NCAA Lines from 10.4 through 10.8

[Danny Noonan]

MC, here are a couple of reasons to play Pitt.
1. The homefield. Other than Youngstown game, ND was only home game. ND is proving that they are a very good football team. I think homefield is worth more points in this game given it is UC's 1st trip to Heinz field for a conference road game.
2. The competitive nature (See Palko). Pitt's anemic O struggled mightily against decent defenses in Ohio and Neb on the road. They sleptwalked thru the 1st half at RU, but did show signs of life in the 2nd half and almost came back from a large deficit scoring 29 points. Tells me the team hasn't quit on Wannestadt yet.
3. The weak opponent.
Eastern Michigan W 28-26
at Penn State L 24-42
Western Carolina W 7-3
at Miami (OH) L 16-44
UC's 2 road games have been blow-outs. Penn St should have won that game by 32 points. UC's Dustin Grutza is brutal. He has only 3 TD's v. 11 picks. If you watched the Miami game, you saw some horrible decision making with some of the picks. UC won't be able to beat Pitt on the ground though, as they are tied for last in the BE in rushing with 575 yards.
4. The line. Who in the hell is going to back Pitt as a 13 point favorite? I like to think of a line like this as a reverse trap. Cincinnati will be a public dog here. The line has already moved off of 13 down to 12.5.

I believe that teams cycle up and down during the course of the season. I think Pitt may be cycling up after seeing the comeback attempt at Rutgers, and they have an extremely vulnerable opponent on the road. UC is last in the league giving up over 28 points per game.

 

[AR182]

i really like boston college....i watched the md/vir. game last saturday & md. took it to uva.

bc, imo is too physical for virginia on both sides of the ball.

i also like, at quick glance....

n. ill
ncst.
conn.
c. fla.
kansas
tenn
mich
colorado
uab
hawaii

 

[Master Capper]

Noonan,

You convinced me, I am along for the ride!

AR,

Do you still like BC if Porter is out?

 

[soul train]

Rice-East Carolina....over 56

 

[bombercoops]

TT line does look too easy. Cornhuskers looking better than last year but not by much. I see the public is already pounding TT in what is probably a reaction to last years demolition. I still struggle to see how the huskers can keep pace with the red-raiders 'O' or do enough to limit some score board damage. Red Raiders are the play for mine.

Also looking at;

Mia (OH) +2.5
WV -3.5
Oregon +8.5
Hawaii +4.5
Missou -5.5
Ohio st -3

gl this weekend gents

 

[Master Capper]

Soul Train,


Love that under the radar play, both teams have crap defenses

 

[soul train]

Soul Train,


Love that under the radar play, both teams have crap defenses

I agree under the radar...One of those games
nobody pays attention to.My buddy turned me onto the game.He might have something here(lol)

Rice has given up...45...51...63

Teams rack up 523 ypg against them...
They give up 273 passing yards a game...
And they get killed on the ground 249.3 ypg

East Carolina has given up 33...20...44...21

403 ypg...247 ypp...165 ypr

Looks like a 45-40 game

I just put a wager on it at over 56.5

Good luck

 

[Master Capper]

Any of the PAC 10 Gurus out here have any concern on the lack of running game for UCLA this year? I am looking at playing the Bruins but two things have held me back: 1) no running game to speak of and 2) will Dorrell be outcoached by Tedford?

 

[Master Capper]

Recall in 2003 ( I could be wrong) that Rutgers went on an amazing strak of covering games, so whom could be this years Rutgers:

Wisky 4-0
FSU 3-0
Texas 4-0
Baylor 3-0
WYO 5-0
VT 5-0
UAB 3-0
S MISS 2-0

Teams that are due to cover

SJOSE 0-3
BYU 0-3
UTAH 0-4
STAN 0-2
RICE 0-3
TEMPLE 0-3-1
DUKE 0-4

Teams that are solid over plays

NW 4-0 on overs
Mizzou 4-0
LSU 3-0
Texas 4-0
NAVY 3-0
PUR 4-0
RICE 3-0
STAN 2-0
WSU 3-0
CSU 4-0

Under
TUL 0-2
EMU 0-5
LATECH 0-3
MARSH 0-3
TX TEXH 0-2
CFU 0-4
BAY 0-3
OKST 0-3

 

[Danny Noonan]

Maybe Wyo or S Miss? Figure linesmakers will catch up to teams like Texas and VT. Wyo has to go to Col St. and Utah still, but have bye week between the 2.

MC, do you look to fade some of these undefeated ATS teams, or winless teams at some point, or go strictly by matchups week to week? Louisville was another team that Vegas didn't catch up to last year. With all the attention this year maybe a good go against in several more this year with lines overadjusted for last year performance.

 

[bombercoops]

Hopefully they catch up with texas this week. 14 points to their nemesis team is alot to cover considering they they haven't won this game in a number of years. Wouldn't be suprised to see a texas win by any means but don't think they cover the number here.

 

[tulah]

Any of the PAC 10 Gurus out here have any concern on the lack of running game for UCLA this year? I am looking at playing the Bruins but two things have held me back: 1) no running game to speak of and 2) will Dorrell be outcoached by Tedford?

I'm by no means a Pac-10 guru but I do follow UCLA & USC .

while the numbers don't show it UCLA is very capable of running the ball. RB M.Drew has good burst ,vision & shiftiness. He had alot of long run's LY. He's off to a bit of a slow start TY but you can't hold this guy back for long.

IMO UCLA will win this game with a strong defensive effort.IMO this is Cals first"real" game.
UCLA LB's are very underrated. they are very capable of containing Cal.

IMO UCLA was in full look ahead mode LW vs UW.


I'll be at the game , should be fun

GL

 

[Master Capper]

Danny,

Personally, I hate to go against a streak and wouldrather ride it out but you can be assurred that if any of those teams cover again this week the lines will be adjusted for the following week. If you go back to the original Power Rankings from the start of the season at many of the sites that are links here, you will see many of these teams have been bumped up quite a bit and accordingly teams like Stanford have been lowered, at one site Stanford's Power Numbers have dropped nearly 20 points. I also beleive that the same holds true in the computer rankings such as Sagarins!

 

[Master Capper]

Tulah,

I am in 100% agreement with you on this being Cal's first actual game and the same can be said for Tex Tech (although Kansas is a decent squad).

 

[Master Capper]

I couldn't find the thread where we were talking about OSU's record coming off a bye week but here is the info:


OSU is 1-3 coming off an open week and 1-3 against ranked teams on the road under Jim Tressel, plus they finished last year 1-3 on the road in the Big Ten.

That's at least a little bit better than their record in your last three night games, which is 0-3.

I still think OSU defense will be too much for PSU but I recently read that during the off season Paterno's son and another offensive assistant spent part of last summer with Mack Brown learning the Texas offensive system so they could try to utilize Robinson similiar to the way the Horn's use Young. Of course the Buckeye's struggled late in the game stopping Young, but IMO Robinson is in no way shape or form the caliber of QB that Young currently has evolved into.

 

[Master Capper]

1st plays of the week

Ramblin Wreck -170

FAU under 47.5



Good Luck Cappers!!!!!!

 

[addikted]

Tough luck on the GT play MC, but great call on the fau under! Good luck this weekend!

GLA

 

[Master Capper]

Playing these today, hoping to match my success in the NFL this year:


WVU-3 Single

NW+7 Double

Duke under 44 Single

Kansas under 50 Double

Vandy +16 Single

Air Force -2 Single

A&M +3.5 Double

Memphis under 48.5 SIngle

Nebraska under 51 Single

Marshall over 45.5 Triple

WMU under 56 Double

Tulane +2 Single

Good luck Cappers!!!!

 

[AR182]

mc,

with turnovers from a freshman qb, i think miami puts up at least 49 on duke.....

good luck today....

 

[Danny Noonan]

You too, MC. Might need to throw A&M into the mix now that they are +3.5. Anxious to see if I am right about Pitt. I know that they have been an albatross for you so far. Have a profitable day!

Noonan