Ncaa Week 12:

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TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
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Dec 27, 2000
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YTD: 83 - 58 = +16.12 units

glad to see there's so much interest generated by the MAC contest......;)

been going nowhere the last 3 weeks in college football.....made a disasterous with the miami ML for 3 units and a stoopid OREGON chaser bet on the side and total which wiped out a good 11 - 3 day.:(

we'll learn from that.
 
T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
going AGAINST the system play on this one:

SUNBELT CONFERENCE:

BIG LOSER!!!!!!
1) Utah State -2.5 -107 (1/2 unit) ****DOWNGRADED
WHY? BIG LOSER!!!!!!

Utah St. away vs any opponent on any surface in any month.
Utah St. was 4-16-0 SU and 9-10-1 ATS in these games.

facts from the thesportsnetwork: can't argue with this logic

who's the hotter team?

from the website:
The suddenly resurgent Utah State Aggies travel to Las Cruces for a Thursday night Sun Belt Conference matchup with the struggling New Mexico State Aggies. This season got off to a terrible start for Utah State, as it lost six of its first seven tilts and appeared to be headed for disaster.

Things have turned around lately for the team though, as it has posted back- to-back victories to improve to 3-1 in SBC action. The most recent victory came last Saturday by a score of 41-20 over Middle Tennessee State, and the squad has now scored a total of 90 points in the last two outings. As for New Mexico State, it managed to snap a five-game skid with a narrow victory over UL-Monroe two weeks ago. The team could not make it two in a row last weekend, however, as it dropped a 28-24 decision to Arkansas State to fall to 1-4 in league action. Of NMSU's seven losses this season, four have come by seven points or less. Utah State leads the all-time series with New Mexico State by a 23-4 count, including victories in each of the last two meetings.

Furthermore, the USU is 13-1 in games played in Las Cruces.

this one could be decided by a field goal....i can't even say when i've ever lost a college football game by ONE point on a side.... EVER. Great, now that i've just jinxed myself, let's see how it plays out.:nono:
 
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T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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2) STANFORD/ ARIZ ST UNDER 44.5 -108 (1 unit)

Stanford gives everyone fits at home.....and they give a good defensive battle as well....see this one as another 24 - 14 like score.

stanford last ten at home:

Date Home Pts Away Pts SU
Result H Line ATS
Result O/U O/U
Result G/T
11/1/2003 Stanford 21 UCLA 14 W 6.5 W 40 U G
10/18/2003 Stanford 14 Washington St. 24 L 12 W 49 U G
9/6/2003 Stanford 31 San Jose St. 10 W -11.5 W 59.5 U G
11/16/2002 Stanford 21 Oregon St. 31 L 12.5 W 52.5 U G
11/9/2002 Stanford 17 Southern Cal 49 L 19.5 L 49 O G
10/19/2002 Stanford 16 Arizona 6 W -2.5 W 62 U G
10/12/2002 Stanford 11 Washington St. 36 L 8 L 65 U G
9/14/2002 Stanford 63 San Jose St. 26 W -17.5 W 65 O G
12/27/2001 Stanford 14 Georgia Tech 24 L 6 L 60.5 U G
11/24/2001 Stanford 17 Notre Dame 13 W -8 L 55.5 U G
 
T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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some trends:

College Football Trends


Wednesday, November 5th

Louisville at TCU, 7:30 ET
Louisville - 4-1 Over this season
TCU - 2-6 ATS this season



Thursday, November 6th

South Carolina at Arkansas, 7:30 ET
South Carolina - 8-2 ATS away off a loss by 6 or less points
Arkansas - 0-6 ATS at home after playing BB games as a favorite


Added Game:

Utah State at New Mexico State, 8:00 ET
Utah State - 1-6 ATS away off a win
New Mexico State - 6-1 ATS as a home underdog



Friday, November 7th

Colorado State at New Mexico, 9:00 ET
Colorado State - 42-19 ATS off BB conference games
New Mexico - 2-8 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games



Saturday, November 8th

West Virginia at Boston College, 12:00 ET
West Virginia - 5-0 Under this season
Boston College - 3-7 ATS vs. West Virginia

**Temple at Syracuse, 1:30 ET
Temple - 4-1 ATS in road games
Syracuse - 5-1 Under this season

**Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh, 7:45 ET
Virginia Tech - 1-6 ATS away off a conference game
Pittsburgh - 9-2 ATS off a conference win

Michigan State at Ohio State, 12:00 ET
Michigan State - 6-2 Under this season
Ohio State - 5-2 Under this season

**Iowa at Purdue, 3:30 ET
Iowa - 7-1 ATS on grass
Purdue - 1-6 ATS at home after a turnover margin of +3 or better

Penn State at Northwestern, 12:00 ET
Penn State - 8-1 ATS in November
Northwestern - 2-8 ATS off a road loss

Wisconsin at Minnesota, 12:00 ET
Wisconsin - 8-2 ATS away after playing as a favorite
Minnesota - 3-10 ATs at home after scoring 37+ points

Wake Forest at North Carolina, 12:00 ET
Wake Forest - 4-0 ATS at North Carolina
North Carolina - 3-13 ATS in home games

**Georgia Tech at Duke, 1:00 ET
Georgia Tech - 13-3 ATS off a SU win as an underdog
Duke - 1-6 ATS at home off a road loss

**Mississippi at Auburn, 3:30 ET
Mississippi - 10-3 ATS off a conference win by 7 or less points
Auburn - 5-14 ATS at home after scoring 37+ points

**Texas at Oklahoma State, 7:00 ET
Texas - 1-6 ATS off a home conferenc win
Oklahoma State - 13-4 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points

Northern Illinois at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Northern Illinois - 6-0 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Buffalo - 1-5 ATS after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

Central Florida at Eastern Michigan, 1:00 ET
Central Florida - 6-2 ATS away after allowing 35+ points
Eastern Michigan - 3-12 ATS after allowing 31+ points in 3+ games

Akron at Central Michigan, 1:00 ET
Akron - 5-1 ATS away vs. teams allowing 200+ rush ypg
Central Michigan - 2-11 ATS off a conference win

**Illinois at Indiana, 12:10 ET
Illinois - 12-5 ATS vs. opponents with revenge
Indiana - 1-6 ATS this season

**Ball State at Western Michigan, 2:00 ET
Ball State - 13-2 ATS off a SU loss
Western Michigan - 1-7 ATS after scoring 30+ points

Kent State at Ohio, 2:00 ET
Kent State - 6-1 ATS as an underdog
Ohio - 1-6 ATS off a SU loss as a favorite

Kansas State at Iowa State, 2:00 ET
Kansas State - 10-3 ATS off 3+ conference games
Iowa State - 0-6 ATS as an underdog

South Florida at East Carolina, 2:00 ET
South Florida - 10-2 ATS as a favorite
East Carolina - 3-16 ATS at home off a road ATS win

Nebraska at Kansas, 3:30 ET
Nebraska - 35-16 ATS off a road game
Kansas - 2-11 ATS off 3+ conference games

**Navy at Notre Dame, 2:30 ET
Navy - 17-4 ATS off a home win
Notre Dame - 1-6 ATS on grass

**Alabama at Mississippi State, 12:30 ET
Alabama - 5-1 ATS away after allowing 37+ points
Mississippi State - 1-5 ATS at home off a road loss

SMU at Louisiana Tech, 3:00 ET
SMU - 5-1 ATS away after allowing 125 or less passing yards
Louisiana Tech - 2-9 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points

Texas Tech at Baylor, 3:00 ET
Texas Tech - 5-1 ATS off a SU win
Baylor - 5-16 ATS vs. conference opponents

Tulsa at Rice, 3:00 ET
Tulsa - 1-6 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
Rice - 10-2 ATS at home off BB ATS wins

**Missouri at Colorado, 2:30 ET
Missouri - 17-6 ATS after playing 3+ games as an underdog
Colorado - 1-13 ATS at home off an Under

**Army at Air Force, 2:00 ET
Army - 8-2 ATS away off BB losses
Air Force - 2-8 ATS off BB confernce losses

Fresno State at Nevada, 3:00 ET
Fresno State - 5-1 ATS after passing for 125 or less yards
Nevada - 1-7 ATS off BB games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

San Diego State at UNLV, 3:00 ET
San Diego State - 4-1 Under this season
UNLV - 6-3 Under this season

**Florida State at Clemson, 7:45 ET
Florida State - 5-1 ATS away off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
Clemson - 6-16 ATS off an Over

**Tennessee at Miami FL, 12:00 ET
Tennessee - 6-0 ATS away off BB games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Miami FL - 1-5 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents

**Texas A&M at Oklahoma, 12:00 ET
Texas A&M - 1-7 ATS off an ATS loss
Oklahoma - 11-2 ATS off an Over

**California at Oregon, 10:00 ET
California - 14-4 ATS away off an Over
Oregon - 1-5 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games

Tulane at UAB, 4:00 ET
Tulane - 4-12 ATS off a SU loss
UAB - 7-1 ATS off a home win

San Jose State at UTEP, 5:00 ET
San Jose State - 7-1 ATS as a favorite
UTEP - 2-8 ATS at home off a SU loss

Southern Miss at Houston, 5:00 ET
Southern Miss - 37-19 ATS off a non-conference game
Houston - 15-33 ATS off a conference loss

Arizona State at Stanford, 5:00 ET
Arizona State - 1-7 ATS in November
Stanford - 7-1 ATS after playing 5+ games as an underdog

**Vanderbilt at Florida, 1:00 ET
Vanderbilt - 4-15 ATS off BB ATS wins
Florida - 6-1 ATS in weeks 10 to 13

Washington at Arizona, 7:00 ET
Washington - 1-6 ATS before California
Arizona - 4-1 ATS vs. Washington

UCLA at Washington State, 7:00 ET
UCLA - 1-6 ATS off a conference loss
Washington State - 9-1 ATS after forcing 0 turnovers
 
T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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Added Games:

Rutgers at Connecticut, 12:00 ET
Rutgers - 4-14 ATS off a bye week
Connecticut - 17-7 ATS on grass

Idaho at Arkansas State, 3:00 ET
Idaho - 0-6 ATS as a favorite
Arkansas State - 6-1 ATS as a home underdog

North Texas at LA Monroe, 5:00 ET
North Texas - 8-2 ATS off 3+ SU wins
LA Monroe - 1-5 ATS as a home underdog of 10.5 to 21 points

Troy State at Mid Tenn State, 7:00 ET
Troy State - 5-1 ATS after scoring 3 or less first half points
Mid Tenn State - 1-5 ATS off 3+ conference games
 
T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
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Dec 27, 2000
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
tv,
your comments on the games crack me up. keep up the good work.
Click to expand...

:)
....too many times have people analyzed their own picks and written dissertations on why they think their side will cover and then have it blow up in their face.
If you have time for that, great. i don't. I hope my record speaks for itself to all 7 of my fans!!!!

4) South Carolina +7.5 -108 (1/2 unit) LOOOOSER

like i read, does arky have enough in their tank to cover this one? This sagacious and cautious capper says:NAY!
AND ARKY has only had about 5 days to recover from that 7 overtime classic against KENTUCKY.

5) SC / arky fh play: UNDER 24 -108 (1/2 unit) WINNER
 
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T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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6) Virginia Tech -5 -101 (1/2 )

V TEch defense baby, no let down here.

7) Connecticut -7 -105 (1/2)
UCONN will probably have a slow start like they normally do, feel them out, and then blow Rutgers out of the water in the second half.
 
T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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11) I had to: SOUTH CAROLINA +258 (1/2 unit) LOOOOSER

EVEN IF they didn't have their 7 overtime game and had to go back on 5 days rest we still have these stats in our favour....unless the linesmakers know something that we don't.

Arkansas at home vs any opponent on any surface in any month.
Arkansas was 6-4-0 SU and 2-8-0 ATS in these games.
 
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Topdog

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Toronto-V...........

Toronto-V...........

It seems that tired legs makes for poor defense. For that reason, I'm leaning toward the Over in tonights Arkansas game.

Great Luck and Keep it Positive, Topdog
 
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