nfl plays....

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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Scottsdale,AZ
46-37-2 +7.10*....

it's been 7 weeks since i had a winning week in the nfl.....looking to turn it around with these.....

all for 2*

u38(122) ne/buff
n.e.-3.....

i was only going to play the under in this game until i read an article by a bills sportwriter concerning the moulds suspension....here is a part of the article that made me play n.e.....

"The Bills are a joke right now. Willis McGahee said it was "chaos" Wednesday at One Bills Drive. J.P. Losman agreed with him. Losman has enough problems learning to play quarterback in the NFL. He doesn't need a circus like this to distract him, especially before his first career start against New England.

Mularkey isn't making many friends. He has backed his owner into a corner, and he has divided his team. The Bills' locker room hasn't felt this fractured in five years, since the final days of Doug Flutie-Rob Johnson, before Donahoe's arrival."

the bills defense gives up 140 ypg on the ground at 4.7 ypr & with corey dillon back to playing... i think him & faulk will be used extensively to control the game.....now that the cold weather is a factor teams will rely more on the ground game than throwing the ball.....i read that the pats have not won a game this year where they threw the ball 10 more times than running it....so think pats play conservatively in this game & run,run,run...also 12 of last 13 games in this series have gone under....

u 37 tb/car....

8 of last 10 tb games on the road have been under.....& it seems that carolina plays conservatively when hosting a divisional rival because since week 3,2000 car. is 0-8 o/u as a home favorite vs. a divisional opponent...

wash.-3.....

az. has had injuries on their ol & only gain 3.1 ypr...wash. defense only allows 224 ypg in the air & they have the 2ndary to limit the az passing game....wash. should control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.....

u 41 denver/balt.....

the match-ups for this game is denver's #6 rated offense vs. balt's #7 rated defense.....& balt's. #26 rated offense vs. denver's #21 rated defense.....also since 1985 denver has been home favorites of 10 or more points from week 10 out a total of 12 times.....in 11 of the 12 games they have played under the number when the o/u was 42 or lower.....

teaser....

giants-2
u 45

teaser....

pitt.+1.5
u 38


good luck.
 

GuRu

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Sep 22, 2005
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That was great analysis, thanks for posting.

Im with you big on NE, and really appreciated that Denver total info as Im having a quandry with totals this week.

best of Luck
 

IX_Bender

Registered User
Forum Member
I just backed out of my initial Bills bet and lost the juice.

FYI - McGahee missed practice today and Villareal is about 80%.

Bills have played well at home, and the weather could be nasty. The Pats should take at least half of their secondary scrubs and bracket Evans on every play if they have a clue.

Both teams have underachieved on a level that most wouldnt believe before the start of the season. This is the cream of the crop in whats now the worst division in football. Im staying away altogether.
 

MrChristo

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Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
Good luck ar.....only problem with the Balt/Denv under is the Balti D on the road.

They've given up 27 ppg away....30.4 if you take out the Bears effort of 10.

I'm pretty sure Denver will score....Just wondering if Balt can score 14??

Good luck with the rest...Might join you on the other 2 unders. :cool:
 

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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Scottsdale,AZ
thanks guys....appreciate it....

adding....

2*g.b.-5(120).........

took this earlier this week...

i think garcia will have problems throwing the ball tonight......he has no arm stregth....det.has scored 17 or less in 9 of 12 games, while their defense has allowed 21 or more in their last 5 games.....g.b. is still playing hard...

good luck.
 
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