. Patterson indicated the passing game will be slightly tweaked and formations renamed for the sake of simplicity, bit that otherwise the "O" would look much the same, which seems a good idea after setting school records for TDs (56 of 'em) and points (437) a year ago. There's certainly a familiar face at QB, where versatile jr.

Andy Dalton (also a dangerous runner) enters his third year as the starter while welcoming back five of his Top 7 receivers from '08, including a legit homerun threat in jr. Jimmy Young (59 receptions for almost 17 yards per catch in '08). A deep RB corps returns slamming top rusher Joseph Turner (577 YR LY) plus slasher Ryan Christian; the pair combined for 15 rush TDs in '08 and should be ready to go in fall despite being limited by minor injuries in spring. MWC scouts also say to keep an eye on touted RS frosh RB Ed Wesley (from nearby Irving).

Summary...Despite some not-so-insignificant departures from the nation's top-rated defense, Patterson has demonstrated he knows the formula for success at Fort Worth, so we don't expect much (if any) dropoff from the Frogs. And if TCU can survive MWC showdowns at BYU (October 24) and at Fort Worth vs. Utah (November 14), plus navigate potentially tricky trips to ACC Virginia & Clemson in September, Patterson might land his first BCS bid after all. Also note the Frogs' 7 straight covers at Fort Worth and 17-4 spread mark at home since '05.
 
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Lumi

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Arizona Wildcats preview

Arizona Wildcats preview

Arizona Wildcats preview

Okay...now what?

Life moves on in Tucson, where the Arizona football team is off a visit to a bowl game for the first time in the new millennium. The Wildcats made the most of their rare postseason sojourn, beating BYU 31-21 in the Las Vegas Bowl, the school's first postseason appearance since toppling Nebraska 23-20 in the 1998 Holiday Bowl. That was enough to grant another stay of execution for intense HC Mike Stoops, who, after four losing seasons on the UA sidelines, was generally acknowledged to have needed that bowl visit to keep his job. Mission accomplished.


But in the what-have-you-done-for-me-lately world of college football, Stoops can ill afford to slip too much from last year's perch. Once in the soup with boosters and administrators, it's going to take more than one Las Vegas Bowl to move safely from that bubbling broth. Regional observers suggest that Stoops is still well-advised to avoid another slip beneath .500, or the desert vultures could quickly begin to circle once more.

Keeping Stoops on the safe side of .500 might not be easy for this fall's Wildcat team that will be going to battle without QB Willie Tuitama for the first time in four years (was it just us, or did Tuitama seem to date back to Barry Goldwater's days in the US Senate?). Tuitama finally mastered o.c. Sonny Dykes' Texas Tech-influenced spread last year, hitting 65% of his passes while tossing 23 TD passes (and only 8 picks). Tuitama indeed leaves big shoes to fill. Soph Matt Scott, known as a better runner than passer, made a tenuous claim to the starting QB job in spring, though a fellow soph, Michigan State transfer Nick Foles, has the stronger and more accurate arm. Pac-10 scouts believe Stoops might even opt to alternate the two for the first few weeks of the campaign, so stay tuned. For what it's worth, Stoops doesn't seem overly concerned about either despite their lack of experience. "We have playmakers," said Stoops after spring ball. "The quarterbacks just have to manage our offense."

Well, in that case, maybe it doesn't matter who's taking snaps, because plenty of skill position weaponry does return from last year's attack that tallied a prolific 37 ppg. In all, seven starters are back, including slashing jr. RB Nic Grigsby (1153 YR in '08). Another scooter, soph RB Keola Antolin (525), broke off several big runs in Grigsby's absence during the second half of the '08 campaign. Although Tuitama's favorite receiver, WR Mike Thomas, finally graduated, there are plenty of targets, including Delashaun Dean & Terrell Turner, who combined for 96 catches and more than 1200 receiving yards last fall. Moreover, perhaps the nation's best TE, rugged jr. Rob Gronkowski, returns after hauling in 47 catches and 10 TDs in '08. But Stoops and Dykes have some legitimate concerns about their OL, which that was thinned when star LT Eben Britton declared for the NFL Draft after a stellar junior campaign. Along with the graduation of RT James Tretheway, Stoops could be breaking in a brand new pair of OL bookends. The shuffling along the line likely continues into fall camp, especially if the emergence of jr. Conan Amituanai frees up G Matt Diaz to try his luck at one of the tackle spots.

Given the uncertainties regarding the QB situation, the burden in the early going likely rests with a defense that returns seven starters, including everybody up front, plus what the coaching staff believes is as good a LB corps as exists in the Pac-10. A veteran, robust DL returns established run stuffers Earl Mitchell and Donald Horton and pass-rushing DEs Brooks Reed & Ricky Elmore. D.c. Mark Stoops believes the LB corps will be faster than a year ago, while CB Devan Ross & SS Cam Nelson are established playmakers in the 2ndary.

Summary...Mike Stoops might not seem overly concerned about breaking in a new QB, but it took the experienced Willie Tuitama more than a year to get used to the nuances of Sonny Dykes' spread. So to assume the inexperienced Scott or Foles will hit the ground running might be a tad optimistic. Luckily for Stoops, an established core of complementary weapons and a seasoned stop unit full of playmakers should compensate until the QB situation stabilizes. But sooner or later, one of the QBs is going to have to deliver if the Wildcats want to get back to another bowl game...and keep the heat off Stoops. As always, however, pay attention to the Cats when made an underdog, as they're 19-8 vs. the line their last 27 as the "short" under Stoops.
 

Lumi

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Boise State Preview

Boise State Preview

Boise State Preview

It's not really going to be a one-game season at Boise State this fall. Although talking to some of Bronco supporters might lead one to believe otherwise. You see, the hype and anticipation for the Thursday, September 3 home opener against the Oregon Ducks began almost as soon as last season ended, following a one-point loss vs. TCU in the Poinsettia Bowl. That's because any chance Boise has of crashing the upcoming BCS party (as the Broncos did as an unbeaten team in '06 and almost did again a year ago) simply has to include a win over the Ducks, the most challenging non-conference entity on this fall's slate, which also includes a potentially-tricky trip to Tulsa, a pair of MAC also-rans breaking in new coaches, Miami-Ohio and Bowling Green, plus lower-division UC Davis. Beating the latter four teams and the rest of the WAC entries will likely not be enough to gain the attention of the BCS. But, throw in a triumph over the respected Ducks, and things could be different, although it's worth noting that a similar win at Oregon last September, along with an undefeated mark in the rest of their regular-season games, still wasn't enough to get the Broncos invited to the BCS.




We don't like being preoccupied with the BCS, especially since that trip to Tulsa is another potential banana peel, but so it goes these days in Boise, where talk beyond the WAC has become standard operating procedure for the Bronco program, which has notched three unbeaten regular-season campaigns since 2004. Not to mention owning the nation's best marks over the past ten years in overall record (104-20), conference record (70-5), and home record (64-2), as well as being the highest-scoring college team this decade, tallying 41.2 ppg since 2000. It's all a far cry from days not long ago when the late Pokey Allen and Houston Nutt (yes, that Houston Nutt) were coaching on the blue carpet and nobody south of the Snake River paid much attention. Now, with BSU poised to win its seventh WAC crown in eight years, we suppose it's inevitable the chatter could drift to the BCS once more.

Still, don't expect 2009 to be a completely smooth ride for the Broncos. That's because Boise is an uncommonly young team; only five seniors are on the entire roster, with S Kyle Wilson & FB Richie Brockel the only sr. starters. And HC Chris Petersen has legitimate concerns about an OL that started 11 different combinations in 13 games last season and had trouble helping the Broncos establish a ground attack in the toughest games of '08 (close wins over Nevada and aforementioned Oregon, plus the 17-16 bowl loss to TCU). Moreover, spring injuries to RG Kevin Sapien & RT Nate Potter, two of the returning starters up front, further impeded any continuity being established along the OL before fall camp. But we're nitpicking, because Boise still scored 37 ppg with similar concerns in '08 and returns plenty of established firepower, including savvy RS soph southpaw QB Kellen Moore, who demonstrated poise almost instantly in his maiden voyage last fall en route to passing for 3486 yards and 25 TDs. Slashing RBs Jeremy Avery (5.5 ypc LY) & D.J. Harper can fill the gap left by the graduated Ian Johnson, while wideouts Austin Pettis (9 TDs LY) & Titus Young are established downfield threats who can more than compensate for top '08 wideout Jeremy Childs' early departure for the NFL.

Lost somewhere in hubbub regarding the potent "O" has been an underrated Bronco stop unit that ranked 3rd in scoring defense (just 12.62 ppg) in '08 and returns its entire 2ndary, led by the aforementioned CB Wilson & S Jeron Johnson. WAC sources suggest to not be alarmed by the rebuilding needed on the front seven where all-WAC jr. DE Ryan Winterswyk is the only returning starter. Lots of capable talent saw action LY and is ready to step into the breach; watch soph DTs Charles Baker & 320-lb. Michael Atkinson (scouts say he's a potential monster), plus LB Hunter White, all "movers" in spring.

Summary...We'll resist temptation to merely fast-forward to December and see where Boise fits into this year's BCS equation, because those hopes could be effectively dashed before Labor Day if the Broncos can't beat Oregon in the opener, not to mention underrated Tulsa in October. And romping to another unbeaten mark won't be easy, with several new faces being asked to contribute on "D" and the OL still seeking continuity. But the pieces are certainly in place for another WAC crown, and BSU can take its chances from there regarding the BCS
 

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LOKI
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In the shadows
Washington Preview

Washington Preview

Washington Preview

Were we playing Jeopardy on TV, and Alex Trebek gave the answers "Roman, Ottoman, and Washington Huskies football" in the category World History, what would the correct response (question) be?
How about, "What are three crumbled empires?" And rest assured that Trebek would award $200 or whatever the value of the question for that response.



There is certainly no argument about the Huskies' descent into the abyss, one of the steepest downfalls of a proud program that we can recall in the 52 years we've been publishing TGS. Blame has been assigned everywhere, from past coaches Rick Neuheisel, Keith Gilbertson, and Ty Willingham to ADs Barbara Hedges and Todd Turner. For what it's worth, we think the most damage was probably caused by Hedges, who kept the overmatched Gilbertson, effectively an interim appointment, on board for a second disastrous year in 2004, a campaign in which the Huskies won just once. And if problems on the field weren't enough, venerable Husky Stadium has begun to crumble-literally, forcing current AD Scott Woodward to campaign for a $300 million renovation or consider a permanent move downtown to the NFL Seahawks' modern Qwest Field. Stay tuned for further developments.

Meanwhile, U-Dub's on-field fortunes have been entrusted to new HC Steve Sarkisian, whose coaching pedigree at least suggests big things. A prot?g? of legendary o.c. Norm Chow, under whom Sarkisian played at BYU and coached at Southern Cal, as well as the wildly-successful Pete Carroll, under whom Sarkisian coordinated the potent Trojan offense the past two seasons, "Sark" immediately sought to install as much of the SC system as possible in his first spring, specifically the Carroll-like uptempo practice sessions. Unfortunately, Sarkisian isn't working with SC's talent base, but there's still more optimism than you'd expect after last year's 0-12 debacle.

That's mainly because do-everything, Tim Tebow-like QB Jake Locker returns to the fold after missing the last 8 1/2 games of '08 with a broken thumb. Such is Locker's impact that it's safe to say U-Dub would not have been winless in '08 had he stayed in the lineup; ask BYU, which barely survived in a 1-point win at Seattle vs. Locker last September. Sarkisian is likely to retain some elements of the spread offense that Locker has run the past two seasons while also installing a portion of the SC pro-style attack. Most of the key RB & WR threats (such as they are) return; scouts say to watch RS frosh RB Demitrius Bronson, and that WR Jermaine Kearse (20 catches LY) has hinted he could supplant D'Andre Goodwin (60 catches LY, but out with injury in spring) as Locker's go-to target. Three of the eight returning offensive starters are along what should be a smaller but quicker OL.

Meanwhile, new d.c. Nick Holt, who moved to Seattle with Sarksisian after holding the same role at SC the past two years, will likely employ a similar 4-3 look and welcomes back 9 starters, plus impact LB E.J. Savannah, a force in '07 now reinstated after being suspended by Willingham. In spring, Holt seemed pleased with a front 7 that features high-pressure DE Daniel Te'o-Nesheim, and some upheaval in the 2ndary could be alleviated by the return of FS Jason Wells, a starter in '06-07 who missed all of '08 with a knee injury. But before getting too excited about the 9 returning starters, remember that LY's "D" allowed the most yards and points in school history.

Summary...Sarkisian ought to enjoy his brief honeymoon with the notoriously demanding Husky backers, who will soon enough be expecting bowl bids and contention in the Pac-10. For this year, at least, U-Dub supporters will be glad if the team shows progress, and to that end a healthy Locker ought to at least get the Huskies back in the win column by Game Two vs. Idaho (and, in a related development, eventually snap the current 10-game pointsread losing streak). But Sarkisian needs another recruiting class or two to elevate U-Dub's talent level to the point where serious bowl talk can resume.
 
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