NEVERMIND THE BULLOCKS
- Thread starter Don Wallace
- Start date
gl don,
living in seattle, seen all 3 sonics games, these guys can score Ill give them that; not a soups fan either ... Im guessing shaq is back ... see this game possibly being close and even giving soups a shot ... for variety of reasons I think heat will not be the team they were last year, wear down, not even make eastern finals ... its early but they will be taking teams best shots all year ... i wonder what alonzo, gp will give them as year winds down ... regardless, gl on your play, Im not touching this one
living in seattle, seen all 3 sonics games, these guys can score Ill give them that; not a soups fan either ... Im guessing shaq is back ... see this game possibly being close and even giving soups a shot ... for variety of reasons I think heat will not be the team they were last year, wear down, not even make eastern finals ... its early but they will be taking teams best shots all year ... i wonder what alonzo, gp will give them as year winds down ... regardless, gl on your play, Im not touching this one
Donny W, is Shaq diesel playing tonight? I think he is questionable, if it's announced right before gametime he won't be playing this line will go down to 3-3.5. I can't see it going any higher then what it is at right now even with Shaq playing, and there is a good shot he won't be playing, so maybe being locked into 6.5 is not such a good idea.
PT1, I agree, I got CHI and the NJ in the Eastern Conference Finals, but its no different than how I handicapp football, my dataase that Ive set set up for myself calls for this play. Just hope heat can defend the 3pt line, Ray Allen is sick. I watched him light up the Lakers the other night.
KG5678, trust me Im watching for it, I hope he doesnt play and the line goes down to -3, III go to battle with D Wade any day. Im never locked in, got numerous outlets, wont hesitate to buy it back and move to anther book, rather lose alittle vig then trap my money.
Don Wall I also would love the line to go around 3 and Shaq to be sitting out this game, because he doesn't look good out there at all, he actually seems like a liability on the offensive end. I'd rather have Alonzo going for the Heat with a cookie line around 3, which the Heat should cover at home. If the line stays at 6 and Shaq is playing, I am staying far away from this line. I agree with PT, think the Sonics keep it close.
Just booked .......SAC pk over DETROIT............NJ -2.5 over UTAH...........ORL -6.5 over SEATTLE for tomorrow night.
Don, thanks for the education in your last few threads..I'm glad you didn't get a better line than me...I only (embarrassingly now that I think about it) have one book (Pinnacle) and no locals (not that there are bookies crawling out of the woodwork in rural Vermont) I usually bet around $100 so my bankroll is paltry compared to yours...but It isn't the money, I've lost plenty of that. I just hate losing! I'll hang in there with you as long as I can...good luck and thanks for being affable in a forum overflowing with self centered egomaniacs & drunken' losers..Dry
Just bought back SEA and move to MIA -5, available at Sportsbook. ONeal is outand Im glad.......D Wade will handle up tonight, he cant a foul shot to save his life
DRY1, III get you squared away after the game tonight. III show you what kind of money management system I used when I first started out.
That was the most pathetic half Ive ever seen the Heat play, with the exception of the blowout in Dallas last year. I cant believe their only down by 6pts. 2 for 18 shooting in the 1qt.:scared If I sound alittle despondent right now, its because I am.
Don, if you wouldn't mind another noob, I could use some money mgmt advice as well. I'm still in that chasing money mode when my plays don't pan out as capped. Any advice would be welcomed. TIA.
Gotta love the NBA sometimes...these damn
players are professionals...just wish they would
shoot like it....I think my 11 yr old son can
outshoot them....LOL....I"m looking for D Wade
to respond for a big second half and carry us
to victory....NBA is about who makes the last
big run to end the game...Let's hope it's the
Heat....
Good luck and kick ass
Coach Burns
players are professionals...just wish they would
shoot like it....I think my 11 yr old son can
outshoot them....LOL....I"m looking for D Wade
to respond for a big second half and carry us
to victory....NBA is about who makes the last
big run to end the game...Let's hope it's the
Heat....
Good luck and kick ass
Coach Burns
U could see it coming....they win but dont
cover bs....oh well.....long long season
to go...looking forward to the rest of it....
Good luck and kick ass
Coach Burns
cover bs....oh well.....long long season
to go...looking forward to the rest of it....
Good luck and kick ass
Coach Burns
Blame it on me..I'm the kiss of friggin' death...I've piggybacked at least 15 handicappers here (Raymond, Thunder, Steel City, etc.) and they invariably go in the tank the minute I show up...it's uncanny...:shrug: I haven't won money over the course of a season in like 7 years...I'm not sure you can overcome Karma like this..Oh, well, I'm sure that made you feel better..all the positive vibes I'm crankin' out here...just wanted you to know what your up against..
LARZUK35, DRY1, this what I did years ago when I decided to get serious about sports wagering. I was living in Texas at the time and I got a job in the oil fields working on the drilling rigs.I worked 5 weeks straight and raised $6400. Coupled with what had, I begun my bankroll with alittle over $9000. I used a variation of what is known as the Kelly System. I wagered 10% of my banlroll per play. Win or lose, what ever my total was I went 10%.Essentially what your doing here is losing your biggest bets, but once you get on a nice streak, your bankroll will grow expotentially. I struggled for about the 1st couple of months, back and forth..........and then I took off on like a 29-11 run in hoops and came up large quickly. I cant be exact about how much I made because I was adding money at the same time. Each week I got payed I was taking practically my entire paycheck and adding it to my bankroll. This was before they even had offshore books. So, for example, if you have a $1000 bankroll, starting tomorrow betting all 3 games at $100 each. Lets say we lose all 3 and your bankroll is down to $670 and the next day we have 2 more plays both of those plays will be for $67. Basically with system is design to win back your money twice as fast as you lost it. Once I built my bankroll up to a certain amount I went to 4.4% per play, and thats how I operate today. Flat betting is the way to go. I had gotten to a point where if I could consistently hit 56% to 58% throughout the year I could live off my winnings. I went back to work acouple times and sold cars to add to my bankroll, but my goal was just not have to work, at the time I wasnt thinking about getting rich. Along the way I got very lucky and had acouple big years and never look back. But man you got to have staying power to play this game. You cant get down after a few bad weeks, you to plan your work and work your plan. Once you develope the mentality that leaves you impervious to losing, you will be on your way. Because even the best cappers cant expect anything more than 60% over a sampling of a 100 play. The average is 57%, so essentially your losing almost as much as you win. In sports wagering its the little things you do or dont do that make a tremendous difference. For instance, I still post my picks in football but Im through wagering for the season. Im just gonna focus on hoops for the rest of the year. Im 50-31 ATS college and pro combined, thats +19 games over 500, 62% over 81 plays. Theres only one way to go from here.....and thats down. I remember what it felt like to lose every year for about the 1st 5 or 6 when I frist started, so I dont hesitate to call it a season and enjoy my profits. At any time in college and pro hoops if Im up big Im subject to call it a season. Thats why I dont bet the bases, man after biting my nails and pulling out my hair for 7 or 8 months, I need to get away from this s^^t. In the summer I dont even look at sports or think about it. After years of this its like a job and you start getting burnt out. Look, 1-3 is not the perfect start to our season, but you got to hang in there until we turn this thing around. Were on ORL, NJ and SAC tomorrow. Go get your best line and put your hard hat on..........we got some work to do.
