ncaaf week 4

[Cie]

2-5 -2.5u week 1
6-3 plus 1.85u week 2
5-5 -0.2u week 3

leans

aub plus 17.5
vandy plus 13.5
maryland plus 27.5
zona st -7
uab plus 38
kentucky plus 24.5
smiss plus 2.5
fiu plus 12.5
clem plus 13.5 not related to my system, just a gut feeling.

glta

 

[CollegeCapper]

Can you give me a few thoughts on why you think Auburn can hang in with LSU? LSU's offense can be a bit pedestrian at times, but it seems that Auburn will really struggle to score double digits.

However, for some reason this situation reminds me of LSU going into Miss State years ago laying 14 (and this is when Miss State was just horrible) and completely laid an egg -- similar thinking? Good luck and thanks

 

[capping-guru]

On ASU with you! I want to hammer Auburn as I dont like any rival laying 3 scores on the road too boot. It just doesn't add up but Auburn struggles to score. This will be like Auburn bowl game in my opinion. GL this week!

 

[Cie]

lsu is down to its utility lineman, josh dworcyak, at left tackle after their best ol was lost for the season last week. dworcyak went down last game and is banged up. if he cannot go, then the RT will shift to LT and a true frosh will step in at right tackle. Also, starting C was banged up last game as was the LG.

Mett is a bit shaky in the face of pressure and the running game takes pressure off of him, so the oline woes are huge. Plus, Mett will be playing his first game in hostile territory vs the most talented team he has faced this season.

LSU has only 10 seniors on t he roster, so are a very young team, plus are led by a qb starting for the 1st time on the road.


Aub offense is grotesque, and lsu def line should be very disruptive, but lsu is playing frosh all over the secondary and are down to their backup sam for the season.

i would certainly not back LSU, but would not be surprised if they roll aub.

 

[capping-guru]

lsu is down to its utility lineman, josh dworcyak, at left tackle after their best ol was lost for the season last week. dworcyak went down last game and is banged up. if he cannot go, then the RT will shift to LT and a true frosh will step in at right tackle. Also, starting C was banged up last game as was the LG.

Mett is a bit shaky in the face of pressure and the running game takes pressure off of him, so the oline woes are huge. Plus, Mett will be playing his first game in hostile territory vs the most talented team he has faced this season.

LSU has only 10 seniors on t he roster, so are a very young team, plus are led by a qb starting for the 1st time on the road.


Aub offense is grotesque, and lsu def line should be very disruptive, but lsu is playing frosh all over the secondary and are down to their backup sam for the season.

i would certainly not back LSU, but would not be surprised if they roll aub.

Very interesting! Thanks for the info.

 

[Cie]

Dworcyak has a strained calf, which presented problems in term of mobility. Unsure of his status. Lonergan is expected to start at Center, which is big.

 

[Corley1011]

Really surprised to see Clemson a 2 TD dog. I don't know how Auburn stays within 18 of LSU... I just don't see any fight in Auburn... Frazier makes too many bad decisions and Auburn's offense is easy to defend... especially for LSU's D

 

[Cie]

LSU has been bitten by injury bug since summer......

These are the injured starters for lsu. status as i receive it.

mingo DE starter top of NFL boards everywhere for next draft. should play.

downs DT starter. alway banged up, should play

lonergan C starter, will play with injury

dworcyak LT stater now, but was 2nd string, starter out for season. unclear whether he can go.

Williford LG starter should be able to go.

Muncie SLB starter now, but only b/c taj jones was suspended for season for academics 2 weeks ago. he will play, although he is less than impressive.

SS Loston starter, replaced by true frosh last game. unclear for this week. horrible in pass coverage anyway.

RB Ware out last game, should be able to go.

WR Wright out last game, unclear if he will go.

Throw in yearlong suspensions of Mathieu and SLB jones.


These are frosh or soph starters with no playing experience outside of special teams coming into the season.

CB mills true frosh starter who replaced mathieu. he is playing well.

Nickelback collins r/s frosh who is playing well.

Dime back Eugene soph. played special teams ly.

 

[Betone]

lsu is down to its utility lineman, josh dworcyak, at left tackle after their best ol was lost for the season last week. dworcyak went down last game and is banged up. if he cannot go, then the RT will shift to LT and a true frosh will step in at right tackle. Also, starting C was banged up last game as was the LG.

Mett is a bit shaky in the face of pressure and the running game takes pressure off of him, so the oline woes are huge. Plus, Mett will be playing his first game in hostile territory vs the most talented team he has faced this season.

LSU has only 10 seniors on t he roster, so are a very young team, plus are led by a qb starting for the 1st time on the road.


Aub offense is grotesque, and lsu def line should be very disruptive, but lsu is playing frosh all over the secondary and are down to their backup sam for the season.

i would certainly not back LSU, but would not be surprised if they roll aub.

I am laying the points with LSU. Frazier has no confidence and after he gets pounded a few times this will be over quickly. Coach Chiz will not take him out leading to a host of interceptions and fumbles. JMO :0008

 

[Cie]

bomb threat at lsu today. campus evacuated. buildings being searched. the point to a capping board is the potential distraction for players. there were no team activities. players were scattered around. not a good way to start the week of prep for Mett's first road game.

 

[Cie]

plays

byu plus 7 -120 x1


glta

 

[cooz3]

Nice hit last night..good luck this weekend kid

Cooz

 

[eeeerock]

Your plays look pretty good as my fade guy from work is on the other side of most of these,GL!!!!

 

[Cie]

Plays.. Went with all of my system dogs and most of my RLM plays

MARYLAND +26-110 X3
ARMY +7?-115 X3
EASTERN MICHIGAN +31?-110 X1
UAB +35?-110 X2
VANDERBILT +14?-110 X1.5
COLORADO STATE +12-110 X1
OREG ST +8-115 X3
KENTUCKY +23?-110 x2.5
FLORIDA ATLANTIC +48?-110 x1
SO MISSISSIPPI +3?-115 x1
FLORIDA INTL +14-115 (B+?) x1

Leans

Oreg
FSU--- I had a gut feeling about clem, but way too much love out there for a high ranking 2 td dog.

glta

 

[whodey]

looks good... love the army play! gl today opcorn2

 

[Cie]

Thanks.

Pressed vandy

VANDERBILT +14?-110 X3 all day


Glta

 

[UGA12]

Thanks.

Pressed vandy

VANDERBILT +14?-110 X3 all day


Glta

played them in a tease myself, though I like the under better than the points. Good Luck:toast:

 

[Cie]

added

lsu under45 x1

plays

BYU +7 x1 Winner
MARYLAND +26-110 X3 Winner
ARMY +7?-115 X3 Loser
EASTERN MICHIGAN +31?-110 X1
UAB +35?-110 X2 Winner
VANDERBILT +14?-110 X3
COLORADO STATE +12-110 X1
OREG ST +8-115 X3
KENTUCKY +23?-110 x2.5 Loser
FLORIDA ATLANTIC +48?-110 x1
LSU un45 x1
SO MISSISSIPPI +3?-115 x1
FLORIDA INTL +14-115 (B+?) x1


GLTA

 

[Cie]

LAST ONE

AUB +20-110 X1

plays

BYU +7 x1 Winner
MARYLAND +26-110 X3 Winner
ARMY +7?-115 X3 Loser
EASTERN MICHIGAN +31?-110 X1
UAB +35?-110 X2 Winner
VANDERBILT +14?-110 X3
COLORADO STATE +12-110 X1
OREG ST +8-115 X3
KENTUCKY +23?-110 x2.5 Loser
FLORIDA ATLANTIC +48?-110 x1
LSU un45 x1
SO MISSISSIPPI +3?-115 x1
FLORIDA INTL +14-115 (B+?) x1

GLTA

 

[ageecee]

LAST ONE

AUB +20-110 X1

plays

BYU +7 x1 Winner
MARYLAND +26-110 X3 Winner
ARMY +7?-115 X3 Loser
EASTERN MICHIGAN +31?-110 X1
UAB +35?-110 X2 Winner
VANDERBILT +14?-110 X3
COLORADO STATE +12-110 X1
OREG ST +8-115 X3
KENTUCKY +23?-110 x2.5 Loser
FLORIDA ATLANTIC +48?-110 x1
LSU un45 x1
SO MISSISSIPPI +3?-115 x1
FLORIDA INTL +14-115 (B+?) x1

GLTA

Can Auburn even score? I dont think they can. Rethink that one Cie