nfl plays week #1...

[AR182]

finished up the preseason going 16-11 (4-3 here)...

like college all plays are 2* unless noted otherwise....

under 47(120) kc/ ne....

i wanted to post this play in case the number goes down...

i can't see brady being very sharp for this first game....& kc has a plodding type of team & think they will look to slow the game down similar to how the giants did it in the superbowl...but the question is..can they ? i think enough for the game to go under.

saw this in a newsletter...

in week 1 games with a O/U of 44 or over are 20-37 since 95...65% to the under....

if i have time i will add to this play....


good luck

 

[AR182]

here is something that i came across....

THIS NFL SITUATION HAS CASHED 76% WINNERS IN THE LAST 8 YEARS 887 WINS - 284 LOSSES 76% L8Y 130-33 80% IN 2007

Everyone loves to watch NFL quarterbacks pass for touchdowns. But handicapping a teams offensive line and running game will lead you to far more winners. Consider this simple situation which has cashed over 72% of the time in EACH of the last 8 years:

?Bet on any NFL team who out rushes their opponent in today?s game by 30 or more yards?. That?s right! If you can predict which team is going to out rush their opponent by 30 or more yards you would have cashed 76% of your tickets, 1017-317 ATS in the L8Y including 130-33 ATS 80% in 2007 with never a losing week.

okay now we have to figure out who will out-rush their opponent by 30 yards.....


good luck

 

[MrChristo]

Chicken/egg kinda stuff? :shrug:

I mean if you've thrown 4 TD's and are 28-0 up at HT, pretty sure you'll rack up the ground yardage in the second...
(If you know what I mean!)

Those "extra" 30 yards could easily come in the last 5 minutes winding down the clock as the team behind throws every down.

(You know I love systems...I'm just saying! )

Good luck with that under buddy.

 

[AR182]

thanks mr. c....


here is another play i wanted to post in case the line changes...

btw the total on the ne / kc game is now down to 44.5 / 45....


adding...


phil.- 7(120)....

here is a trend supporting this play.... i may have a more extensive writeup on this play later this week....

st. louis is 24-41 ats (37 %) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

i do expect phil. to rebound this year & be in the thick of things for the playoffs.


good luck

 

[rusty]

Gl AR.

My take is never mind Brady not playing all pre-season.Id worry (IMO) about there shady D that has holes in there secondary.

Guess they signed someone new today to help that secondary.
You could be right.It might be low scoring regardless.Glad your back posting and GL.

If the Pats "JUST WIN" id be happy the way they looked during the pre-sea.

GL!

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

If the Pats "JUST WIN" id be happy the way they looked during the pre-sea.

GL!

Rusty: I think your coach was purposely making a mockery of the preseason....don't put an ounce of thought into how they did.

 

[rusty]

Rusty: I think your coach was purposely making a mockery of the preseason....don't put an ounce of thought into how they did.

Historically he does ok during pre-sea.
Thats why a 0-for has me worried.
I hope your correct.

Indy had same problems as NE ,so you might be right.

 

[Senor Capper]

Al comes out firing early !!!



Just watched the movie..Coupe De Ville
Man do you sound like Alan Arkin !!


Good luck this season

:0corn

 

[AR182]

Al comes out firing early !!!



Just watched the movie..Coupe De Ville
Man do you sound like Alan Arkin !!


Good luck this season

:0corn

lanny my friend....how are you ?

i hope you cleared up that problem...we need you to have a clear mind (what's left of it) to make solid nfl picks.....

i sound like alan arkin ?

i don't remember what he sounds like...never saw coup de ville...but if you get a chance watch the in-laws with peter falk..a real classic....very funny !!

 

[Hooks]

thanks mr. c....


here is another play i wanted to post in case the line changes...

btw the total on the ne / kc game is now down to 44.5 / 45....


adding...


phil.- 7(120)....

here is a trend supporting this play.... i may have a more extensive writeup on this play later this week....

st. louis is 24-41 ats (37 %) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

i do expect phil. to rebound this year & be in the thick of things for the playoffs.


good luck

Just hope the Eagles don't LOOK AHEAD , they play Dallas @ Dallas the following MONDAY NIGHT !!!
Although I too like Philly :shrug:

 

[kneifl]

Just hope the Eagles don't LOOK AHEAD , they play Dallas @ Dallas the following MONDAY NIGHT !!!
Although I too like Philly :shrug:

Looks like those Iggles will be tarred and feathered on MNF this year. Hmm, looking forward to seeing that spectacle.

kneifl

 

[FirstnGoal]

finished up the preseason going 16-11 (4-3 here)...

like college all plays are 2* unless noted otherwise....

under 47(120) kc/ ne....

i wanted to post this play in case the number goes down...

i can't see brady being very sharp for this first game....& kc has a plodding type of team & think they will look to slow the game down similar to how the giants did it in the superbowl...but the question is..can they ? i think enough for the game to go under.

saw this in a newsletter...

in week 1 games with a O/U of 44 or over are 20-37 since 95...65% to the under....

if i have time i will add to this play....


good luck

Good Luck...the game might also be affected by that east coast hurricane working up the coast.

 

[RAYMOND]

gl bro al go eagles

 

[gardenweasel]

adding...


phil.- 7(120)....

here is a trend supporting this play.... i may have a more extensive writeup on this play later this week....

st. louis is 24-41 ats (37 %) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

i do expect phil. to rebound this year & be in the thick of things for the playoffs.


good luck

my dude has more angles than a decagon....

g.l. bro....

 

[DWSmith17]

saw this in a newsletter...

in week 1 games with a O/U of 44 or over are 20-37 since 95...65% to the under....

AR - I see the Philly/STL game is at O/U 44 and they may be playing on a wet field from the remnants of Hurricane Hannah. What do you think about this under?

Also, Indy/Chi is at 44 right now too. Do you think this might be a play on the under with Peyton being a little sloppy against a good defense? Also, the Bears are going to struggle to score all year. I could see this game in the 24-10 range. Thoughts?

 

[AR182]

Historically he does ok during pre-sea.
Thats why a 0-for has me worried.
I hope your correct.

Indy had same problems as NE ,so you might be right.

you should be worried because brady's injury may be more severe than people were led to believe...

 

[AR182]

Rusty: I think your coach was purposely making a mockery of the preseason....don't put an ounce of thought into how they did.

than that goes against his past history....

 

[AR182]

AR - I see the Philly/STL game is at O/U 44 and they may be playing on a wet field from the remnants of Hurricane Hannah. What do you think about this under?

Also, Indy/Chi is at 44 right now too. Do you think this might be a play on the under with Peyton being a little sloppy against a good defense? Also, the Bears are going to struggle to score all year. I could see this game in the 24-10 range. Thoughts?

dw...

i got burnt badly by unders last week in college so i am hesitant in giving advice to others on totals. so far the only under i ilke is the one that i posted...but i haven't finished capping the nfl yet..

but check out mr. c's thread about angles or trends that he posted last week...he may have some info there that may help you...

good luck..

 

[Juu3]

First post of the season... bored as hell at work

when I first started reading this I was thinking over and that the score would be that exact number, the 20-37 since 95 number that you posted...

but after reading further I'm liking the under...could be a little sloppy and some nice C avg. defense...

Roll Tide fellas

 

[AR182]

my dude has more angles than a decagon....

g.l. bro....

:mj07: :mj07: