NCAA WEEK 4: YTD: 11 - 4 = +8.31 units

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TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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NCAA 2006 record: 11 - 4 = +8.31 units

totals: 5 - 1 = +7.00 units
parlays: 0 - 1 = - 0.50 units
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another great SEC total last week.....and went 4 - 0 on sides....

we'll dig up some more gems hopefully this week.
 
T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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some FYI's and leans:

1) lookin at the miami, ohio / syrac under
2) ohio st / penn st under

****3) georgia / colorado UNDER 36.5 -110
(this is lower than the alb / arkie game???)
this could be a play as trends are indicating UNDER.

georgia:

* Under is 3-0 in Bulldogs last 3 games on Grass.
* Under is 22-3 in Bulldogs last 25 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
* Under is 22-4 in Bulldogs last 26 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
* Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
* Under is 9-2 in Bulldogs last 11 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
* Under is 17-4 in Bulldogs last 21 games in September.
* Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 home games.
* Under is 27-7 in Bulldogs last 34 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
* Under is 25-9 in Bulldogs last 34 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
* Under is 11-4 in Bulldogs last 15 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
* Under is 5-2 in Bulldogs last 7 games following a S.U. win.

4) thinking: Boise State -15 -102

The Rainbows are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS the last five years vs. the Broncos. They are just 4-11 ATS in their L15 conference road games. Boise State is 37-3 SU and 27-13 ATS in WAC play since '01. The Broncos are 8-1 ATS in their L9 games when favored at home.

5) SMU / Arkie st UNDER 39.5 -105


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gonna wait until friday to get some late info on some reliable sources and then make a decision on the wagers....
 
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T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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AR182 said:
tv..

am curious to see what totals you are actually playing....

good luck.
Click to expand...

good to hear from you in my threads.... :)

I was debating the alabama / arkie total, but it went down to 37.5, and i'm gonna stay away from it...it's hitting right on the threshold of my margin of error....

maybe look at a 2nd half totals play with that game depending on the score.
 
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GL TV! Careful with WASH...Tyrone is a very good coach and this is UCLA's first road test this season. They've had two weeks to prepare, so that's a plus! I'm passing, so hope ya nail it!! GL buddy!
 
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TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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RIGHT SIDE said:
GL TV! Careful with WASH...Tyrone is a very good coach and this is UCLA's first road test this season. They've had two weeks to prepare, so that's a plus! I'm passing, so hope ya nail it!! GL buddy!
Click to expand...

thanks for the explanation....makes sense now.

2) Boston College -6.5 -110 ( 1/2 unit)

BC is 13-6 ATS in their L19 games on grass.
NC State is only 3-10 ATS prior to a bye since '96.
The Wolfpack are 6-17 ATS in their L23 conference home games.
 
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wy1984

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Really lookin at that Georgia Under. That D is tought, and I believe they will get there 3rd straight shutout
gl
Wy
 
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TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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4) LSU -36.5 -105 ( 1/2 unit)

from a website:
You can forget the letdown theory. LSU has won its last five post-Auburn games by an average score of 44-13, including the last two by a combined score of 107-3. Tulane was real good on offense last week, but the Tiger defense is performing on a completely different planet. LSU has allowed 13 points all year, fueled by the nation?s top-ranked pass efficiency defense.
 
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TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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NCAA Half/Quarters. Football - Sat 9/23

1ST HALF:

1) ark / alab UNDER 19.5 -105 ( 1/2 unit)

this is the way I see it...I'm expecting a low scoring affair....and hopefully IF things mess up, there shouldn't be more than a 10 - 7 score at halftime...we'll see how it goes then do a 2nd half totals play.

...the reliable website i go to with SEC predictions has this game pegged as a 13- 10 final score....and i'm hoping for the same....
 
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1st half play:

6) Oklahoma -16.5 -110 ( 1/2 unit)

poor MIddle Tenn ST....they gotta play a PISSED off Oklahomer team that will probably destroy them in the 1st half....28 - 3, anyone, first half???

OKIE has a bye after this week....
 
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TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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let's hope this game stays close:

NCAA Half/Quarters. Football - Sat 9/23

not gonna blow the wad on the whole game and get greedy...cause I know there will be more opportunities for games like these in the SEC this season.

10) Arkansas / Alabama UNDER 17.5 -107
( 1 unit)
 
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