I cashed my Big Play Ticket last week but had to sweat it out as the Chargers had to come from behind last week to earn the cash.
:00hour
This week I'm going to roll the dice on this one game and play it Small for now... but... I might increase the wager and place them in a 2 game teaser as well.
Small Play for now:
Cleveland Browns -5.5 over Buffalo...The game has playoff implications for both teams but only one can come out on top in the end...the Bills are coming off of an impressive win over the hapless Dolphins and despite the teams injuries this season they have stuck together because of their Coach Dick Jauron and are in the playoff hunt for a wildcard berth...the Bills are 3-3 SU on the Road this season...but...all 3 of those wins were versus teams with a losing record...the Bills are 0-3 on the Road versus teams with a winning record and have been outscored by a whopping 100-24...this week they face a Browns team that is 5-1 SU at Home this season with their lone Home loss coming in their Home opener vs the Steelers with Charlie Frye at QB...in the other 5 games at Home they are 5-0 SU with Anderson at QB and are averaging a whopping 35.8 pts per game...Bottom Line - The Bills have ranked near the bottom of the league in Total Offense and Defense this season but have survived some of their games due to a tremendous special teams unit...this week the Bills won't have a huge special teams edge because the Browns special teams are also one of the best in the league...both teams secondaries are banged up...but...the edge goes to the Browns playing at home with a more experienced QB who has posted an average of 35.8 pts on the board at home...on the flips side...the Bills are averaging a mere 9 pts on the Road this season...the better team playing at Home will come away with a "W" this Sunday.
Cleveland 30 Buffalo 20
Trends:
Bills are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Bills are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
Bills are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a Dog.
Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Bills are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Browns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite.
Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Browns are 9-1 ATS vs. teams with a win' record.
Browns are 9-1 ATS last 10 games on grass.
Browns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Browns are 5-1 ATS last 6 following a ATS win.
Browns are 4-1 ATS last 5 following a S.U. win.
Browns are 4-1 ATS last 5 as a home favorite.
:00hour
This week I'm going to roll the dice on this one game and play it Small for now... but... I might increase the wager and place them in a 2 game teaser as well.
Small Play for now:
Cleveland Browns -5.5 over Buffalo...The game has playoff implications for both teams but only one can come out on top in the end...the Bills are coming off of an impressive win over the hapless Dolphins and despite the teams injuries this season they have stuck together because of their Coach Dick Jauron and are in the playoff hunt for a wildcard berth...the Bills are 3-3 SU on the Road this season...but...all 3 of those wins were versus teams with a losing record...the Bills are 0-3 on the Road versus teams with a winning record and have been outscored by a whopping 100-24...this week they face a Browns team that is 5-1 SU at Home this season with their lone Home loss coming in their Home opener vs the Steelers with Charlie Frye at QB...in the other 5 games at Home they are 5-0 SU with Anderson at QB and are averaging a whopping 35.8 pts per game...Bottom Line - The Bills have ranked near the bottom of the league in Total Offense and Defense this season but have survived some of their games due to a tremendous special teams unit...this week the Bills won't have a huge special teams edge because the Browns special teams are also one of the best in the league...both teams secondaries are banged up...but...the edge goes to the Browns playing at home with a more experienced QB who has posted an average of 35.8 pts on the board at home...on the flips side...the Bills are averaging a mere 9 pts on the Road this season...the better team playing at Home will come away with a "W" this Sunday.
Cleveland 30 Buffalo 20
Trends:
Bills are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Bills are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
Bills are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a Dog.
Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Bills are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Browns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite.
Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Browns are 9-1 ATS vs. teams with a win' record.
Browns are 9-1 ATS last 10 games on grass.
Browns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Browns are 5-1 ATS last 6 following a ATS win.
Browns are 4-1 ATS last 5 following a S.U. win.
Browns are 4-1 ATS last 5 as a home favorite.
