went 1-2 on small plays last week...probably will only make 1 play this week...
6* under 38.5 (120) sd / pitt.....
the pitt offense this year has been mediocre at best.....they rank 23rd in rush offense & 16th in pass offense & average about 22 ppg on the season....the pitt defense allows an average of 14 ppg....we all know about the sd offense, but the reason why sd made the playoffs this year is the turn-around of their defense since ron rivera took over as defensive coordinator in mid-season & in the last 9 games sd hasn't allowed more than 24 points in any game....
also these teams have met 3 of the past 4 years & the final score of all 3 games came in under the posted total......during the regular season these teams played a game that finished officially 11-10, although it should have finished 18-10, & was an 8-7 game heading into the 4th quarter......in addition 8 of the last 13 sd games have gone under the total......& 3 of the last 4 home games for pitt has played under.....& in 6 of the final 7 games pitt held opponents to 10 points or fewer......
a few systems....
play under - home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (pitts) - solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 9 points or less last game.
over the last 10 seasons the record is.....30-9.......76.9%
the average total posted in these games was.....38.2
the average score in these games was...team 20.2, opponent 13.4 (total points scored = 33.6)
the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (58.3% of all games.)
over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is....11-3.....78.5%
play under - any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (pitts) - with an excellent defense - allowing 260 or less total yards/game, after allowing 225 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games.
over the last 10 seasons the record is.....31-8.......79.5%
the average total posted in these games was......38.5
the average score in these games was...team 16.9, opponent 15.9 (total points scored = 32)
the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (51.4% of all games.)
the situation's record this season is....2-0
finally, with rothlisburger coming back from a severe concussion (read that when he went back to practice, his head was too swollen to put his helmet on) & with a shoddy offensive line, i think pitt will use a short passing attack when ben has to throw the ball which should eat up the clock.....
good luck
6* under 38.5 (120) sd / pitt.....
the pitt offense this year has been mediocre at best.....they rank 23rd in rush offense & 16th in pass offense & average about 22 ppg on the season....the pitt defense allows an average of 14 ppg....we all know about the sd offense, but the reason why sd made the playoffs this year is the turn-around of their defense since ron rivera took over as defensive coordinator in mid-season & in the last 9 games sd hasn't allowed more than 24 points in any game....
also these teams have met 3 of the past 4 years & the final score of all 3 games came in under the posted total......during the regular season these teams played a game that finished officially 11-10, although it should have finished 18-10, & was an 8-7 game heading into the 4th quarter......in addition 8 of the last 13 sd games have gone under the total......& 3 of the last 4 home games for pitt has played under.....& in 6 of the final 7 games pitt held opponents to 10 points or fewer......
a few systems....
play under - home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (pitts) - solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 9 points or less last game.
over the last 10 seasons the record is.....30-9.......76.9%
the average total posted in these games was.....38.2
the average score in these games was...team 20.2, opponent 13.4 (total points scored = 33.6)
the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (58.3% of all games.)
over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is....11-3.....78.5%
play under - any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (pitts) - with an excellent defense - allowing 260 or less total yards/game, after allowing 225 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games.
over the last 10 seasons the record is.....31-8.......79.5%
the average total posted in these games was......38.5
the average score in these games was...team 16.9, opponent 15.9 (total points scored = 32)
the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (51.4% of all games.)
the situation's record this season is....2-0
finally, with rothlisburger coming back from a severe concussion (read that when he went back to practice, his head was too swollen to put his helmet on) & with a shoddy offensive line, i think pitt will use a short passing attack when ben has to throw the ball which should eat up the clock.....
good luck
) then @ KC where they barely manage to beat the Chiefs in the cold and put up 22 pts in doing so then in the sun and fun of Tampa where they routed for 41. I personally think Pitts D in the cold is better then the Chargers offense in the cold as well.
