After a solid year in the NFL and kicking the prop mongers to the curb winning at a 60% clip on total wins last year, it's that time of year again with this weekends pre-season tilts still left, most QB starters will sit except a couple it appears. So here in this thread will be my props for NFL team wins and regular season games. GLTA!
Baltimore over 11.5 -125 - Ravens got 12 wins last year, have a stronger schedule and their division is stronger than last year, Lamar has some weapons back that are healthy, Lively out for a bit but Andrews back in the fold and new place kicker, booting Justin Tucker to the curb for sex offenses and just horrible misses on XP & FG attempts last year. "D" will be the Ravens key here
da Bears over 8.5 +110 (5 units) - Bears did manage 5 wins last year, losing two heart breakers vs the Packers & Skins in waning seconds of those games, Caleb with new HC in Johnson, some decent running backs and corp receivers back with a couple young ones in addition to that, "D" will be improved in the Black n Blue division, with the schedule, Bears if healthy the whole season and Caleb Williams buys into the gameplan Johnson is employing this year, 9 wins is very feasible.
Dallas over 7.5 -150 - Dak is back, some internal grumblings as with the Jones Soap Opera continuing, added Pickens with Lamb and decent schedule after a 7 win season, incorporate new HC Schotty, there should be a minimum of 9 wins here, unless the team implodes on the field.
Detroit over 10.5 +110 (5 units) - will last year's success bite the Lions in the ass? NO! They have almost everyone back, they drafted well, their schedule is about the same in strength as last year and they managed 15 wins? That should be a match again this year, more likely 12 wins, so long as Goff stays healthy with Gibbs & company running the rock!
New England under 8.5 +110 (5 units) - Patriots with new HC in Vrabel in the fold who's been with NE in the past, Maye is a 2nd year QB, they added Henderson to help tote the rock in the backfield, they added some "D" with Williams and a decent draft but asking for doubling their 4 wins from last year is a bit much, I do see a 7-10 or 8-9 season but not more than 8.
New Orleans under 5.5 -120 - new HC and QBs in the fold, with a "D" that's aged and many holes in it? Shit division as well, 5 wins max
da Raiders over 6.5 -185 - vet HC returns to the NFL in Carroll, added Geno Smith with backups and added to running game with Jeanty tho I believe he's over hyped, much like how Jones-Drew was with Jaguars years ago but he'll add a bit there, also better "D", Raiders managed 4 wins last year, tough AFC West division is improved, turnovers need to be kept to a minimum on offense, can see a 7-10 or 8-9 year, possibly more, but that's asking too much.
Eagles over 11.5 +115 (5 units) - health of the team and keeping Hurts focused on the running game and short passing routes should help, health of AJ Brown is important but don't forget about Smithy, Goeddert with additions from the draft, schedule is a bit stiffer but 12 wins minimum should be the gammet here, seeing a 13-4 type year which is a good record considering the strength of schedule, especially the first 5 weeks.
Steelers over 8.5 -135 (5 units) - even if Rodgers can't go the whole year, Rudolph is a vet, knows the Steelers' Way and the "D" is in tack with Heyward going to get his contract soon, decent strength of schedule and so long as Steelers don't give up the ball much and utilize Metcalf and young receivers, Steelers should at least go 10-7.
Seattle over 8.5 +115 (5 units) - second year HC, new QB with rising talent Darnold and decent running game, new corps of receivers and solid "D", Seahags did get 10 wins last year, why not again?
Tampa over 9.5 -115 - Bucs have almost everyone back, they are older however they are steady and improving on "D" will help, Bucs did get 10 wins last year, they have a shit division so 10 wins is attainable so long as Mayfield does his job.
Baltimore over 11.5 -125 - Ravens got 12 wins last year, have a stronger schedule and their division is stronger than last year, Lamar has some weapons back that are healthy, Lively out for a bit but Andrews back in the fold and new place kicker, booting Justin Tucker to the curb for sex offenses and just horrible misses on XP & FG attempts last year. "D" will be the Ravens key here
da Bears over 8.5 +110 (5 units) - Bears did manage 5 wins last year, losing two heart breakers vs the Packers & Skins in waning seconds of those games, Caleb with new HC in Johnson, some decent running backs and corp receivers back with a couple young ones in addition to that, "D" will be improved in the Black n Blue division, with the schedule, Bears if healthy the whole season and Caleb Williams buys into the gameplan Johnson is employing this year, 9 wins is very feasible.
Dallas over 7.5 -150 - Dak is back, some internal grumblings as with the Jones Soap Opera continuing, added Pickens with Lamb and decent schedule after a 7 win season, incorporate new HC Schotty, there should be a minimum of 9 wins here, unless the team implodes on the field.
Detroit over 10.5 +110 (5 units) - will last year's success bite the Lions in the ass? NO! They have almost everyone back, they drafted well, their schedule is about the same in strength as last year and they managed 15 wins? That should be a match again this year, more likely 12 wins, so long as Goff stays healthy with Gibbs & company running the rock!
New England under 8.5 +110 (5 units) - Patriots with new HC in Vrabel in the fold who's been with NE in the past, Maye is a 2nd year QB, they added Henderson to help tote the rock in the backfield, they added some "D" with Williams and a decent draft but asking for doubling their 4 wins from last year is a bit much, I do see a 7-10 or 8-9 season but not more than 8.
New Orleans under 5.5 -120 - new HC and QBs in the fold, with a "D" that's aged and many holes in it? Shit division as well, 5 wins max
da Raiders over 6.5 -185 - vet HC returns to the NFL in Carroll, added Geno Smith with backups and added to running game with Jeanty tho I believe he's over hyped, much like how Jones-Drew was with Jaguars years ago but he'll add a bit there, also better "D", Raiders managed 4 wins last year, tough AFC West division is improved, turnovers need to be kept to a minimum on offense, can see a 7-10 or 8-9 year, possibly more, but that's asking too much.
Eagles over 11.5 +115 (5 units) - health of the team and keeping Hurts focused on the running game and short passing routes should help, health of AJ Brown is important but don't forget about Smithy, Goeddert with additions from the draft, schedule is a bit stiffer but 12 wins minimum should be the gammet here, seeing a 13-4 type year which is a good record considering the strength of schedule, especially the first 5 weeks.
Steelers over 8.5 -135 (5 units) - even if Rodgers can't go the whole year, Rudolph is a vet, knows the Steelers' Way and the "D" is in tack with Heyward going to get his contract soon, decent strength of schedule and so long as Steelers don't give up the ball much and utilize Metcalf and young receivers, Steelers should at least go 10-7.
Seattle over 8.5 +115 (5 units) - second year HC, new QB with rising talent Darnold and decent running game, new corps of receivers and solid "D", Seahags did get 10 wins last year, why not again?
Tampa over 9.5 -115 - Bucs have almost everyone back, they are older however they are steady and improving on "D" will help, Bucs did get 10 wins last year, they have a shit division so 10 wins is attainable so long as Mayfield does his job.
