nfl plays & info from 9/7-9/11...

[AR182]

2005 regular season.....64-47....+10.10*
2005 playoffs..............5-4........+23.49*
2006 nflx....................8-8........+5.80*


1st play for the year...

2.5* u 38(120)cleve/n.o....

bought this when line opened at 37.5..but just saw it's now down to 36 which makes me a little nervous....

played this because the browns are 0-11 o/u vs. a non-divisional opponent when the line is within 3 of pickem & the o/u line is at least 34 points. also 6 of the unders in this trend came last year under this present coach. it seems like this coache's philosophy is ball control & defense.

good luck.

 

[FirstnGoal]

I agree with you on this one because I can see a 17-13 type game...the Saints D-Line is the strength of their Defense and I feel they will win their matchup with the Browns O-line...the Browns 2 playmakers on offense (Winslow and Edwards) will be playing their first real game since their injuries...on the flip side...I like what Romeo has done to the Browns Defense as the 3-4 that he is implementing will "kick in" this season because of two great additions (Lbers Willie McGinest and rookie Kam Wimbley) during the off-season...plus the Saints offense wasn't in sync this preseason with Brees coming off his injury and it's a Saints team that has a patchwork O-Line at this time...Reggie Bush will always be a threat... but probably not enough to push this one over.

Good Luck!

 

[60 SEC ASSASSIN]

Best of luck this season AR. Good luck with your week 1 plays :SIB

 

[Vicc Inzagio]

great job in preseason bud, lets kick some big A ... all the best !!


vicc

 

[DR STRANGELOVE]

good luck Mr. Al

 

[AR182]

thanks guys..appreciate it.


adding....

2*n.e.-7(130)...

i played this when the lines first came out during the summer.

i think buffalo has major problems with their qb & on defense & i expect n.e. to be primed for this game vs. a divison opponent. with brady at qb, n.e.is 29-11-3 ats at home, including 11-2-1 ats vs. division opponents.

2*u 37 jets/tenn...

got this also when the lines first came out this week.

these teams have gone under 6 of last 7 times they have met. both teams have problems with their offense deciding who their qbs are & the jets don't know who will run the ball for them this year.the jets were 31st in total offense last year & i don't see them improving much this year.

2*az. cards-7(115)...

don't see s.f. being able to contain the cards passing game.

good luck.

 

[Agent 0659]

2*az. cards-7(115)...

don't see s.f. being able to contain the cards passing game.

good luck.

That's about the least detail I have ever heard you give for a play, but I like it too and it may just be that simple.

GL this year Bro and thanks for all the info you take the time to post.


:toast:

 

[AR182]

thanks agent..appreciate it.

for those who like systems,here is one that i read in a newsletter...


in game 1, play against a non-division road favorite of more than 3 points with a total of 42 points or less before a conference home contest in its next game.

playing an unfamiliar foe as a road favorite has been a tough way for non-division teams to start the season, especially with a conference home contest coming up. an o/u of less than 42 points indicates that it's a game in which the teams aren't expected to be lighting up the scoreboard. usually, a lower-scoring game will favor the underdog.

these road favorites have failed to cover the spread on every occassion for 20 years, going 0-13 ats. most recently, denver was a solid 5-point favorite at miami in last year's season opener prior to a home game with division-rival San Diego. the broncos were broken easily by the Dolphins, 34-10, as denver failed to cover the spread by more than 4 TDs!

on sunday, september 10, philadelphia plays a non-division game at Houston. The eagles are favored by more than a fg in a game with a total in the high 30s. next up, they will be home against division-rival new york giants, qualifying philadelphia as the play against team.

 

[vvegas29]

I just got started on posting, but have always read your comments in the past. You are a great supplier of key information. I really appreciate the awesome insight each week!!!

Like the Houston play waaaaaay more now! Also teasing your "under" plays.

Good luck this year!

 

[trolln4walii]

Thanks for all you do in the football forums AR.:thumb: Your weekly info is a must read for all. Hope that Houston system holds true today Wishing you the best for another successful season. :toast:

 

[Axle]

AR, thanks for positing. I agree big-time with the Arizona play.

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

for those who like systems,here is one that i read in a newsletter...

in game 1, play against a non-division road favorite of more than 3 points with a total of 42 points or less before a conference home contest in its next game.

playing an unfamiliar foe as a road favorite has been a tough way for non-division teams to start the season, especially with a conference home contest coming up. an o/u of less than 42 points indicates that it's a game in which the teams aren't expected to be lighting up the scoreboard. usually, a lower-scoring game will favor the underdog.

these road favorites have failed to cover the spread on every occassion for 20 years, going 0-13 ats. most recently, denver was a solid 5-point favorite at miami in last year's season opener prior to a home game with division-rival San Diego. the broncos were broken easily by the Dolphins, 34-10, as denver failed to cover the spread by more than 4 TDs!

on sunday, september 10, philadelphia plays a non-division game at Houston. The eagles are favored by more than a fg in a game with a total in the high 30s. next up, they will be home against division-rival new york giants, qualifying philadelphia as the play against team.

I read a similar concept in Root's book last summer. Clem's office pool stats make the Texans even more playable. I'll probably throw a small bet on the Texans (maybe parlay with the Lions) and see what happens.

 

[AR182]

thanks guys...

adding...

2*u 37(120) dallas/jax....

good luck.

 

[AR182]

adding...

2*10 point teaser...

jax+11.5
k.c.+11
n.e..p

read about this teaser in a newsletter...

since they entered the league(1995),jax. is 11-0 ats in their season opener.

k.c. is 17-0 ats in their season opener.

when n.e. is at least a home favorite by at least a td, they are 23-0 ats since 1995.

good luck.

 

[Irish]

Best of luck today AR
Head to head on some of those. Like your parlay

Cheers
Irish

 

[AR182]

i'm in the worst cold streak i've had in the last few years.....i've lost more last minute games these last 2 weeks than i did the whole season last year....

if i lose this bet i'll take a break for a little while & come back in a few weeks....


4*u 48 giants/colts....

good luck.

 

[Vicc Inzagio]

just a bad run AR, good things 2 come i know that.... really appreciate ur posts bud !!


vicc

 

[Agent 0659]

i'm in the worst cold streak i've had in the last few years.....i've lost more last minute games these last 2 weeks than i did the whole season last year....

if i lose this bet i'll take a break for a little while & come back in a few weeks....


4*u 48 giants/colts....

good luck.

You got one to go your way pal, finally eh!

 

[AR182]

thanks guys...the way the season has been going i was waiting for something negative to happen...

good luck.

 

[AR182]

playing...

2*u 37 (120) minn/wash...

i think both team's defenses are better than the offenses. i think minn. will use a short passing game to compliment their running attack & i think it will take time for wash. to learn the new offensive system that was brought in by the new off. coordinator.

also wash. has dallas next week. there is a history of wash. playing very conservatively in home games the week before playing dallas.a recent example of this was last year's game vs. chicago where wash. won 9-7. the trend stands at 0-7 o/u in wash. home games since 1995 the week before playing dallas.

good luck.