Newcomers picks to start establishing some credit

Hailing Victor

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Oct 7, 2004
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New to this site, but thought I would jump on since I have been above par this year.

Gonna throw out my picks with a little reason and get ready to be bashed or agreed with by Long-timers here

:argue:

Boston College -9 and the under 42.5

BC's Offense is average at best, but there is a lot of holes in the Pitt Defense that should be exploitable. Pitt is lucky to get the 101 rush yds/game. Decent passing game, but only against Furman and Temple. BC will get to Palko(QB) and take away the cheap freebies. Pitt's last game against Temple was statistically dominated by the Owls. While BC had an easy game against UMASS to rest after the heartbreaker to WAKE and completely dominated them, although didnt show the Offensive performance on the scoreboard. (supporting the under)
Seen Pitt play 3 games and BC once. IMO Pitt is lucky this year to not be considered equal to a I-AA team.
BC WINS 24-10


Baylor + 23

I know they won't win (or will they?) :shrug: BUT they will, IMO, DEFINITLY cover this spread. I know that this is a very much improved Baylor team, and a very much disproved Cornhusker team, but wait, there's more, Nebraska hasn't put up more than 24 pts on anyone since November 28 last year. (I don't count a laugher Gateway conference team of Western Illinois) This is not last year's team. Offense is horrible. D is still good. But Nebraska is playing a team that put up 14 on the team that held Oklahoma to 12. Not saying Baylor is better, as good, or in the same class as Oklahoma, but that they probably score at least ten. Take away the laffer game and Nebraska only edges out the pitiful Baylor offense by 57 yds per game. Nebraska may have tried a new offense but maybe they should stick to the run and not throw for the next 114 years, and maybe see more than 11 games a year.
Trends are really no good for this game because they haven't played in 4 years, but this year Baylor is 3-1 ATS in last 4 and Nebraska is 1-3. IMO Vegas still hasnt caught up to Baylor but it will after this one.

Nebraska wins

31-14


Alabama -7.5 (will probably go back down to 7 by gametime)

I am from Alabama and live here still and after 30 years pretty much have heard and seen everything capable from AL that can be done. Alabama is ready with the backup QB Pennington. He's confident after playing the breezer against Kentucky. AL Def is as good as any they have had in the past 7 years.
Southern Miss has too many injuries an their QB is GONE. Backup cant even step it up against a med team of Houston. Pressure of playing with the big boys in the SEC is too much for him too handle again. The only quality team that SO Miss has played is South Florida. It is Sad :cry: when your quality win to get you in the top 25 is South Florida.
SO Miss is extremely overated even for the hurting Tide. I see the rushing game rushed and blitzed to death by the tide and a lot of cheating by the Linebackers because the SO Miss Play-action will get the crap knocked out of it.
Last quickie, SO Miss 1-6 ATS since 96 against the Tide.

Alabama Wins 37-17

Some other Leans for me are pretty much standards, but here ya go anyway.

Arizona ST +11
Akron +2.5
Virginia +3
Texas - 14
SMU +9
Stanford +1
Hawaii +4
Tennessee -10.5
Troy St -11.5
North Carolina + 20

FRIDAY- UAB will win but they won't cover. Maybe a 6 point tease on UAB and Over (I know its high)
UAB -1 , Over 54


Thanks everybody, give it your best shot. Luck is great and I wish you the most of it, but I hope you're good too.
 

gman2

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great stuff and solid info. dont necessarily like the bc play, but a cogent post nonetheless. good luck
 

Hailing Victor

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Oct 7, 2004
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Thx for the input. Glad to be here. Hopefully I'll grow to be a solid contribution.

GL to all, theres enough bookie money to go around.
 

Hailing Victor

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Oct 7, 2004
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Thanks guys, I will try to put some more down-home analysis on my other picks together by tomorrow morning. Really looking at the Stanford +1. Any thoughts?
 

bucket

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GL Victor

GL Victor

I, am also from B'ham and I do not think that UAB will cover this evening. Alot of times Weeknight ESPN games draw a large crowd, but for UAB they can't get a decent crowd. They have been mailing tickets to every business within a hundred miles of BHAM. They also have to compete with HS football, and I do not see more than 30,000 people being in attendance. They will report close to 50,000 but no way that many show up.

As far as the game goes I think TCU wil be ready to play. THey came back from 17 down to beat Army last week, and I think that was a wake up call after back to back losses. I look for TCU to attempt to keep Hackney off the field. I personally could see TCU keeping it close and maybe pulling off an upset, and the game stay under the posted total of 60.

UAB 27-24.

In the Alabama game I agree with everything you said. I would love to see UA hang 30 plus points, but I look for the gameplan to be similar to last weeks, in an attemptto keep Tenn. guessing for next week. They scored 45 at Kentucky last week but got the ball 3 times inside the UK 20. USM has not seen a D as quick as Alabama's. New QB spells disaster for USM. Tide bowl hopes depend on this game and Miss. State next month.

Tide rolls 24-13


Anyway just my 2 cents, Victor, glad to see another B'ham user. GL 2 all.
 

Hailing Victor

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Oct 7, 2004
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Guess I better put this in concrete

Taking the UAB -.5, over 54. 1* ( 6 pt Teaser to win *.909)

BC -9 ; 1*

Alabama -7 ; 1*

Stanford +1 ; 2* , Stanford ML +110 ; 1*

Tennessee -10 ; 1*

Texas -14 ; 2*

Troy State -13 ; 1*

Mennesota -9.5 ; 2*

Baylor +23 ; 5*

Virginia +3 ; 2* , Virginia ML +130 ; 2*


Will edit post with money lines tomorrow.

Let us all win!!!
 
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