NFL Week 13 including Turkey Day Play

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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I finally came down to earth a bit last week going 0-2 because the Packers couldn't cover the 13.5 in my teaser.:mad:...however...I didn't like last weeks card too much and lost just 1.78 units.


I'm not a real huge fan of this weeks card either, so once again I'll play it safe. :yup


It's going to be a busy Thanksgiving Week kurby


Happy Thanksgiving to my fellow Madjackers!


Overall 2008 Recap

Record:

22-15-4

Breakdown:

Teasers:
12-8-3

Sides:
10-7-1

Big 3 unit plays:
1-1

Medium 2 unit plays:
8-3

Small 1 unit plays:
7-7-1

Very Small 1/2 unit plays:
6-3-1

Total = +8.47 units @ $3000 a unit = +$25,420

Leans:
12-4-1



One Play for Now:

One Unit Small Play:

2 game 6 point teaser
Tennessee Titans -5
(Thanksgiving Day)
Over Lions
&
Indianapolis Colts +1.5
Over Browns


Titans -5?The Titans committed too many turnovers last week against the Jets to remain undefeated which is actually a blessing to the team since it won?t have the media pressure of an undefeated team surrounding it going forward?this week the Titans face a Lions team that seems to get closer to winning each week but has yet to find a way to win?the Titans have said that they are going to recommit themselves to running the football and this week they face a Lions team that is DEAD LAST in the league versus the run giving up 166.7 yds per game?I expect the Titans to use LenDale White more this week along with Chris Johnson as they will successfully pound the ball and control the time of possession in this one?on the flips side Lions HB Kevin Smith could miss the game because of a short work week since he twisted his knee on Sunday?plus?Lions fans are pissed so you can expect to see plenty of faces in brown bags this week in Detroit which won?t favor the home team?the Lions are just 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 in November, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home tilts and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall?the Titans meanwhile are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games and a perfect 5-0 ATS versus teams with a losing record?The Titans get back on track!
Tennessee 24 Detroit 13 EEEZZZ WINNER!

Colts -1.5?This is a matchup of 2 teams headed in the opposite direction as the Colts are back on track and are one of the league?s hottest teams winning 4 straight since Peyton Manning is hitting his stride after a slow start because of his knee injury?on the flips side?the Browns hit the low point of their season last week losing to a Texans team last week that couldn?t buy a win on the road?Brady Quinn is out for the year which means they are forced to switch back to Derek Anderson at QB?Browns fans were restless last week with the chants of Cowher, Cowher, Cowher filling the stadium in the fourth quarter?I?m bucking the trends in this one as the Colts make it 5 wins in a row on Sunday.
Indianapolis 27 Cleveland 20 WINNER!

Note: I would have considered the Colts as a straight play... but with C Jeff Saturday out I like the teaser better since backup C Jamie Richard will have his hands full with Browns NT Shawn Rogers.

CASH!!
 
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FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
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An easy winner with the Titans today leaves me the Colts +1.5 over the Browns to cash my teaser.
 

Livin'tillthEnd

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Forum Member
Nov 7, 2008
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Dallas
nice day yesterday...

nice day yesterday...

nice call FIRST..

Added additional teasers

Dallas -7 / Indy + .5

Tx Tech -15.5 / Indy + 1.5

Good luck --Lets go Indy!

:toast:
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
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0
Added this 1/2 Unit Play:


Wager Type: Football-10pts Teaser (3 team) ties push
Wager Status: Pending
Accepted 11/27/2008 10:19 AM - EST


Item #1
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
San Francisco 49ers +17 11/30/2008 1:00:01 PM - (EST)


Item #2
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
Chicago Bears +13.5 11/30/2008 8:15:01 PM - (EST)
* Game Notes: (NBC)

Item #3
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
Jacksonville Jaguars +13 12/1/2008 8:35:01 PM - (EST)
* Game Notes: (ESPN)
 

FirstnGoal

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Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
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I just added one more very, very small 1/4 unit Play

3 game 10 point teaser:

Selection #1
11/30/2008 4:15 PM - (EST)
Football NFL Game
Wager Type:Teaser Football-10pts
New York Jets
Spread +1 for Game

The Jets should win this one at home against a defenseless Broncos squad.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Selection #2
11/30/2008 1:00 PM - (EST) Football NFL Game
Wager Type:Teaser Football-10pts
New Orleans Saints/Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Total Points UNDER 54? for Game

With the Tornado watch being posted I figured what the hell!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Selection #3
11/30/2008 1:00 PM - (EST)
Football NFL Game
Wager Type:Teaser Football-10pts
Carolina Panthers
Spread +13 for Game

The Packers are horrible against the run...the Panthers love to pound the rock...I think the Panthers will stay within 13 points.
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Another winning week as my 1 unit tease came through! :00hour

I've got 3/4 of a unit still at risk and I'm looking to sweep!
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
I didn't like last weeks card at all but was still able to squeeze out a profitable week by winning .11 units last week. :00hour

I'll take it!
:yup


As for Monday Night...I'm tempted to play the Over but instead I'm taking the $$$ and running this week. kurby

Trends for tonight:

Over is 10-2 in HOU last 12 games in December.
Over is 9-2 in HOU last 11 vs. AFC.
Over is 13-3 in HOU last 16 games overall.

The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

The Jaguars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.

The Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings


Overall 2008 Recap

Record:

23-17-4

Breakdown:

Teasers:
13-10-3

Sides:
10-7-1

Big 3 unit plays:
1-1

Medium 2 unit plays:
8-3

Small 1 unit plays:
8-7-1

Very Small 1/2 unit plays:
6-4-1

Very Very Small 1/4 Unit plays:
0-1

Total = +8.58 units @ $3000 a unit = +$25,740

Leans:
12-5-1
 
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