0-3 start to the week (yikes, thats a crack rat start to a week)
===============================
W
wake forest (-1) over boston college
*for some reason, wake is coming in a little under the radar here. it seems that with the additions of miami and vtech to the acc, people are forgetting about this deacon team. theyre not going to be challenging for the conference title, but they can give a lot of teams problems with their very formidable power-rushing attack. barclay and andrews are a damn tough duo to stop.
jim grobe + wfu players press conference:
http://wakeforestsports.collegesports.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/092104aac.html
===============================
W
double play...toledo (-8) and (-6) over temple
*i know toledo is giving up a ton of yards and points up to this point in the season (which makes it tough to lay chalk) but they are one of elite home teams as far as midmajors go. theyre 25-1 in their last 26 at the glass bowl. and 8 of their L10 wins have been by 17 points or more. i think toledo's two subpar efforts in weeks 1 and 2 keep this line under double digits. they should rip temple. rockets have been averaging an obscene 38.4 ppg vs. in non-conf games at the glass bowl the L4 years (and worth noting that those games were vs cupcakes either --- unlv, minnesota, and pittsburgh are included in that average).
local articles:
http://www.toledoblade.com/apps/pbcs.dll/section?Category=SPORTS11
===============================
pending
northwestern (+15.5) over minnesota
*ive been very impressed with minnesota early on this season. their rushing game could very well be the best in the country. but their defense is really suspect and i think that is going to be what allows northwestern to stay within 2 touchdowns in this one. while the gopher offense is churning out impressive offense numbers, that defense is letting the opposition move up and down the field w/little resistance. colorado state proved to be inferior to minnesota, but they still had no problem establishing long drives on the minny defense. they just couldnt convert them into touchdowns, or they would self-destruct. minnesota is gonna score. theres no question about that. but i think that nw spread offense is going to match them on most possessions, ultimately preventing minny from ever pulling away
==============================
L
louisiana tech (+22.5) over tennessee
*vols have traditionally been poor in this kind of role. theyve been favored by 20+ points a handful of times vs. non.conf the last few years and been very unmotivated to cover the big numbers (and vs. some really bad opponents no less). to make it worse, tennessee in a big time sandwich here. theyre off an emotional, down-to-the-last-second win against florida, and theyre staring at auburn on deck next week. latech is at least a program thats not going to come in intimidated, and i think they hang a couple surprise scores on tennessee.
==============================
W
notre dame/washington under 49
*notre dame has been scoring points off turnovers and punt blocks and plays of that sort to begin the season. im just not convinced that if washington can take care of the football that the irish offense can generate more than 20 points. huskies of course need to cooperate and take care of the ball, but when its all said and done, i think this game lands around 22-14 or something like that. i would have played this one under 45. so 49 works for me.
==============================
W
florida/kentucky 1st half under 27
*i think the early start time will throw these teams off a little bit. pregame routine thrown out of whack, so maybe it takes both groups time to settle in. also, one thing ive learned with kentucky over the years is that when a shootout is expected, it never seems to happen with them. theyre capable of scoring a lot and letting up a lot, but they inexplicably grind out a lot of games
==============================
L
texas (-32) over rice
*normally id laugh at playing this big of chalk, but im not sure if rice scores in this game. rice has been able to move the bal against teams with awful run defenses (see: houston, see: hawaii) but its not gonna fly vs texas. if rice tries to change up and go to the air, fine with me. thats obviously not their style. can see this one 51-7 opr 51-10 if rice manages to put some scoring drives together
===============================
W
texas tech 2nd half (-6.5) (-120) over kansas
im not a big texas tech fan - i think their offense is a little too gimmicky, but they have been their own worst enemy today. theyre moving the ball effectively but throwing INTs at the wrong time. gotta think leach will throw throw throw until the final second is off the clock, so im comfortably laying some 2h chalk with a team that SHOULD play to the final gun and try and rally
===============================
pending
oregon state (+7.5) over arizona state
*a couple of good cappers already on it. im gonna jump on as well. im definitely a believer in asu this year. but dont like the spot. that was a big revenge game for them last week and im not sure if i can trust them as a TD+ chalk the next week out. one thing thats plagued asu in the koetter era is inconsistency. plea to derek anderson: please take care of the ball. if you do, your team can win.
===============================
W
2nd half southern cal (-13) over stanford
sucker bet of the year? maybe. but its a win-win. if southern cal comes back to win the game, im all but assured of cashing my bet. if i lose my bet, then reading the anti-usc posts on the board will be well worth the price of losing a couple bucks. i do, however, think usc turns it on. theyre that good. if carroll is as good as scott says he is, then usc dominates this 2h
===============================
W
wake forest (-1) over boston college
*for some reason, wake is coming in a little under the radar here. it seems that with the additions of miami and vtech to the acc, people are forgetting about this deacon team. theyre not going to be challenging for the conference title, but they can give a lot of teams problems with their very formidable power-rushing attack. barclay and andrews are a damn tough duo to stop.
jim grobe + wfu players press conference:
http://wakeforestsports.collegesports.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/092104aac.html
===============================
W
double play...toledo (-8) and (-6) over temple
*i know toledo is giving up a ton of yards and points up to this point in the season (which makes it tough to lay chalk) but they are one of elite home teams as far as midmajors go. theyre 25-1 in their last 26 at the glass bowl. and 8 of their L10 wins have been by 17 points or more. i think toledo's two subpar efforts in weeks 1 and 2 keep this line under double digits. they should rip temple. rockets have been averaging an obscene 38.4 ppg vs. in non-conf games at the glass bowl the L4 years (and worth noting that those games were vs cupcakes either --- unlv, minnesota, and pittsburgh are included in that average).
local articles:
http://www.toledoblade.com/apps/pbcs.dll/section?Category=SPORTS11
===============================
pending
northwestern (+15.5) over minnesota
*ive been very impressed with minnesota early on this season. their rushing game could very well be the best in the country. but their defense is really suspect and i think that is going to be what allows northwestern to stay within 2 touchdowns in this one. while the gopher offense is churning out impressive offense numbers, that defense is letting the opposition move up and down the field w/little resistance. colorado state proved to be inferior to minnesota, but they still had no problem establishing long drives on the minny defense. they just couldnt convert them into touchdowns, or they would self-destruct. minnesota is gonna score. theres no question about that. but i think that nw spread offense is going to match them on most possessions, ultimately preventing minny from ever pulling away
==============================
L
louisiana tech (+22.5) over tennessee
*vols have traditionally been poor in this kind of role. theyve been favored by 20+ points a handful of times vs. non.conf the last few years and been very unmotivated to cover the big numbers (and vs. some really bad opponents no less). to make it worse, tennessee in a big time sandwich here. theyre off an emotional, down-to-the-last-second win against florida, and theyre staring at auburn on deck next week. latech is at least a program thats not going to come in intimidated, and i think they hang a couple surprise scores on tennessee.
==============================
W
notre dame/washington under 49
*notre dame has been scoring points off turnovers and punt blocks and plays of that sort to begin the season. im just not convinced that if washington can take care of the football that the irish offense can generate more than 20 points. huskies of course need to cooperate and take care of the ball, but when its all said and done, i think this game lands around 22-14 or something like that. i would have played this one under 45. so 49 works for me.
==============================
W
florida/kentucky 1st half under 27
*i think the early start time will throw these teams off a little bit. pregame routine thrown out of whack, so maybe it takes both groups time to settle in. also, one thing ive learned with kentucky over the years is that when a shootout is expected, it never seems to happen with them. theyre capable of scoring a lot and letting up a lot, but they inexplicably grind out a lot of games
==============================
L
texas (-32) over rice
*normally id laugh at playing this big of chalk, but im not sure if rice scores in this game. rice has been able to move the bal against teams with awful run defenses (see: houston, see: hawaii) but its not gonna fly vs texas. if rice tries to change up and go to the air, fine with me. thats obviously not their style. can see this one 51-7 opr 51-10 if rice manages to put some scoring drives together
===============================
W
texas tech 2nd half (-6.5) (-120) over kansas
im not a big texas tech fan - i think their offense is a little too gimmicky, but they have been their own worst enemy today. theyre moving the ball effectively but throwing INTs at the wrong time. gotta think leach will throw throw throw until the final second is off the clock, so im comfortably laying some 2h chalk with a team that SHOULD play to the final gun and try and rally
===============================
pending
oregon state (+7.5) over arizona state
*a couple of good cappers already on it. im gonna jump on as well. im definitely a believer in asu this year. but dont like the spot. that was a big revenge game for them last week and im not sure if i can trust them as a TD+ chalk the next week out. one thing thats plagued asu in the koetter era is inconsistency. plea to derek anderson: please take care of the ball. if you do, your team can win.
===============================
W
2nd half southern cal (-13) over stanford
sucker bet of the year? maybe. but its a win-win. if southern cal comes back to win the game, im all but assured of cashing my bet. if i lose my bet, then reading the anti-usc posts on the board will be well worth the price of losing a couple bucks. i do, however, think usc turns it on. theyre that good. if carroll is as good as scott says he is, then usc dominates this 2h
Last edited:
:142lmao:
