NFL week 1 expecting the unexpected

BigGaycapper

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May 19, 2008
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Here we go, another fun filled year of NFL action. Couple things to remember, especially in week 1.

1. Preseason is irrelevant, the Redskins won 3 games in pre season, they may not win that many all this year.

2. What happened last year is irrelevant, many new faces in new places.

3. The spread only matters about 17% of the time. First pick your straight up winner then look at spreads and narrow down your plays.

Packers/Bears
The Pack was in the drivers seat to the Superbowl last year, dd lead late in the third qtr, then the wheels fell off and Seattle stuns all of us. Packers have dominated this divisional head to head match up winning 9 of last 10. Packers are one of the favorites to represent the NFC in Superbowl 50, Rodgers is a top MVP candidate. Everyone loves Green Bay. I say, expect the unexpected. Fox brings a new outlook for the Bears, they aren't a playoff team but they will be conservative enough to stay within this number. Forte is still a workhorse and Fox will play into Cutlers strengths. Packers started 0-1 last 3 years. Too many points for a week 1 division game.

Packers 27 Bears 23

Play Bears +7.5 -140 $140 wins $100


Browns/Jets
What's to expect that's unexpected in this game? Well neither team was any good last year and neither could score. This will hold true again today for one team. Call me crazy but this might be the best Jets team we have seen in awhile, not that that's a tough task but Fitzpatrick is a gunslinger and will not take sacks. He's got Decker and Marshall as prime targets and Ivory is set to have a break out season. Expect Jets defense to score today as this game will get ugly. Jets in a blow out...yes a J-E-T-S blowout!

Jets 27 Browns 13

Play Jets -3.5 -110 $330 wins $300


Panthers/Jags
Here is what I see as unexpected in this game. The Panthers probably shouldn't even be favored. Line is Carolina -3 so even if we give Jax 3 for being the home team we are saying Carolina should be a 6-7 pt fav? Books clearly trying to remind us that the Panthers went to the playoffs last year and Jacksonville sucks. In reality neither of these teams are very good. Jags are improving and if they don't turn the ball over they can win this game, yes win outright! Ill play it safe because it's week 1.

Panthers 21 Jags 20

Play Jags +3.5 -130 $130 wins $100


Might add a couple more, looking at some totals. Enjoy week one everybody and most of all make money!
 

Old School

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Mar 19, 2006
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EXCELLANT WORK..

way to bring it...

just like the old days here

reason..line...wager...


x11:
 

BigGaycapper

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May 19, 2008
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Gonna take a stab at a team total

$55 wins $50

Chiefs tt under 20.5
I love the Texans D and I think it plays into the strength of the Chiefs offense, there running game. We already know about JJ but Texans add Wilfork to stuff the middle and we finally get to see a healthy Clowney. That can be a scary defense and might make for a long day for J Charles...fantasy players beware.

Good luck all
 

BigGaycapper

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May 19, 2008
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Sunday wrap up

Nailed the big play on the Jets in blow out fashion as I expected. Lost the Bears by 0.5, was hoping they would try for 2 pt conversion after the late Bennett td. Jags had opportunities but then they remembered that they were the Jags. Totally missed on the Chiefs tt, are they that good or was the Texans defense just hype?

Overall week one counting Thursdays game I am up $75 going into tonight. Back later with plays
 

BigGaycapper

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Monday Night

Monday Night

Eagles tt over 14 -145 1st half $290 wins $200
Plenty of possessions for both teams tonight. Falcons have a great defensive headcoach but he doesn't have the talent he had in Seattle.

Julio Jones scores a td -120 $60 wins $50

Back later for a Vikes/Niner play

GL boys
 
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