Joe....interesting take on the game...especially from a New Yorker. Thanks for posting.
I agree with ya on certain areas in this one, but feel more less that the situations are way too overpowering to go against the Jets in this one. Wish I had some extra time to get into everything, but I'm a little pressed for time here.
All I've been reading is that the points won't decide if we win or lose, just pick the winner. I can't buy into that, think back on how many times you lost because of just a half point. I'm taking the points here.
In the NFL Playoffs you want to play the team with a higher winning percentage than their opponent if their the Under dog. They must be the Under dog! Going into last year it was 19-3! Indy 10-6 & Jets 9-7. Indy +6 is the play according to this system.
As far as the just picking the winner thing. I do actually believe in that to a degree. Of course more times than not the spread doesn't even come into play, however this year might be an exception. One thing I do have from my notes on this game is this:
In Indy's 6 losses, they were lost by an average of 11 points.
In the Jets 9 wins, they won by an average of 14.6 points
Now this tells you something in itself, but also throw in the fact that the Jets are at home in the playoff atmosphere, I think it's gonna be an easy cover as I had the Jets winning this without these numbers as well.
As far as that system goes, I don't know. I do understand it and the numbers, but also feel it's a different situation with these 2 teams. Just seems like the Jets are on such a big role playing with so much confidence while Indy's kinda going in the other directions as far as the mental aspect of the team goes.
Wish I had some more time to get into all the keys, but gotta run.
Good luck this playoff season Joe! At least the books won't get both our money today
Should be interesting!
-ndnfan
