nflx......8-8........+5.80*
nfl.......10-10.....+2.36*
there isn't much i like on this afternoon's card, so i'm going to do something i never do & play a road favorite.
i may be completely wrong with my analysis of this game but i'm taking phil. today & will wait to see if the line comes down. i think people will be looking to take s.f.because of the perceived notion that the 49ers are playing well after last week's win against the rams. but i think that they are still lacking talent in some areas.
i like phil. for a few reasons.....
s.f. will be without 2 starting offensive linemen, including their center. even without kearse, i think phil. is very strong along the defensive line & with their assorted blitz packages will cause all sorts of problems for s.f.'s offense & i think smith will make a few mistakes today.
i read that westbrook will play today & with the addition of stallworth at receiver, i think mcnab will be able to work on s.f.'s weak pass defense, something that the rams didn't do last week.
i like the fact that the eagles blew last week's game with the giants & s.f. beat their long time nemesis as a dog. because of that i think s.f. comes in a little flat for today's game while phil. will be determined to play a complete game.
here are some trends that i read....
phil. is 7-0 ats on the road off a 1 game su/ats loss, 7-0 SU & ats after playing the hated giants since 2001, and 7-0 ats/su as a conference favorite of 11 points or less off a favorite SU loss in their last game.
here is a trend that shows how a team reacts the next week after blowing a big 4th quarter lead...
play on a team with a total of 37-48? points off a SU loss leading by 15+ points after 3 quarters in its last game.
these teams are 10-0 su/ats since 1992, beating the spread by more than 16 ppg on average.
here are some trends working against s.f.'s big win last week against the hated rams....
s.f. is 1-10-1 ats vs. conference opponents when coming off a su win, and after a home victory over the rams they are 0-5 ats in sunday games.
play against a non-monday home underdog off an underdog SU win in its last game.
since the latter part of the 2004 season, these home dogs are an 0-14 su/ats, failing to cover the spread by more than 9 ppg on average.
again i may be completely wrong about my analysis of this game, but this is why i'm playing it.
good luck.
nfl.......10-10.....+2.36*
there isn't much i like on this afternoon's card, so i'm going to do something i never do & play a road favorite.
i may be completely wrong with my analysis of this game but i'm taking phil. today & will wait to see if the line comes down. i think people will be looking to take s.f.because of the perceived notion that the 49ers are playing well after last week's win against the rams. but i think that they are still lacking talent in some areas.
i like phil. for a few reasons.....
s.f. will be without 2 starting offensive linemen, including their center. even without kearse, i think phil. is very strong along the defensive line & with their assorted blitz packages will cause all sorts of problems for s.f.'s offense & i think smith will make a few mistakes today.
i read that westbrook will play today & with the addition of stallworth at receiver, i think mcnab will be able to work on s.f.'s weak pass defense, something that the rams didn't do last week.
i like the fact that the eagles blew last week's game with the giants & s.f. beat their long time nemesis as a dog. because of that i think s.f. comes in a little flat for today's game while phil. will be determined to play a complete game.
here are some trends that i read....
phil. is 7-0 ats on the road off a 1 game su/ats loss, 7-0 SU & ats after playing the hated giants since 2001, and 7-0 ats/su as a conference favorite of 11 points or less off a favorite SU loss in their last game.
here is a trend that shows how a team reacts the next week after blowing a big 4th quarter lead...
play on a team with a total of 37-48? points off a SU loss leading by 15+ points after 3 quarters in its last game.
these teams are 10-0 su/ats since 1992, beating the spread by more than 16 ppg on average.
here are some trends working against s.f.'s big win last week against the hated rams....
s.f. is 1-10-1 ats vs. conference opponents when coming off a su win, and after a home victory over the rams they are 0-5 ats in sunday games.
play against a non-monday home underdog off an underdog SU win in its last game.
since the latter part of the 2004 season, these home dogs are an 0-14 su/ats, failing to cover the spread by more than 9 ppg on average.
again i may be completely wrong about my analysis of this game, but this is why i'm playing it.
good luck.
