does anyone know what the ytd record on favorites vs. dogs is? last time i checked it was dogs covering about 60% of the time..any help would be appreciated,thanks
nfl underdogs record?
- Thread starter bej0101
- Start date
thanks..so would it be safe to bet dogs across the board and look forward to about 60%success? if so its alot better than anyone i know that bets
Ive posted this before and thought I would again if it can help. I have a client in Michigan and all he bets is the dogs at 1:00 in the NFL. He told me that he has not lost money in the 4-5 years that he has been doing it. He used to do all the things that gamblers do. Weather,injuries,pay services,magazines, web sites. You name it he did it. Now all he does is take the dogs and sits back and relaxes. He is killing them this year. The dogs at 1:00 this past sunday were 7-1 . He is laughing all the way to the bank. I have also started to do this and am making money on the system. At first I thought he was full of shit. Now I am a BELIEVER.
Best of luck to you
Best of luck to you
quantum,
is there a reason, just the 1:00 sunday dogs? sorry, if it was explained in the previous thread.
thanks in advance.
good luck.
is there a reason, just the 1:00 sunday dogs? sorry, if it was explained in the previous thread.
thanks in advance.
good luck.
Gotta believe the late square money is all over the favorites. I'm sure he bets the 4:00 (ET) games at 3:59. That's good, as long as your offshore site isn't down or the server isn't overloaded.
Does anyone Know what the dog record is straight up? Just wondering how profitable the Money Line would be.
1:00 Dogs
1:00 Dogs
I asked him the same question and he told me that the matchups usually were no as even in the late games as they were at 1:00. There really isn't a lot of logic to it but it seems to work for him. The late games were 2-2 at 4:00 last week and the 8:00 game was the favorite giants. I wish I had a better answer , but I don't. Just to add he also said that worst day he ever really has is a 4-5 or 4-4 afternoon depndingon the games. I tell you from my personal experience with this, it is amazing to watch as you have every dog and one after the next are either covering or leading the game as the day progresses. Now that I have tried to bring light to this it will probably go 2-7 or something like that. good luck
1:00 Dogs
I asked him the same question and he told me that the matchups usually were no as even in the late games as they were at 1:00. There really isn't a lot of logic to it but it seems to work for him. The late games were 2-2 at 4:00 last week and the 8:00 game was the favorite giants. I wish I had a better answer , but I don't. Just to add he also said that worst day he ever really has is a 4-5 or 4-4 afternoon depndingon the games. I tell you from my personal experience with this, it is amazing to watch as you have every dog and one after the next are either covering or leading the game as the day progresses. Now that I have tried to bring light to this it will probably go 2-7 or something like that. good luck
You dont lose 60% of the time (77/129)
You lose 40% of the time (52/129)
You win 56% of the time (72/129)
You don't win 44% of the time (57/129)
You lose 40% of the time (52/129)
You win 56% of the time (72/129)
You don't win 44% of the time (57/129)
Does anyone have this years stats for:
1) Early Game Record for Dogs/Favorites
2) Late Game Record for Dogs/Favorites
3) SNF Game Record for Dogs/Favorites
4) MNF Game Record for Dogs/Favorites
1) Early Game Record for Dogs/Favorites
2) Late Game Record for Dogs/Favorites
3) SNF Game Record for Dogs/Favorites
4) MNF Game Record for Dogs/Favorites
My own personal records, other people's numbers may not be exactly the same.
Favorites ATS
Week 1
Thurs: 0-1
1:00 : 4-6
4:00 : 1-2
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 0-1
Total: 5-11
Week 2
1:00 : 3-6
4:00 : 1-4
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 1-0
Total: 5-11
Week 3
1:00 : 4-3
4:00 : 2-3
8:30 : 1-0
Mon: 0-1
Total: 7-7
Week 4
1:00 : 2-6
4:00 : 2-2
8:30 : 1-0
Mon: 0-1
Total: 5-9
Week 5
1:00 : 3-4-1
4:00 : 3-1
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 1-0
Total: 7-6-1
Week 6
1:00 : 4-5
4:00 : 0-3
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 1-0
Total: 5-9
Week 7
1:00 : 5-2-1
4:00 : 3-2
Mon: 1-0
Total: 9-4-1
Week 8
1:00 : 3-6
4:00 : 1-2
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 1-0
Total: 5-9
Week 9
1:00 : 1-6-1
4:00 : 1-3
8:30 : 1-0
Mon: 1-0
Total: 4-9-1
Overall
Thurs: 0-1
1:00 : 29-44-3
4:00 : 14-22
8:30 : 3-5
Mon: 6-3
Total: 52-75-3
Virtually no difference in the % of favs that cover at 1pm or 4pm. Favs have covered 5 straight Monday nighters.
Favorites ATS
Week 1
Thurs: 0-1
1:00 : 4-6
4:00 : 1-2
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 0-1
Total: 5-11
Week 2
1:00 : 3-6
4:00 : 1-4
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 1-0
Total: 5-11
Week 3
1:00 : 4-3
4:00 : 2-3
8:30 : 1-0
Mon: 0-1
Total: 7-7
Week 4
1:00 : 2-6
4:00 : 2-2
8:30 : 1-0
Mon: 0-1
Total: 5-9
Week 5
1:00 : 3-4-1
4:00 : 3-1
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 1-0
Total: 7-6-1
Week 6
1:00 : 4-5
4:00 : 0-3
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 1-0
Total: 5-9
Week 7
1:00 : 5-2-1
4:00 : 3-2
Mon: 1-0
Total: 9-4-1
Week 8
1:00 : 3-6
4:00 : 1-2
8:30 : 0-1
Mon: 1-0
Total: 5-9
Week 9
1:00 : 1-6-1
4:00 : 1-3
8:30 : 1-0
Mon: 1-0
Total: 4-9-1
Overall
Thurs: 0-1
1:00 : 29-44-3
4:00 : 14-22
8:30 : 3-5
Mon: 6-3
Total: 52-75-3
Virtually no difference in the % of favs that cover at 1pm or 4pm. Favs have covered 5 straight Monday nighters.
Pgh Kid said:
Dogs by my #'s ATS this year are 75-52-3. Of the 75 covers, 53 were outright wins, 22 were just spread covers. So I guess that makes dogs 53-77 SU (40.8%) after adding in the pushes. Note that this is significantly higher than recent years' statistical averages, where dogs have usually won 32-36% of games outright.
Last year I had dogs for the full season (including playoffs) going 126-118-12 (plus 3 Pick Em games), with 87 outright wins for the dogs and 39 spread covers.
2000: Dogs 131-119-6-3, 91 outright, 40 spread.
1999: Dogs 131-115-9-4, 85 outright, 46 spread.
That should be enough data to evaluate it.
Last edited:
for quantum
for quantum
just to clarify this. your client is only playing 1:00 games, and making consistent money. did he share his approximate winnings,and is he or you disciplined enough to play the dogs exclusively. thanks
for quantum
just to clarify this. your client is only playing 1:00 games, and making consistent money. did he share his approximate winnings,and is he or you disciplined enough to play the dogs exclusively. thanks
