New Dogs - Fri Edition

Randercity

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YTD: 113-135 45.6% +32.10 Units

System went 5-3 last nite to gain +3.95 Units for the week, here's how it stands.

Thur: 5-3 +3.95
Wed: 1-6 -4.90
Tue: 7-6 +4.70
Mon: 3-1 +3.95
Sun: 3-7 -2.60
Sat: 8-2 +9.15

Total +14.25 Units an average of 2 units a day. Now I'm not suggesting it will continue this pace, but I'm gonna stop betting AGAINST it. I've decided to follow this system the rest of the year, win or lose and quit my other capping in games involving the dogs and concentrate on Football. I doubt if this will be effective in playoffs, who knows, but I'll check it. I will however be ready to fire away starting opening day next season!

One thing I'm going to check into this offseason is laying off a dog once it's hit in a "lop-sided" series such as TBAY at NYY, or something. I think it may eliminate a greater number of losers by ignoring road dogs once they've won on the road. I'm not sure, it just makes sense logically, but I'm gonna see what the numbers bear out this winter. If you played TBAY at NYY, lost game 1 at +180, and hit game 2 at +240, you're up 1.40 Units in that series already. Mathematically, is it profitable to go ahead an play the 3rd game with the dog, or take the profit. Those are the things I want to dissect. With a base of about 300 games, I should get a decent feel for it. We'll see...

Don't worry, I'll still post all the plays, and then maybe finalize em by noting a game is being dropped due to winning first two, or whatever. Cutting down on losers is like adding winnahs!
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thisisbad

Call me TIB
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Jun 14, 2001
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just to make sure i am reading this right...

Does this mean no other posts from you, or just you won't cap games where the dog system is involved? Please don't leave us loyal randerites hanging man! I look for both your threads everyday
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GL in whichever way you go. My fav Fav today was STL, and the system didn't crank Pit so i am happy.
 

Randercity

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Looking back on my records, the system was +13.00 Units at the time of the WTC Tradegy and the subsequent stoppage of games. Since 09/17/01, 11 days, the system is +19.10 Units for an average of 1.74 Units a day! In fact, there have been 7 winning days of 1 unit of more, 2 losing days (big ones!), and two days where it basically broke even, -.3 & +.1, depending on your lines. With so many teams eliminated, and using call-ups and playoff teams resting regulars, I think this system should fare well the rest of the way.
 

Randercity

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thisisbad... thanks for the nice comments. I'll still be posting stats and such but I WILL NOT play a FAV that goes against this system. Done it at least six times I can think of this week, and went 0-6!
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My regular capping contradicts this system quite often, but I'll put my analysis up, then simply say pass or play on the dog. Even though my TOTALS went like 0-5 or some craziness yesterday, I think my analogy is somewhat correct, so I'll post it for you and any others to read, and FADE if you choose!
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Big_Mack

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Aug 27, 2001
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Keep posting these plays. I am going to follow it the rest of the season as well. Looks good so far.
 
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