although i didn't post all of these plays out of the gate, this system is now 3-0 on sides, 6-1 on totals, with the first loss last night with md/tenn over. as previously stated, this system is based upon my subjective evaluation of the vegas line vs the true power differential between the teams to determine where i believe the house has adjusted the lines to likely end up with a position in the game. this is purely subjective, as i have no indication where the money bet is actually breaking. this is the first time i have played the bowls by this system, and it is purely experimental, but it has performed well to date. for those who would like to read some additional explanation of the system, i posted more in yesterday's bowl total thread, and also in ndnfan's thread addressed to me. today the system has 2 side plays and three totals:
nc state pk
penn state -6
tex/lsu over 46
fla/mich over 47-
fsu/ga under 48-
ga -8 would otherwise qualify as a play by the numbers, but i have stricken the play by virtue of other obvious reasons for the line differential.
glta and have a happy new year's day.
nc state pk
penn state -6
tex/lsu over 46
fla/mich over 47-
fsu/ga under 48-
ga -8 would otherwise qualify as a play by the numbers, but i have stricken the play by virtue of other obvious reasons for the line differential.
glta and have a happy new year's day.
