ncaa monday (texas/kansas)...........

[gman2]

kansas/texas over 141.5

*definitely a square play, but im not gonna 2nd guess myself. have hit 10 of 11 totals so just gonna trust my capping here, even if the line is shady

*i think both defenses are gonna be a little weak as a result of their respective hard-fought games on saturday. this is where individual philosophy comes into play- kinda like nba back-to-backs. to tired legs make for terrible shooting?.....or do they make for half-ass defense? im of the belief that the latter will be the case here.

*recent meetings in kansas have all been up-tempo games, but in austin, #s havent been as high. thats a concern, and of course it must be noted that self doesnt want to push the ball quite as much as the williams-led jayhawks. still think texas is gonna try and run though. their style hasnt changed overnight and i think their lower scoring games have been a byproduct of their defense, not their pace

*kansas is a weird team. they dont have dead-eye shooters like theyve had in the past, but i dont think texas is gonna sit in a zone all night because jayhawks have shooters capable of knocking down shots.

over for me, no matter how popular it is

 

[ezpickin]

u got a lean on the side?

 

[c20916]

gman I usually go with you on the totals, but this one I have pegged as under, Tex only avg 131 points in their last 11, Kansas avg 141 in their last 12, now I am going to have to take a second look at it.

 

[gman2]

u got a lean on the side?

i gotta lean kansas.
at some point, texas' poor free throw shooting is going to catch up with them, and i think its hard to lay a good amount of chalk to a solid opponent if you cant know down free throws. kansas not what theyve been in the past, but theyre not a shit team.

horns have shot some abysmal percentages from the line in their L3 games:

14-21 (66%)
16-28 (57%)
10-17 (59%)

those #s of course dont help my over play, i just think the pace will be enough to compensate for the missed FTs. but i really dont see this being a blowout at all.

===============================

c20916:

trust your numbers if you got it capped as an under. i could be dead wrong and this one could be played in the 60s. personally, i dont see it but omniscient i am not.

 

[RexBudler]

keep bringing in those totals gman....you have been making me some money

 

[kcwolf]

gman2

Thought I'd throw in my two cents worth on the total.

I came up with 144 on the low end, a stronger 149 number. If you throw out Oklahoma's 37 pts @ Texas 2 weeks ago, both teams are avg. around 74 pts on off & defense recently.

Tough call, would lean over.

 

[vinnie]

Re: ncaa monday (texas/kansas)...........

kansas/texas over 141.5

*definitely a square play, but im not gonna 2nd guess myself. have hit 10 of 11 totals so just gonna trust my capping here, even if the line is shady


over for me, no matter how popular it is

I guess I'm a square too :tongue besides you own us one for not capping the OT in the Butler total :thefinger

 

[vinnie]

WE WANT MORE TOTALS :spotting: :spotting: :spotting: :spotting: :spotting: :spotting:

 

[mjalam]

NICE JOB "SQUARE" ..JK