32-26....
so far there is 1 game that i like for tomorrow....
5* jets-4 (120)....
imo this is a good situational play....
it makes no difference to me who is quarterbacking which team tomorrow because this game is very important for the jets playoff hopes (indy & cin. up next) & i think they will be ready for this game, while the injury riddled falcons are about out of the playoff hunt & should be flat for this game after giving an all-out effort last week in their loss to the saints....they are also making their first road trip in almost a month to the cold & windy northeast....
the jets have a few solid matchup edges over atlanta for this game....they have the #1 rushing attack in the nfl averaging 169 ypg & 4.6 ypc against atlanta's #23 rush defense that allows 4.3 ypc....on defense, the jets allow 3.6 ypc at home, are #1 in pass defense allowing 53% of the passes completed & 7/15 td /int ratio & have allowed 2 td passes to be completed in only 1 game this year....they have also allowed an offensive td in 5 of 13 games so far this year & have allowed more than 300 total yds. in only 1game....& minus 2 special team tds, the jets have allowed 14.7 ppg at home this season....
a few situational trends & systems favoring this play....
road dogs of 3 or more points off 3 straight home games are 2-20 su & 5-16-1(23.8%) when playing an opponent off b2b wins....
play on - home favorites (jets) - a good team (+3 to +7 ppg diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half....
since 1983 the record for this system is....25-5....83.3%....
the average line posted in these games was....team favored by 6.3....the average score in these games was....team 27.1, opponent 13.5....
over the last 10 seasons the system's record is....8-0....100%....
play against - underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (atlanta) - after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3straight games against opponent after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game....
over the last 10 seasons the record for this system is....28-7....80%....
the average line posted in these games was.... team favored by 6.3....the average score in these games was....team 29, opponent 13.8....
over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....7-0....100%....
over the last 5 seasons the system's record is....14-1....93.3%....
i think it is asking too much for an injury riddled team like atlanta to give the kind of effort 2 weeks in a row against a playoff hopeful team like the jets....
good luck....
so far there is 1 game that i like for tomorrow....
5* jets-4 (120)....
imo this is a good situational play....
it makes no difference to me who is quarterbacking which team tomorrow because this game is very important for the jets playoff hopes (indy & cin. up next) & i think they will be ready for this game, while the injury riddled falcons are about out of the playoff hunt & should be flat for this game after giving an all-out effort last week in their loss to the saints....they are also making their first road trip in almost a month to the cold & windy northeast....
the jets have a few solid matchup edges over atlanta for this game....they have the #1 rushing attack in the nfl averaging 169 ypg & 4.6 ypc against atlanta's #23 rush defense that allows 4.3 ypc....on defense, the jets allow 3.6 ypc at home, are #1 in pass defense allowing 53% of the passes completed & 7/15 td /int ratio & have allowed 2 td passes to be completed in only 1 game this year....they have also allowed an offensive td in 5 of 13 games so far this year & have allowed more than 300 total yds. in only 1game....& minus 2 special team tds, the jets have allowed 14.7 ppg at home this season....
a few situational trends & systems favoring this play....
road dogs of 3 or more points off 3 straight home games are 2-20 su & 5-16-1(23.8%) when playing an opponent off b2b wins....
play on - home favorites (jets) - a good team (+3 to +7 ppg diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half....
since 1983 the record for this system is....25-5....83.3%....
the average line posted in these games was....team favored by 6.3....the average score in these games was....team 27.1, opponent 13.5....
over the last 10 seasons the system's record is....8-0....100%....
play against - underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (atlanta) - after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3straight games against opponent after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game....
over the last 10 seasons the record for this system is....28-7....80%....
the average line posted in these games was.... team favored by 6.3....the average score in these games was....team 29, opponent 13.8....
over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....7-0....100%....
over the last 5 seasons the system's record is....14-1....93.3%....
i think it is asking too much for an injury riddled team like atlanta to give the kind of effort 2 weeks in a row against a playoff hopeful team like the jets....
good luck....
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