SECTION 2:
return of the anti top ten consensus plays:
we take the top ten % cappers from a certain handicapping website, and then we fade their consensus picks that are OVER 59%
how have they done this season?
College Football (NCAAF)
Current Season
Record Percent Units
ATS Picks 50-66-3 43.10% -11300
O/U Picks 28-23-1 54.90% +1350
All Picks 78-89-4 46.71% -9950
(if you had bet 5 units on each pick....)
seems to be profitable if we fade their sides, rather than their totals.....
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system sides to fade:
anything higher then 59% you FADE the picK
Indiana 34 39.53% +15.5 Michigan St 52 60.47%
ie: play would be on INDIANA
Ohio 25 40.32% +21.5 Northern Illinois 37 59.68%
ie: play would be on OHIO
La Monroe 21 40.38% +7 Arkansas St 31 59.62%
ie: play would be on LA MONROE
Central Mich 27 40.91% +29 Bowling Green 39 59.09%
Fresno St 50 59.52% +4.5 Colorado St 34 40.48%
No Carolina St 58 59.79% -7 Georgia Tech 39 40.21%
Alabama 49 60.49% +12.5 Georgia 32 39.51%
Vanderbilt 41 62.12% +4.5 Mississippi St 25 37.88%
Arizona 43 62.32% +29 Washington St 26 37.68%
Usc 53 62.35% -11.5 Arizona St 32 37.65%
Western Michigan 33 63.46% -14 E Michigan 19 36.54%
Washington 59 65.56% -1.5 Ucla 31 34.44%
Temple 42 65.63% +3.5 Middle Tenn St 22 34.38%
Tennessee 75 66.37% +1 Auburn 38 33.63%
Louisville 37 68.52% -2.5 South Florida 17 31.48%
Oklahoma 51 68.92% -21.5 Iowa St 23 31.08%
close enough picks:
Army 20 58.82% +31 Tcu 14 41.18%
Virginia 54 58.70% -8.5 North Carolina 38 41.30%
you get the idea.
i'm just tracking this. not gonna put any money on it yet.
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how did these guys and gals do in the past?
2002 Season
ATS Picks 229-227-6 50.22% -10350
O/U Picks 83-107-4 43.68% -17350
All Picks 312-334-10 48.30% -27700
(units based on 5 units per wager)