nfl plays for 11/22- 11/23....

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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18-20....

probably only going to make 1 play this week in the nfl....

5*cleve.+4(130)....

i know that the browns stink....but so do the lions....however the browns have stunk against better competition than the lions....

going back to last year, here is a list of opponents that the browns have faced over the last 15 games....cincinnati 3x, pitts. 2x,balt. 2x, green bay, indy, denver, minn., tenn. (last year's team at 13-3), & philly....that means in 13 of their 15 games, they were playing some of the top defenses in the league....cleve's 1 win came against 1 of the 2 games they weren't playing a team that out-classed them....cleve. played just 4 teams all of last year with a record of under .500 & in those games they averaged 18 ppg.....& this year through 9 games,clev.played 2 opponents with a losing record & they are 1-1 in those 2 games....on the other side of the field, in their last 25 games, detroit has 1 win & has been favored 3 times in those 25 games....they are 0-3 ats in those 3 games....

in a game that features both teams playing .200 or worse ball during the 2nd half of the season....play on the road team because they are 16-7-1 ats (69.5%), including 12-1 ats (92.3%) when the home team is off a double digit loss....in addition, road dogs off a mnf shutout loss are 5-1 ats (83.3%) the next game....also cleve. is 6-0 ats away against .333 or weaker opponents, while detroit is 1-6 ats as home favorites vs..333 or weaker opponents....

i won't be able to watch this thriling matchup, but to those who will watch it....please enjoy....lol....


good luck....
 

Bucknut1

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I'm in. With you on some of your totals yesterday too. Sure will be painful to watch.
 

AR182

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thanks guys....

hit the 5* play yesterday on the browns....saw the first half & it was surprisingly very entertaining....

tonight i will make a regular play on....

2*under 49 (120) tenn / houston....

i know mnf shows a very lopsided trend towards the overs & i know that a total of 65 points were scored in the earlier game this year between the titans & the texans....but imo 28 of those points were scored on busted plays....ie....johnson ran for a 91 & 57 yd tds for tenn & the houston johnson caught a 72 yd td....imo this game will be different....houston seems to have tightened their defense & the tenn 2ndary is healthy for this game where they weren't for the first game & they since have added veteran db hood from phil....& in addition houston will be without all-star tight-end owen daniels for this game & for the rest of the season....

play under - home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (houston) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season....

since 1983 the record for this system is....22-4....84.6%....

the average total posted in these games was....45.2....the average total points scored in these games was....38.8....

over the last 10 seasonss the system's record is....12-1....92.3%....


good luck & if i don't post before thursday have a happy thanksgiving....
 

blaster

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Oct 24, 2004
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AR,
NICE HIT ON THE 5*
ON THE UNDER TONIGHT AS WELL

GL TO US, BLAST
 
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