NCAA Football Week 2 thoughts and picks

[Skipper]

Not a great start to the season, but not all bad. Will post record in a few, but down a little over 4 units. Here are my EARLY thoughts going into next week.


Teams to bounce back - look for these to maybe bounce back
Wake at home vs Stanford - Stanford big road win, now travel cross country

UGA at home vs So Caro - never like playing this one unless UGA is dog or very small home fav

Oregon at home vs Purdue - little scared of this because of suspension, but Oregon is much better than Purdue

WMich at Indy - Indy almost lost to Eastern Kentucky at home and W Mich may win the Mac. Hoping for a close line and will hit WMich

New Mexico vs Tulsa - If Tulsa is favored by 14 or more, will hit this one on the home dog - Tulsa is at Okie the following week

Let Down - these could let down
BYU at Tulane - Tulane is awful, but BYU coming off big win and has Florida St the following week

Navy at home vs La Tech - La Tech is not bad and Navy comes off huge emotional loss and plays Pitt the following week

Minnesota at home vs AFA - will play AFA no matter what, Minny beat bad Cuse team and has Cal coming the following week. - play on AFA for sure

Mizzou at home vs BGr - like this one too, upset vs Illy means little let down at home

Okie St at home vs Houston - Houston may have more offense than Georgia and Okie St off of huge win vs the Dogs

Sandwich games or look ahead
Boise at home vs Miami OH - Boise big win and goes to Fresno the following week. Line would almost have to be 50+ though

FLA vs Troy - Vols the following week

Mich St. at home vs C Mich - Sparty has ND next week?

Starting to look at the lines this afternoon, but will already play Western Michigan big based on the small line and the fact that Spang and BG love it. Those guys will bounce back for sure in the ways of the MAC world.

Others that I will probably hit for sure that are on this list:
Troy
Houston
Bowling Green
La Tech
New Mexico

Also, very important for those that think UT has a look ahead to Florida. Vol world is still very embarrased about the loss to UCLA last year and based on the fact that Orgeron and Kiffin are USC guys, this makes for a great deal of focus on this one. Will look at this line and give thoughts later today.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

like Oregon, Western Michigan and USC as those popped out at me initially.

I haven't watched the Purdue game yet to figure out how they scored so many points, but wanted to get in before the line goes up.

 

[Skipper]

YTD - 9-8 -4.15 units or -$415

Not a great start, but moving on. Going to hit these for sure, writeups later as well as my take on the Vols-Bruins

Western Michigan +1
Troy +36-
Tulane +17- :scared
Houston +15
Air Force +4
Bowling Green +19
New Mexico +17- :scared
Oregon -12

Tennessee -9 - not a homer play guys, look back at my history and I will bet against the Vols with no second thoughts. Will have a big writeup on this later, but I am going to hit this one pretty hard. Those that think that the Vols will be "looking ahead" to FLA are crazy. Take the bad loss at UCLA last year and couple it with the fact that Kiffin and Orgeron come from USC makes this one a huge game for the Vols.

Back later guys

 

[spang]

Like the action you took in my neck of the woods for sure. GL Skip, BTW: you still doing the show ? I'm pretty sure Jack wouldn't mind you posting a link to the station for a little plug. I had it bookmarked but must have erased it :shrug: I now have all the time in the world to listen in so I would like the link.

Also,heard anything from G...... ? Was the station paying him or did he do it just for the exposure? I was always curious about that.

 

[Skipper]

Like the action you took in my neck of the woods for sure. GL Skip, BTW: you still doing the show ? I'm pretty sure Jack wouldn't mind you posting a link to the station for a little plug. I had it bookmarked but must have erased it :shrug: I now have all the time in the world to listen in so I would like the link.

Also,heard anything from G...... ? Was the station paying him or did he do it just for the exposure? I was always curious about that.

Not doing the show right now. I own my own business and it is taking off, which is good, but had to make a choice about doing radio. I hope to sell at some point in the future and put my efforts back into it. It will not solely be sports talk though, I cannot talk over the daily doings of this and that all the time esp. during baseball season. I just don't give a crap.

Have not heard from G___. I think he had a rough season and moved on. I tried a few times to get in touch with him, to no success. I hated it too, cuz he was a great guy. He was part of the show to help promote his biz, and I will leave it at that. He had a bad year, but would still rather have someone like him on than some dipshat tout who stole money from our listeners.

Take the Vols Spang, trust me.

 

[BGFalcon]

Guys,
The last I spoke with G I thought he said he was moving to Orlando. But then I interviewed his sister-in-law last year for a position in our district and she said that G was in Buffalo. I hope she was wrong--there are a lot of fat girls in Buffalo.

 

[Skipper]

Couple of totals I am going to play, again writeups later

AFA/Minny over 47-
UAB/SMU over 61 - LARGE

Still looking at Arky St/Neb under, LaTEch/Navy over, and Okie St/Houston over

 

[Skipper]

Passing tonight, just cannot get a feeling one way or the other. Lean to Clemson for some reason, but they are always a huge letdown.

Sat Plays
7 unit play - :mj1:
Tennessee -9- vs UCLA
One - This is not a homer play
Two - I originally hated the hire of Kiffy
Three - Think that FLA will a$$ rape the Vols next week
Having said this - I love them this week. Vegas is banking on the look ahead game and the Vols are focused on the Gators blah, blah, blah. Bottom line on Kiffy's coach's show Orgeron only talked about the fact that he and Kiffin still cannot stand UCLA and that this was as big of a game as they have on the schedule. Big mismatch in the trenches imo and if fatboy would have run the football like Kiffy will against UCLA, he still might be coaching. Crompton will not have to throw for that many yards as the Vols will control both lines of scrimmage and lay a beat down to the boys in powder blue. Then, the Vols will get a beatdown next week:mj07:

 

[Skipper]

3 unit plays - Split em -.3 units
UAB/SMOO over 59
AFA/Minny over 49


1 unit plays 2-3 -1.3 units
FIU +33-
Troy +36-
Tulane +18
Bowl. Green +20
W Mich +2


1/2 unit plays 2-3 -.7 units
Oregon -12
FIU +33-
Iowa State +7(-120)
South Carolina +7
New Mexico +17-

ALSO DD SEC DOGS!! split -.1 unit
Vandy +14-
Miss St. +14-

Both for one unit each - this is a trend that is money every year. I actually kind of like Auburn, but will not buck the trend now!

Hope to see alot of barking tomorrow!:0corn


6-9 -10.1 units yesterday

Came out blazing for last two years, now the exact opposite. Hopefully this too will pass:mj06:

 

[Skipper]

Made a few changes on the above picks and going to add one. Might have a few more later esp. when I take a deeper look at Hawk's totals

1 unit play
Cal -33 vs East. Washington
Looks too obvious, but I will bite.

Still feel very confident about the Vols today, so keeping as a 7 unit play. This coaching staff will pile on if they can, and I believe the Vols will have very little trouble running against this UCLA defense. Remember last year, the Vols averaged over 5 yards per carry, but fata$$ Fulmer thought he needed to throw over 40 times. There will be NO lookahead to FLA - I know that is the "situational" trend, but that is why we have these boards, to share information and if they do not win and cover, it will not be from looking ahead to FLA.

GL MJers:00hour