New Mex St/utah St

[cooz3]

I WAS GOING TO WAIT UNTIL SAT....BUT IM LOOKING AT THIS GAME VERY CLOSELY...

THE CONSENSUS SITE I CHECK HAVE UTAH ST. AS AN OVERWHELMING PICK ..AND THAT ALWAYS MAKES ME LOOK MORE CLOSELY AT GAME ..B/C THE LINE IS SET WHERE IT IS FOR A REASON..

THAT BEING SAID I AM NOT SAYING IMPLAYING THIS GAME AT ALL...BUT I DID NOTICE A FEW THINGS IN THIS MATCH-UP...

NEW MEX ST. CAN RUN THE BALL VERY EFFECTIVELY AND UTAH ST HAS TROUBLE VE THE RUN...THIS COULD SPELL BIG TIME TROUBLE FOR UTAH ST. ...THE ONLY OPPONENTS THEY HELD TO UNDER 100 YARDS THIS YR. WHERE MIDD TEN STATE AT 93 YARDS AND LA MONROE ...

IF YOU TAKE THOSE TWO TEAMS OUT OF THE EQUATION THEY ARE AVERAGING GIVING UP AROUND 179 YPG ON THE GROUND....

TONIGHT THEY GO AGAINST A TEAM WHO IN 9 GAMES HAS NOT BEEN HELD TO UNDER 100 THIS SEASON....THEY ARE AVERAGING 217 YARDS ON THE GROUND IN 9 GAMES .....

EVEN MORE IMPORTANT UTAH ST. IS 1-6 IN GAMES THEY GIVE UP OVER 100 YARDS ON THE GROUND...THIER TWO OTHER WINS WHERE AGAINST MID TEN AND LA MONROE...NO COINCIDENCE THEY ARE THE TWO TEAMS THAT COULD NOT GET THIER RUNNING GAME GOING

IMO OPINION IT HAS BEEN TURN OVERS THAT HAVE KILLED THIS NEW MEX ST TEAM THIS YEAR THEY ARE AVG AROUND 2 TURNOVERS PER GAME...TWO OF THEIR GAMES THEY HAD 5 TURNOVERS AND ONE GAME THEY HAD 4...I DONT CARE WHO YOU ARE PLAYING YOU WILL MOST LIKELY LOSE WITH THOSE TYPE OF NUMBERS ....

THESE ARE JUST NUMBERS AND REALLY ONLY ONE ANGLE....THEIR ARE PLENTY IM SURE WHICH POINT TO UTAH ST...

I JUST WANTED TO POINT OUT THAT WHILE CAPPING THIS GAME ...I NOTICED THAT UTAH ST. HAD TROUBLE VS. THE RUN AND NEW MEX ST LOVES TO RUN...THIS MAY BE A BAD MATCH-UP DEFENSIVELY FOR UTAH ST.....

AGAIN I HAVE NO PLAY ON THIS GAME AS OF YET....

JUST THOUGH THIS MAY BE WORTH POSTING..IF NOT JUST DISREGARD...

COOZ

 

[SICK GAMBLER]

I can't back a team that loses at home to a joke of a team in Arkansas State.Utah State beat these Ark St jokers 49-0 2 weeks ago.I'm either on Utah State or nothing at all... :thinking:

 

[cooz3]

I CERTAINLY UNDERSTAND THAT ...ARK STATE IS TERRIBLE.

WHAT I FOUND FUNNY ABOUT THAT GAME IS THAT NEW MEX ST. HAD BETTER OFFENSIVE NUMBERS VS ARK STATE THAT UTAH STATE....THAT USUALLY IS A SIGN OF TURNOVERS...WHICH ARK STATE HAD 7 AGAINST UTAH ST.


BUT I UNDERSTAND YOUR REASONING...BUT I HONESTLY DONT THINK YOU CAN LOOK AT ONE GAME ...SUCH AS A COMMON OPPONENT AND SAY WELL TEAM A BEAT TEAM B...AND TEAM B BEAT TEAM C ..SO THAT MEANS TEAM A WILL BEAT TEAM C..

MY EXPERIENCE IS THAT CAN BE AN INDICATOR ....BUT IN SPORTS ITS ABOUT MATCH-UPS...TEAM A MAY NOT MATCH-UP AS WELL AGAINST TEAM C AS DID TEAM B...

AGAIN I REITERATE IM NOT PLAYING THIS GAME AS OF YET..I JUST WANTED TO POST SOME STUFF I THOUGH WAS INTERESTING..

GOOD LUCK TONIGHT

COOZ

 

[hguinness01]

cooz, thanks for your imput. At first I was all for Utah St. but now not so sure. What are some good sites to go to for good stat info on previous and upcoming football games?

 

[cooz3]

HGUINNESS01...

THE RESOURCE PAGE AT MADJACKS IS A GOOD PLACE TO START ...IT WILL GIVE YOU LINKS TO VARIOUS SITES FOR STATS..CHECK THEM OUT AND YOU WILL EVENTUALLY FIND SOME SOURCES YOU PREFER...

FOR FUTURE GAMES I LIKE READING THE SPORTSNETWORK WRITE-UPS...DONT AGREE WITH THEM A LOT OF TIMES...BUT THEY ARE A GOOD READ... ESPECIALLY WHEN YOUR IN THE OFFICE ALL DAY AT WORK..LOL

COOZ

 

[hguinness01]

thanks cooz, good luck w/ your plays!

 

[Kdogg21]

Good luck tonight Cooz!! great points you brought up. At first like you said I see alot of people on Utah, but now I tend to see people all over NMS. Tough to pick. I do like the over what about you????

 

[cooz3]

KDOGG..IM NOTICING THAT AS WELL..

THE ONE THING I WILL SAY ..IS THAT IF THE MAJORITY OF CAPPERS IN HERE OR IN OTHER FORUMS ARE ON ONE SIDE AND THE CONSENSUS SITES ARE ANOTHER WAY ...THE GUYS AT MJ'S ARE USUALLY CORRECT...

BUT I CERTAINLY SEE THAT NEWMEX ST IS GETTING SOME $...SO MAYBE NOT AS BIG A NUMBER ON UTHA ST AS FIRST THOUGHT..

AS FAR AS THE TOTAL..I WOULD LEAN TO THE OVER ...THESE DEFENSES ARE NOTHING TO SPECIAL...AND LAST YEARS MATCH-UP HIT THE 60'S...

SOME STUFF THAT BOTHERS ME ABOUT THE OVER....BOTH TEAMS RUN THE BALL SO THAT MEANS MORE TIME OFF THE CLOCK ...OF COURSE THAT WONT HURT AS MUCH IN COLLEGE AS LONG AS THERE IS YARDS COMING IN CHUNKS...IN ADDITION TO THAT BOTH THEESE TEAMS TURN THE BALL OVER A LOT...IN 9 GAMES NEW MEX ST HAS 21 TO..WHILE UTAH ST HAS 20...

THAT BOTHERS ME IN THIS SENSE...LONG DRIVES ..WITH EMPAHSIS COMING FROM THE GROUND GAME...CHEIWNG CLOCK UP...THEN TURNING THE BALL OVER DEEP IN OPPONENTS TERRITORY....THOSE TYPES OF TO ARE USUALLY OVER KILLERS BECAUSE THE OTHER TEAM NOW HAS TO GO LENGTH OF FIELD TO PUT POINTS UP...

BEST OF LUCK
COOZ

 

[Kdogg21]

I thought about that too. If they are gonna run the ball alot, time is gonna keep running most of the time. Im staying away from the game in general. I was thinking the first half under, but I still think i'll stay away.

 

[Topdog]

UTAH STATE

UTAH STATE

Cooz3, Thanks for your help and insight . I had planned Utah St as a 4* but on second thought you reminded me that there is less value to be had when there are limited games on the card,.....like tonight. I still like Utah St as a 2* and feel I saved money either way.

Keep it Positive, Topdog

 

[SICK GAMBLER]

Not much of a home field advantage..might be 1000 people if that