Ncaa Week 12

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

hmmmmmmmmmmm....let's see....

i've started my thread early in the week the last THREE weeks and i've gone +8.00 units....

well, it's let not stop that ritual!!!!

ytd: 73 - 62 = -0.25 units

GUNNING FOR PLUS UNITS FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE WEEK 2!!!!!

ALMOST OUT OF THE -16.00 UNIT HOLE.....

don't you guys love these "feel - good" stories....???
i should be on the Dr.Phil show....


plays to show up whenever, so watch for it!!!!

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

BTW, i'd personally like to thank the North Texas Mean Green for their solid defense on the road...because without them, i'd still be in that HUGE hole.....
i can honestly say, they've made me about +12 units over the last few weeks.....

keep up the D....!!!

Furthermore, for you N.Texas under lovers, be careful as strange things seem to happen when N.Tex plays at home....games have a tendancy to go OVER the total....which is why i played the UNDER 20 in the first half of the game vs U Louisiana-Monroe Indians....

N.TEX's next game.....against those bee-atch prostitutes who call themselves " I, da hoe!!!" yet, they're Vandals....???

be careful of the under in this one...may i suggest a little on the under in the FIRST HALF.

good luck to everyone this week.
:toast:

 

[no all]

and good luck to u this week tvdance2 :thumb:

 

[gardenweasel]

point taken

point taken

love the mean green....like a little train rolling downhill as the season goes on....that 40+ they put up last week took me by surprise....the shut-out didn`t....little mean green money makin` machine.....g.l.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

COVERS ATS:

NCAA Football ATS Standings 2002-03


Team ATS W/L O/U
1 Notre Dame 8-1 8-1 2-6-1
2 Northern Illinois 7-1 6-3 1-2
3 South Florida 5-1 5-2 1-3
4 Iowa 7-2-1 9-1 4-4
5 Boise State 7-2 8-1 4-2
6 Alabama 7-2 7-2 2-4-1
7 Iowa State 7-2 7-3 4-3
8 Nevada 7-2 4-5 4-4
9 Georgia 6-2 8-1 4-3
10 Maryland 6-2 7-2 3-3
11 Tulane 6-2 6-3 2-1
12 West Virginia 6-2 6-3 4-3
13 Connecticut 6-2 2-6 2-1-1
14 Texas Christian 5-2 7-1 3-0
15 Kansas State 5-2 7-2 5-1
16 Louisiana State 5-2 6-2 2-5
17 Auburn 5-2 6-3 5-1
18 Troy State 5-2 3-7 0-2
19 Duke 7-3 2-8 3-1
20 North Carolina State 6-3 9-1 3-4
21 Arizona State 6-3 7-3 7-2
22 Miami Ohio 6-3-1 7-3 1-4-1
23 Air Force 6-3 6-3 3-6
24 Kentucky 6-3 6-3 3-3
25 California 6-3 5-4 3-5
26 Missouri 6-3 4-5 4-3


27 Washington State 5-3 8-1 3-3
28 Hawaii 5-3 7-2 2-2-2
29 Oregon 5-3 7-2 4-2-1
30 Oregon State 5-3 6-3 3-5
31 Arkansas 5-3 5-3 4-4
32 Arkansas State 5-3 5-6 0-1
33 Ball State 5-3 4-5 1-2-1
34 Central Michigan 5-3 4-5 1-2
35 North Texas 5-3 4-5 2-2
36 Rice 5-3-1 4-5 2-3
37 Idaho 5-3 2-7 0-3
38 Rutgers 5-3 1-8 2-2
39 Ohio State 6-4 10-0 2-6
40 Bowling Green 4-3 8-0 1-1-1
41 Oklahoma 4-3-1 8-0 4-2
42 Southern California 4-3 6-2 5-2
43 Louisville 4-3-1 5-3 4-2
44 Toledo 4-3 5-3 2-1
45 Oklahoma State 4-3 4-4 3-2
46 Cincinnati 4-3 3-5 2-2-1
47 Wyoming 4-3-1 2-7 2-1
48 Virginia Tech 5-4 8-1 3-4
49 Colorado State 5-4-1 8-2 4-4-1
50 Colorado 5-4 6-3 2-4
51 Penn State 5-4 6-3 4-4
52 UCLA 5-4 6-3 5-4
53 Virginia 5-4 6-3 4-4
54 Wake Forest 5-4-1 5-5 2-4
55 Purdue 5-4 4-5 2-3-1
56 San Jose State 5-4 4-6 4-1-1
57 Illinois 5-4 3-6 3-4
58 Texas Tech 5-5 6-4 6-3
59 Wisconsin 5-5 6-4 3-6
60 Northwestern 5-5 3-7 3-4
61 Minnesota 4-4 7-2 1-4
62 Boston College 4-4 5-3 2-3
63 Houston 4-4 4-4 1-1
64 Indiana 4-4 3-6 4-2
65 Ohio 4-4 3-6 2-1
66 Temple 4-4 3-6 2-3
67 Stanford 4-4 2-6 3-5
68 Northeast Louisiana 4-4 2-7 3-0
69 Western Michigan 4-4 2-7 0-4
70 Middle Tennessee State 4-4 2-7 0-2
71 Pittsburgh 4-5 7-2 3-3
72 Florida State 4-5 6-3 3-5
73 Georgia Tech 4-5 6-3 0-8
74 San Diego State 4-5 3-6 3-4
75 Central Florida 3-4 3-5 2-3
76 Utah State 3-4 2-6 3-0
77 Buffalo 3-4-1 1-8 1-1
78 Army 3-4 0-8 1-2
79 Southern Methodist 4-6 1-9 1-3
80 Texas 3-5-1 8-1 3-4
81 Tennessee 3-5 5-3 1-4-1
82 Nebraska 3-5-1 6-4 3-4
83 Clemson 3-5-1 5-4 4-4
84 Alabama-Birmingham 3-5 4-4 0-1-1
85 New Mexico 3-5 4-5 3-3
86 Arizona 3-5 3-6 1-7
87 Syracuse 3-5 3-6 6-2
88 Utah 3-5 2-6 4-2-1
89 Akron 3-5 2-7 2-2
90 Florida 3-6 6-3 3-4
91 New Mexico State 3-6 6-3 3-4
92 Mississippi 3-6 5-4 3-2-1
93 South Carolina 3-6 5-4 3-4-1
94 Texas A&M 3-6 5-4 3-3
95 Brigham Young 3-6 4-5 2-6-1
96 Fresno State 3-6 4-5 5-3
97 UL Lafayette 3-6 2-7 1-2
98 Kansas 3-6 2-8 4-1


99 Miami 2-5 8-0 4-1
100 Marshall 2-5 6-2 1-4
101 Navy 2-5-1 1-7 2-1
102 Louisiana Tech 2-6 3-5 2-3
103 Memphis 2-6 2-7 2-1-2
104 Vanderbilt 2-6 2-7 1-2
105 Tulsa 2-6-1 1-8 2-1
106 Michigan 2-7 7-2 5-3
107 UNLV 2-7 4-5 5-4
108 North Carolina 2-7 2-7 5-3
109 Kent 1-5-1 3-6 0-2-1
110 Southern Mississippi 1-6 5-3 0-5
111 Mississippi State 1-6 3-5 2-1-2
112 Eastern Michigan 1-6 3-6 2-0
113 East Carolina 1-6 2-5 3-0
114 Washington 1-7-1 4-5 4-3
115 Baylor 1-7 3-6 3-0
116 Texas El Paso 1-7 2-7 2-2
117 Michigan State 1-8 3-6 4-3

time to bet against these lower end teams...!!!

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

like i care about trends...

but some of you might....


College Football Trends

Thursday, November 7th

Cincinnati at Louisville, 7:35 ET
Cincinnati - 5-1 ATS in November
Louisville - 0-7 ATS at home off 3 straight conference games

Saturday, November 9th

Notre Dame at Navy, 12:00 ET
Notre Dame - 2-7 ATS vs. Navy
Navy - 16-5 ATS vs. conference opponents

Boston College at West Virginia, 12:00 ET
Boston College - 0-4 ATS at West Virginia
West Virginia - 19-7 ATS after a SU win by 21+ points

Temple at Pittsburgh, 7:30 ET
Temple - 1-5 ATS after allowing 42+ points
Pittsburgh - 8-2 ATS off BB conference games

Clemson at North Carolina, 12:00 ET
Clemson - 4-13 ATS off an ATS loss
North Carolina - 4-1 ATS at home vs. Clemson

**Virginia at Penn State, 3:30 ET
Virginia - 3-11 ATS away with 2+ weeks rest
Penn State - 5-1 ATS before Indiana

NC State at Maryland, 12:00 ET
NC State - 1-5 ATS away after winning SU in 4 of their last 5 games
Maryland - 11-2 ATS off BB SU wins

Northwestern at Iowa, 12:05 ET
Northwestern - 1-4 ATS as a DD home dog off a SU dog win
Iowa - 13-3 ATS off 3 straight conference games

Ohio State at Purdue, 12:05 ET
Ohio State - 6-1 ATS vs. Purdue
Purdue - 1-8 ATS after allowing 14 points or less

Michigan State at Indiana, 12:05 ET
Michigan State - 1-14 ATS away off a SU loss
Indiana - 8-2 ATS after allowing 5.5+ yds/carry last game

Mississippi at Georgia, 12:30 ET
Mississippi - 1-6 ATS as a road dog
Georgia - 4-1 ATS vs. Mississippi

Arkansas at South Carolina, 12:30 ET
Arkansas - 3-11 ATS as a road favorite
South Carolina - 5-1 ATS after ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

Central Florida at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Central Florida - 15-4 ATS off an ATS loss
Buffalo - 1-5 ATS at home after committing 1 or less turnovers

Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan, 1:30 ET
Eastern Michigan - 0-9 ATS when playing on grass
Western Michigan - Host in this series is 4-0 ATS

LSU at Kentucky, 1:30 ET
LSU - 1-9 ATS after trailing by 17+ points at half last game
Kentucky - 7-2 ATS vs. LSU

**Colorado at Missouri, 12:30 ET
Colorado - 2-10 ATS off an Under
Missouri - 5-1 ATS in November

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech, 2:00 ET
Oklahoma State - 2-8 ATS away after playing as a dog
Texas Tech - 25-12 ATS as a home favorite

Baylor at Texas, 2:00 ET
Baylor - 0-7 ATS this season
Texas - 5-1 ATS in November

Florida at Vanderbilt, 2:00 ET
Florida - 15-4 ATS away off an Under
Vanderbilt - 2-9 ATS at home off a SU loss

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois, 2:05 ET
Bowling Green - 10-2 ATS off a SU win by 21+ points
Northern Illinois - 1-5 ATS after committing 0 turnovers

**Iowa State at Kansas State, 7:00 ET
Iowa State - 6-1 ATS off an Over
Kansas State - 1-5 ATS after scoring 31+ points in BB games

Tulane at TCU, 3:00
Tulane - 13-3 ATS after a SU win by 21+ points
TCU - 0-5 ATS vs. Tulane

East Carolina at Houston, 3:00 ET
East Carolina - 5-1 ATS after ATS losses in 4 out of their last 5 games
Houston - 1-6 ATS at home after playing as a road dog

Air Force at Army, 3:00 ET
Air Force - 12-4 ATS off a home game
Army - 5-14 ATS off a bye week

San Diego State at New Mexico, 3:00 ET
San Diego State - 3-7 ATS vs. New Mexico
New Mexico - 8-2 ATS at home off a conference game

UNLV at Utah, 3:00 ET
UNLV - 6-1 ATS away after playing as a home favorite
Utah - 1-10 ATS at home after playing 3 straight games as favorites

Wyoming at BYU, 3:00 ET
Wyoming - 6-0 ATS vs. BYU
BYU - 7-17 ATS after playing as a favorite

Rice at Boise State, 3:05 ET
Rice - 2-8 ATS off an ATS win
Boise State - 15-3 ATS vs. conference opponents

UTEP at Nevada, 3:05 ET
UTEP - 1-7 ATS as a dog
Nevada - 6-1 ATS off an ATS win

Mississippi State at Alabama, 3:30 ET
Mississippi State - 14-5 ATS away in November
Alabama - 2-8 ATS vs. Mississippi State

Florida State at Georgia Tech, 3:30 ET
Florida State - 8-0 ATS after committing 3+ turnovers
Georgia Tech - 3-7 ATS vs. Florida State

Oklahoma at Texas A&M, 3:30 ET
Oklahoma - 1-5 ATS off 3 straight ATS wins
Texas A&M - 5-1 ATS at home off an ATS loss

UCLA at Arizona, 3:30 ET
UCLA - 10-3 ATS after committing 1 or less turnovers
Arizona - 3-13 ATS at home

Miami at Tennessee, 3:30 ET
Miami - 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season
Tennessee - 12-4 ATS vs. teams averaging 245+ yards/game

Oregon State at Washington, 3:30 ET
Oregon State - 10-3 ATS off BB SU wins
Washington - 1-5 ATS at home this season

Louisiana Tech at San Jose State, 5:00 ET
Louisiana Tech - 1-8 ATS off a bye week
San Jose State - 8-2 ATS after allowing 475+ yards in BB games

Oregon at Washington State, 5:00 ET
Oregon - 6-0 away off an ATS win
Washington State - 18-34 ATS second half of the season

California at Arizona State, 6:30 ET
California - 4-12 ATS after ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games
Arizona State - 5-0 ATS at home vs. California

USC at Stanford, 7:00 ET
USC - 1-6 ATS away off BB ATS wins as a favorite
Stanford - 5-1 ATS at home off a SU loss

Tulsa at Fresno State, 7:00 ET
Tulsa - 2-11 ATS away off a SU loss
Fresno State - 11-2 ATS at home off BB SU losses

Central Michigan at Toledo, 7:00 ET
Central Michigan - 5-14 ATS off an ATS win
Toledo - 5-1 ATS at home after ATS wins in 2 of thier last 3 games

Michigan at Minnesota, 3:30 ET
Michigan - 3-11 ATS in road games
Minnesota - 5-1 ATS at home off an Under

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

watch for T.Vig's "FEEL GOOD, PLAY OF THE WEEK".

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

EARLY LEAN:

N. TEXAS UNDER 1st half ( whatever number ) for 3 units.

cut and paste analysis:

Its no secret that the key to the Mean Green's success is its ferocious defense. North Texas enters play this week ranked 10th in country in allowing only 277.1 ypg to its opponents, as the club is solid against both the pass and run. Foes have thrown for a mere 156.6 ypg against the Mean Green, while totaling just 120.6 ypg on the ground. Last week was more of the same, as UL- Monroe finished with just 181 yards in the contest. The Indians could muster only 62 yards rushing, while their 37 pass attempts resulted in only 119 yards passing. Linebacker Casey Taylor led all tacklers with 10 stops, as North Texas did not allow any offensive points for the second straight game. Taylor also paces the club in tackles on the season with 80, while defensive tackle Brandon Kennedy has seven of the Mean Green's 30 sacks on the year. Cornerback Don McGee tops the unit with three interceptions. North Texas ranks seventh in the nation in scoring defense, as it allows only 14 ppg, for the school's lowest figure since 1983.

The Mean Green defense is even stronger this season than last year, when the club took the Sun Belt crown and played in the New Orleans Bowl. Idaho has improved over last year, but head coach Tom Cable still has some work to do to move to the top of the league standings. The only thing that could stop North Texas in this one is if the club glances ahead on its schedule at its upcoming date next week with New Mexico State, which is shaping up to be a conference title game. Dickey won't let that happen, as the Mean Green takes care of business in Denton and cruise to a satisfying win.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

2nd lean: arky / S.carolina under ( first half....) 2 units

17 -13 sound good....???

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

this just made my EYES pop out.....

LEAN 3:

ALL OF GEORGIA TECH'S POSTED TOTALS FOR THE SEASON HAVE GONE UNDER !!!!!!

o/u 0 - 8 this season!!!

Date Opponent Score Spread O/U
11/2/2002 Away North Carolina State W 24-17 W 11.5 U 50
10/26/2002 Home Virginia W 23-15 W -4.5 U 52
10/17/2002 Away Maryland L 10-34 L 2.5 U 48
10/5/2002 Home Wake Forest L 21-24 L -13 U 51
9/28/2002 Away North Carolina W 21-13 W -2.5 U 49
9/21/2002 Home Brigham Young W 28-19 L -11 U 57
9/14/2002 Away Clemson L 19-24 L -1 U 45.5
9/7/2002 Away Connecticut W 31-14 L -23 U 47.5
8/31/2002 Home Vanderbilt W 45-3 W -20.5 N


now watch me bet on it and it goes OVER....

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

GL to you this weekend

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

do or die week:

1) IDAHO AT NORTH TEXAS First Half Under +23.0 -110 ( 2 units)

2) FLORIDA ST AT GEORGIA TECH
First Half Under +26.0 -110 ( 1 U)

3) ARKANSAS AT S CAROLINA First Half Under +21.0 -110 ( 1 unit)


good luck this week, troops!!!

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

4) W.Virginia - 3.5 over B.C ( 2 U)

Defensively, the Eagles put forth a phenomenal effort against a Notre Dame offense that has not played well this season. The Fighting Irish racked up 22 first downs and 357 total yards in the contest, but Boston College was able to come out on top thanks to five big takeaways. The biggest play of the game came in the second quarter, when Josh Ott intercepted a pass and returned it 71 yards for a touchdown. Ott's score prove to be the game winner, and the fact that the Eagles allowed Notre Dame to score just once on six trips into the red zone is shocking. So far this season, opponents are scoring 19.5 ppg and gaining 343 ypg of total offense against Boston College. The Eagles have been a bit shaky against the run, allowing 176.2 ypg on 4.1 ypc on the ground. Against the pass, they have allowed seven touchdown passes and recorded seven picks. The 19 turnovers that the defense has recorded is a major reason that the squad has won five of its eight games overall. Ott currently leads the defense with 73 total tackles, and Doug Bessette tops the squad with eight TFLs.

Boston College benefited tremendously last week from Notre Dame's carelessness with the football. Don't expect the Mountaineers to be so generous, as Cobourne and company will protect the ball at all times. The Eagles may hang around all game, but expect West Virginia to come out on top at home.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

5) Tcu -13 Tulane ( 3 U)

TCU has won seven games this season mostly thanks to the fourth ranked defense in the country. The Frogs' pass defense ranks 34th, but the key to their defense is stopping the run. Teams average just 69.9 ypg against TCU on the ground and are ranked third in the country in that category. Led by All- American candidate LaMarcus McDonald at linebacker, TCU has allowed only 158 points to be scored against them the whole season. McDonald earned C-USA's Defensive Player of the Week honor against Southern Miss, with an amazing defensive performance of 16 tackles, four sacks and six TFLs. McDonald has been the team's leading tackler in seven of the eight games this season. He has recorded 88 tackles, with 22 TFLs and seven sacks. Junior defensive end Bo Schobel is second on the team with six sacks and has 42 tackles, with 10 TFLs. Senior cornerback Jason Goss leads the secondary with five interceptions and 10 PBUs.

Look for TCU to dominate this game from the get go. Tulane will find that running the ball against McDonald and this defense is an absolute nightmare. They will be forced into turnovers and mistakes early and often by a smothering defense. Hobbs should be able to notch his third straight 100-yard performance. The Green Wave have not been able to win a game away from the Superdome this year and will wish they had stayed there this weekend, as TCU adds to its impressive season with another convincing victory.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

6) Notre Dame -28.5 ( 1U)

it hurt to watch N.D play the way they did last week against B.C.
They did NOT play the style that we were used to seeing all season long from them....

Taking one look at the defensive numbers for Navy and it isn't hard to see why the team has failed to win more than one game thus far. The Midshipmen are allowing a generous 40.8 points per game in 2002, getting especially abused by opposing rushing attacks. Foes are netting a healthy 4.8 yards per carry and 233.6 yards per game. The Middies must shore things up this week, or Notre Dame will run all over them. Not exactly a big play unit, the Navy defense has collected just 11 sacks and 12 turnovers in the first eight games. Sophomore safety Josh Smith has been everywhere on the field for Navy thus far, leading the team in tackles (86). He also has one interception and one fumble recovery on the year. Sophomore linebacker Dustin Elliot (24 tackles) paces the squad in plays behind the line of scrimmage, with six TFLs and two sacks. Senior defensive end Pete Beuttenmuller (16 tackles) leads the team with three sacks.

The longest-ever win streak against one opponent will surely reach 39 games, as Notre Dame certainly won't be looking past the Midshipmen. Even if the Irish forget to bring their "A" game, there "B" or even "C" game should be enough to comfortably beat Navy.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

7) ohio st / purdue under 22.5 first half ( 1 U)

ohio st knows it needs atleast three wins to get a posible fiesta bowl berth...i'm thinkin they're gonna be bringin their "A" defense in this one....
purdue's D is good at home, giving them always a chance to cover the spread...

8) LSU / KENTUCKY under 51 ( 2 units)

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

9) Boise St -27.5 vs Rice ( 1 unit)

good luck to all this weekend!!!

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

7) ohio st / purdue under 22.5 first half ( 1 U)

WON

good start to the day.....

my co-worker warned me not to take this play......
"many points will be scored in this game", he said....
i'm gonna rip into him on monday....

but then again, he ain't no sports handicapper like me....

it's good to be right 51% of the time in NCAA football.....

 

[ChrryBlstr]

good luck, brother!!!

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

VENT TIME.

VENT TIME.

fawking 28 points in the FOURTH quarter for LSU and Kentucky to ruin my under....!!!!
thanks!!!
:gf: :gf: :firing: :firing: