nfl plays week #12....

A

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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17-15

i got the following play from another capper but am playing it also because it makes sense to me......

tenn.-3 1st half.....

the jets are coming off of a dramatic ot win against ne last week & there is a possibilty of them starting the game a little flat....

also the jets are 3-15 (16.6%) against the 1st half line after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points since 1992.....

here are a few trends supporting this play....

play against - road teams vs. the 1st half line (jets) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

since 1983 the ats record is.....26-3.......89.7%

the average first half line posted in these games was: team favored by 3
the average first half score in these games was: team 16.2, opponent 6.5


play against - underdogs vs. the 1st half line (jets) - after a win by 6 or less points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game.

over the last 5 seasons the ats record is.....25-4......86.2%

the average first half line posted in these games was: team favored by 2.9
the average first half score in these games was: team 16.2, opponent 7.6


good luck
 
trolln4walii

trolln4walii

shorelunchne1
Forum Member
Jul 11, 2004
7,916
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Canadian waters(summertime)
GL today AR. May have to nibble a bit on that play :) Nice trends backing it up. You have a knack of finding the most interesting stats. Keep up the great work. It's greatly appreciated :mj06:
 
A

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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Scottsdale,AZ
thanks guys...appreciate it...

adding....

ne..p...

since winning their first superbowl ne is 19-5 su....

play on - road teams (ne) - revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more, with a winning record on the season.

over the last 5 seasons the ats record is.....22-3.......88%

over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is.....16-1....94%

the straight up record of the team this system pertains to is.....19-7 over the last 5 seasons...

the average line posted in these games was: opponent favored by 2.2

the average score in these games was: team 27.1, opponent 21.1


good luck
 
A

AR182

Registered User
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Nov 9, 2000
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Scottsdale,AZ
adding....

houston +3.....

houston is very capable of being able to move the ball against cleve., who should be very content after their mnf win....

play on - road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (houston) - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the second half of the season.

the ats record since 1983 is.....30-5.....85.7%

over the last 5 seasons the ats record is....11-1......91.6%


good luck
 
A

AR182

Registered User
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Nov 9, 2000
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87
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Scottsdale,AZ
adding 3 ugly dogs....

kc+3....

road teams off a mnf game are 5-15 su & 4-15-1 ats if they lost 3 straight both su & ats before mnf...


rams +8 (120)....

this is a lot of points to lay on the road with the 30th ranked pass defense in the league...


det.+9....

det. has been competitive lately covering 4 of its last 6 games & losing 1 game by double digits....also tb has a revenge game next week against n.o so they may be thinking past detroit....


good luck
 
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