NFL Plays for Week#13....

[AR182]

Been laying low until the bowls & playoffs, but do like this play tonight....

Phil-7(130)....

Under Reid, the Eagles have a good history of bouncing back after a loss as witnessed by the following....

After Phil has lost a game SU & have given up at least 30 points, they have gone 15-6 ATS (71.4%) the next game & allowed an average of 19ppg....

In games off a SU favorite loss, the Eagles are 12-3ATS (80%) when taking on a sub .500 opponent in the next game....

In addition, under reid, the Eagles are 11-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season....The average score was Phil. 33.3, Opponent 16.5....

Eventhough Samuel is not playing, I think the Eagles win by double digit....

Good luck....

 

[AR182]

Today I am playing....

Chicago-4....

Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (Chicago) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a terrible defense (>=5.8 YPP) after 8+ games....

Since 1983 the record for this system is....25-5....83.3%....

The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.6....The average score in these games was: Team 28.4, Opponent 14.4....

Over the last 5 seasons this system's record is....8-0....100%....

Good luck....

 

[BadAngel]

GL AR

 

[AR182]

Thanks BA....

 

[Axle]

Was all ready on Chicago, glad you like it....Good Luck..... :SIB

 

[baby johnson]

what about the revenge factor

 

[Trizzle]

AR, great article in this weeks ESPN mag about tom scott and the computer database he put together to track and query "situational" angles. you would enjoy if you havent seen it already.

 

[AR182]

Thanks guys....Trizzle, yes I heard about the article & will read it....Thanks....

 

[IX_Bender]

This is one of those games.


Chicago clearly overachieving and nobody believes they are the best team in the division, most ppl thought they were 3rd in the NFC North coming into this year.


Detroit is clearly underachieving. They have been in many many close games this year and could be a near .500 team easily. OF course, the loss to these very Bears on the controversial call will be on many Lions minds.



The only way Detroit wins this game is if their D-line absolutely dominates a shaky Bears offensive front five. Cutler would not only have to throw some INTs, which he clearly can, but would have to throw at least 1 pick 6.

I cannot bet on those things happening, but it is the NFL, and as you know AGS.

On paper, my numbers have this game as Chicago -9'. My mathematical number is quite diff from most Ive seen based on the current personnel for Detroit, incl. Bosch and Hill, etc.

 

[RAYMOND]

gl al , like da bears also ! the bears are looking very good so far:0074