NCAA Week Eight

BobbyBlueChip

Trustee
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
20,715
290
83
53
Belly of the Beast
Season Record 26-23 -0.30 units
Favorites 12-10 +1.50 units
Dogs 8-12 -5.70 units
Totals 0-0
Halftimes 6-1 +3.90 units

Subsets
Returning Starter System 4-8 -4.80 units
Big 10 (Non RS) 13-10 +1.00 unit

Did a real half-assed job of 'capping last week and got my ass handed to me. Haven't turned anything around, yet, so these are picks w/ limited confidence behind them

West Lafayette should see some rain and 20+ hour winds. That will hamper the Boiler offense much more than the Badgers. Badgers manhandled the Buckeye front last weekend at Ohio State and I don't care what the stats say, Purdue's run defense is susceptible to getting run over and a projected wet field only makes them more susceptible. Tiller's teams have a tendency to fall when the spotlight is turned on and they have erased some demons at South Bend, but I'd like to see them do it again.

That said, Orton scares the hell out of me and he picked apart what I believe is a solid ND D, so if they are able to turn this into a shootout, it will be trouble for the Bahhhhdgers. Hopefully the weather forecast is right on and Wisky runs over the Boilers in a mudder

Wisconsin +7 1.5 units

Surprising stat this week for me is the fact that the Illini are 1-4 ATS because I think they've played much better than I've expected. I'm a little worried about playing a team that hasn't announced named their starting QB, but Beutjer's got to play. If Turner weren't on the bubble, he may go to a youth movement, but Michigan at home is a game that can turn a season around, save coaches jobs.

And now Michigan has to prepare for three QBs (which should be especially hard since they've been watching Purdue film all week :) ) Frosh QB on the road and a 20-point fav in a game sandwiched between Minny and Purdue.

Illinois +19 1.5 units
 
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BobbyBlueChip

Trustee
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
20,715
290
83
53
Belly of the Beast
I - L - L

I - N - I

Wind's a huge factor as the team with it has scored 27 and has 0 points against. Should bode well for the game in West Lafayette about 100 miles east and 75 miles north.

Illini finds ways to lose these types of games.

Michigan -10 (-105) 1 unit

GL 2 us, MC!
 
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