NCAA FOOTBALL 2004: I want to get better

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

just wanted to let everybody know what i have planned in regards to my capping college football this year.


YEAR ONE: 2001 - 2002 season: 49 - 45 = +10.40 units

YEAR TWO: 2002 - 2003 season: 96 - 76 = +5.55 units
good capping. POOR money management, my big unit plays were losing.

YEAR THREE: 2003 - 2004
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this year i hope to have my best year in this sport. I've learned alot in the last two years and i hope to do a better job of it.
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My thread will be broken down into two parts.

SECTION A: MY regular picks

SECTION B: my anti top ten % concensus picks from a certain website ( not this one), which involves fading their picks.

This "top 10%" consensus shows the number of picks made by the top ten % players on this site. If the percentage of picks exceeds 59%, the game is highlighted in green.

if the pick is 59% and higher, THAT IS THE PICK YOU GO AGAINST.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

SECTION B: history of the anti picks.

here was their record from last season:

College Football (NCAAF)

2002 - 2003 season
Record Percent Units

ATS Picks 229-227-6 50.22% -10350

O/U Picks 83-107-4 43.68% -17350

All Picks 312-334-10 48.30% -27700
(if you had wagered $500 per bet)

you would have lost -$27,700 bucks.

the problem with tracking this is that it's best to go against these picks about 10 minutes before the games start, because by then, the bettors have put in their bets and there won't be any last minute picks to mess up the % of the picks.

another problem is, there's a shitload of games.
i'll probably record the results a day later to see how they did with their picks. As i did this in baseball, i ain't sitting in front of a computer all day tracking picks.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

SECTION A: my picks

in regards to my picks, i check out historical data usually in the last 2 - 3 years, and i prefer betting on inter conference games rather than out of conference games unless it's a powerhouse vs a weaker out of conf team.

furthermore, i cap games using covers.com and then i check out the harmon forecast and some NCAA prediction sites.

fairly simply routine...i don't OVERCAP games.
i'm just a simple, basic capper.

you won't see a crapload of write-ups from me....i have NO love for any ONE team.....i bet with my head and not with my heart.

that's pretty much it.

comments are always appreciated.

see you at the start of the season.

 

[Escrow_Tum]

La buena suerte mi amigo. Aprecio los polluelos con extremos gordos y doy felaci?n realmente buena. Tambi?n, pienso el movimiento de que la l?nea es muy importante en el f?tbol.

Find 1 or 2 conferences and focus on them.

Our man fletcher is so true in his reasoning. The obscure conferences are actually the easiest to handicap, b/c the lines are way off etc.

Find the worst coaches in CFB and bet against them. I will come up with a list of schitt coaches, but Solich is already one you can constantly fade and have enough money to buy plenty o porn.

 

[ND2002HORNS]

Good to see your ideas! The season is not far away and we all need each others help. I like the way you broke down your ideas of how you are going to play games this year. Very comprehensive! Take care buddy!

HORNS

 

[DR STRANGELOVE]

Good luck Chris,

you need to come over one day and play NCAA 2004 on the x-box


You think I could surpass my 11 game winning streak on Thursday's from last year?
:shrug:

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

Good luck Chris,

you need to come over one day and play NCAA 2004 on the x-box


You think I could surpass my 11 game winning streak on Thursday's from last year?
:shrug:

personally bro?

NO.

You've been out of capping too long, you're gonna be rusty from time to time.

and besides, we got better things to do than capping football games on a thursday nite....


helllllllllllllllllllloooooooooooooooo ladies!!!! :moon:

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

La buena suerte mi amigo. Aprecio los polluelos con extremos gordos y doy felaci?n realmente buena. Tambi?n, pienso el movimiento de que la l?nea es muy importante en el f?tbol.

hey escrow, my languages are a bit rusty so i'll try to "LOOSELY" translate for those that don't know espaniol....

ummmmmmmmmmm..something about good luck my friend....and
appreciate girls that are really good at giving head...??? and finally, you think that line movement is very important in this sport.

how was that???:clap: :clap: :canada1 :yup

the cunning linguist strikes again!!!!

-TOR VIG.

 

[Escrow_Tum]

You da man!!!


I am a cunning linguist when given the opportunity. Hope we can all help each other out this year.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

here are some interesting futures.

Saturday, August 9
NCAA SUGAR BOWL CHAMPIONSHIP 2004 Time: 19:00
Price

Miami +500

Oklahoma +500

Ohio State +850

Texas +1000

Kansas State +1000

Virginia Tech +1500

Auburn +1500

Michigan +1500

Field (Anyone Else Not Listed) +1500

Southern Cal +1600

N C State +1800

Tennessee +1800

Notre Dame +2000

Florida State +2200

Georgia +2200

Florida +2500

Price

L S U +2500

Pittsburgh +2800

Virginia +3300

Penn State +3800

Texas A & M +3800

Maryland +3800

Washington +4000

Nebraska +4400

Colorado +4500

Wisconsin +5000

U C L A +5000

Arizona State +6600

Oregon State +6600

Arkansas +6600

Georgia Tech +10000

Minnesota +12500

 

[taoist]

...man, some of those look pretty good. problem is i hate keeping my money tied up all season, ya know? here are the ones that i thought looked pretty good.

LSU at 25-1
PITT at 28-1
and Wash at 40-1


...which ones did you have your eyes on? :shrug:

 

[Escrow_Tum]

Virginia Tech +1500

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

Chad, i had my money on Miami to PLACE in the top two.

i get my wager X 250

 

[DR STRANGELOVE]

personally bro?

NO.

You've been out of capping too long, you're gonna be rusty from time to time.

and besides, we got better things to do than capping football games on a thursday nite....


helllllllllllllllllllloooooooooooooooo ladies!!!! :moon:

you might be right about that, I will tread lightly at first and see how things go.

 

[homerh]

good luck tv
could you share with me
some good cappers in football?
i have followed the hockey and baseball
but not the football.
thank u in advance for your response:shrug:

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

good luck tv
could you share with me
some good cappers in football?
i have followed the hockey and baseball
but not the football.
thank u in advance for your response:shrug:

sorry homerh, i didn't keep track of good cappers in football cause i was doin my own thing......

all i can say is like always, look out for people that keep track of their records.....:shrug:

sorry.