NFL Plays Week #9 Thread

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FirstnGoal

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1-1-1 last week which I will take seeing that I didn't like last weeks card.


Overall 2008 Recap:

Record:

14-9-3

Breakdown:

Teasers:
9-6-2

Sides:
5-3-1

Big 3 unit plays:
1-1

Medium 2 unit plays:
5-2

Small 1 unit plays:
4-5

Very Small 1/2 unit plays:
4-1-1

Total = +4.65 units @ $3000 a unit = +$13,950

Leans:
7-3-1

One Medium Size 2 unit Play for now:

2 game 6.5 point teaser
Jacksonville -2.5
over Bengals
&
Philadelphia ?even
Over Seahawks

Jags-2.5?The Jaguars hit the road for a two game road trip that begins this week in Cincy as they face one of the worst teams in the league this season?the Jags have lost several close games this year but are still in the hunt for a wild card spot IF they get their act together this week?Coach Jack DelRio read his team the riot act this week, so look for a much better performance from the Jaguars going forward?I don?t see how the Bengals undermanned defense will be able to slow down the Jaguars offense while the Jaguars defense should feast on Bengals QB Ryan Fitzpatrick?the Jags are a stellar 9-1 SU and 7-1-2 ATS versus the AFC Central over the last 10 games while the Bengals are just 0-3 SU and ATS at home this season.
Jacksonville 34 Cincinnati 20

Eagles ?even?Another colossal mismatch as Andy Reid and the Eagles travel West to face a Seahawks team that finally got off the schneid last week by beating the Niners one of the NFL?s weak sisters?the Seahawks offense with Seneca Wallace at the helm will be no match for the the Eagles defense led by DC Jimmy Johnson?on the flip side I expect the Eagles offense with a health McNabb and Westbrook to put enough points on the board to get a W in the win column this week?keep in mind that this is also a revenge game of sorts as the Seahawks beat the Eagles in Philly last season on MNF with Donovan McNabb sidelined with an injury?the Eagles are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road tilts and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 versus the NFC?the Seahawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games but are just 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win.
Philadelphia 30 Seattle 17
 
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FirstnGoal

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Adding this Small One Unit Play:

2 game 6.5 point teaser:

New York Giants -2 over Cowboys
This is a revcenge game for the 'Boys since the G-Men knocked them out of the playoffs...BUT...the Cowboys will be missing Tony Romo, TE Jason Witten and OG Kyle Kosier...plus their O-Line which has struggled has a poor matchup versus a Giants defense that can get after the QB...this could be the game that TO becomes un-glued if the Boys are losing in the second half.
New York 30 Dallas 17

&

Tampa Bay Bucs -3 over Chiefs
The Chiefs played their game of the year last week against Herm Edwards old team the Jets and still came out on the losing end...this week they face a solid Bucs team that had the 'Boys on the ropes before losing at the end.
Tampa Bay 23 Kansas City 17
 
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FirstnGoal

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Adding:

Very Small 1/2 Unit Play on:

Cleveland Browns
-125 Moneyline
over Ravens
 
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FirstnGoal

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Leans:

Green Bay Packers +4.5
over Titans
A team coming off the bye week playing a team coming off of Monday Night...just a hunch the Packers stay within the number.
 
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FirstnGoal

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I haven't found too many MNF games that were worthy of a play this season...but this one I really like.

Medium Size 2 unit Play On:

Pittsburgh Steelers +3
Over Redskins
Both teams have just 2 losses this season but I really like the way the Steelers matchup against the Redskins tonight?The Steelers have had trouble protecting Big Ben this year but have faced teams like the Giants, Ravens and Eagles who can get after the QB?their opponent the Redskins rank just 29th in the league in sacks with just 10 this season and have De Jason Taylor sitting this one out which will put more pressure on the Redskins secondary to produce tonight?however?the Redskins secondary is banged up with CB Shawn Springs OUT and CB Carlos Rogers (Calf) being Questionable after being limited in practice this week?plus?S LaRon Landry (hamstring) is also questionable and was also limited in practice as well?the Steelers WR core of Santonio Holmes (back from suspension), Hines Ward, Nate Washington and TE Heath Miller should have a field day tonight?the Redskins defense is ranked 4th overall in the league, but has faced teams like the Lions, Browns and Rams the last 3 weeks and is still giving up 195.4 yds per game through the air?on the flip side the Redskins offense has lived off the production of Clinton Portis this season, but Portis (ankle) is banged up as well and was also limited in practice this week?his backup Ladell Betts is OUT?their top receiving play-maker Santana Moss (hamstring) was very limited this past week but was able to do some running on Saturday?Coach Zorn stated that Moss will be a game-time decision but will likely be less than 100% if he plays?the Redskins offense will be facing a Steelers Defense that is ranked #1 overall in the league in total defense?the Steelers have traveled well over the years and are 3-1 SU on the road this season?Pittsburgh is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Monday Night games but are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 following a SU loss?Washington is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following a SU loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 following a SU win?Bottom Line ? In my opinion the Redskins have too many injuries at key positions in which the Steelers should be able take advantage of?I?ll take the points as a bonus, but I doubt if I?ll need them.
Pittsburgh 27 Washington 17
 
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