My Small 1 Unit play on the Giants on Monday Night pulled me out of a losing week (1-2 overall) but put me up a 1/4 of a unit for the week!
:00hour
Yes I will take it since I hated last weeks card!
As for this week:
The lines can be tricky and can move quickly because of playoff implications...so if you're going to coat-tail hit this one play ASAP before the lines move.
One Play for now and I played it Small 1 Unit even though I like it because things can be unpredictable at this time of the year...Oakland (double digit Outright winner) over the Broncos and Panthers big dog outright winner over the Vikings last week.
Small 1 Unit Play:
(*Best Bet*)
3 game 10 point teaser
Atlanta Falcons +1/2 over Bills WINS!
Green Bay Packers -4 over Seahawks WINS!
San Francisco 49?ers -2 over Lions WINS!
Falcons +1/2?The Falcons were eliminated from the Playoff hunt last week but face a Bills team that will be forced to start their 3rd string QB Brian Brohm this week who they plucked off the Packers practice squad over a month ago?I really like the Falcons in this tease since the Bills defense can?t stop the run and their offensive line is a mess and will be starting Brohm at QB?Both teams have positive trends with the Bills being 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss., and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games?.while the Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Falcons have been solid at home this season going 5-2 SU at home and have won 3 straight games against the Bills?The Falcons win their last home game of the season by double digits.
Atlanta 26 Buffalo 16
Packers -4?The Packers are in the drivers seat for a wild-card playoff berth but need to win this week and then travel to Arizona in week 17?the Packers lost a heart-breaker in Pitt last week but face a Seahawks team that has been horrible on the road this season and allowed the Bucs to beat them at home last week?The Seahawks are 1-6 on the road this season with their lone win coming against the Rams and have been outscored 195-80 in their 6 road losses or 32-13 per game?The Packers have won the last 2 games between these two teams 27-17 in Seattle in ?08 and 42-20 at home in the 2008 NFC Playoffs?Bottom Line - This game has mismatch written all over it as the Seahawks struggle to defend the pass while the Packers love to air it out and are playing for their playoff lives?The Packers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December?The Seahawks are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC,1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Green Bay 34 Seattle 14
Niners -2?The Niners beat the Lions 31-13 at home last season and will face a Lions team that is really banged up and has been lousy on the road this season being defeated by an average of 22 points a game?The Niners are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss., 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss, and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games?.The Lions are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Francisco?The Niners need only win by a FG to cover this tease!
San Francisco 27 Detroit 14
2009 Regular Season NFL Record:
19-13
Breakdown:
Best Bets:
8-1
Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0
Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
5-3
Small 1 Unit Plays:
8-5
Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
4-4
Very Very Small 1/4 Unit Plays:
0-1
Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5
Leans:
11-8-1
+11.9 Units
12 weeks of showing a profit
2 losing weeks
1 wash
:00hour
Yes I will take it since I hated last weeks card!
As for this week:
The lines can be tricky and can move quickly because of playoff implications...so if you're going to coat-tail hit this one play ASAP before the lines move.
One Play for now and I played it Small 1 Unit even though I like it because things can be unpredictable at this time of the year...Oakland (double digit Outright winner) over the Broncos and Panthers big dog outright winner over the Vikings last week.
Small 1 Unit Play:
(*Best Bet*)
3 game 10 point teaser
Atlanta Falcons +1/2 over Bills WINS!
Green Bay Packers -4 over Seahawks WINS!
San Francisco 49?ers -2 over Lions WINS!
Falcons +1/2?The Falcons were eliminated from the Playoff hunt last week but face a Bills team that will be forced to start their 3rd string QB Brian Brohm this week who they plucked off the Packers practice squad over a month ago?I really like the Falcons in this tease since the Bills defense can?t stop the run and their offensive line is a mess and will be starting Brohm at QB?Both teams have positive trends with the Bills being 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss., and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games?.while the Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Falcons have been solid at home this season going 5-2 SU at home and have won 3 straight games against the Bills?The Falcons win their last home game of the season by double digits.
Atlanta 26 Buffalo 16
Packers -4?The Packers are in the drivers seat for a wild-card playoff berth but need to win this week and then travel to Arizona in week 17?the Packers lost a heart-breaker in Pitt last week but face a Seahawks team that has been horrible on the road this season and allowed the Bucs to beat them at home last week?The Seahawks are 1-6 on the road this season with their lone win coming against the Rams and have been outscored 195-80 in their 6 road losses or 32-13 per game?The Packers have won the last 2 games between these two teams 27-17 in Seattle in ?08 and 42-20 at home in the 2008 NFC Playoffs?Bottom Line - This game has mismatch written all over it as the Seahawks struggle to defend the pass while the Packers love to air it out and are playing for their playoff lives?The Packers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December?The Seahawks are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC,1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Green Bay 34 Seattle 14
Niners -2?The Niners beat the Lions 31-13 at home last season and will face a Lions team that is really banged up and has been lousy on the road this season being defeated by an average of 22 points a game?The Niners are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss., 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss, and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games?.The Lions are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Francisco?The Niners need only win by a FG to cover this tease!
San Francisco 27 Detroit 14
2009 Regular Season NFL Record:
19-13
Breakdown:
Best Bets:
8-1
Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0
Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
5-3
Small 1 Unit Plays:
8-5
Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
4-4
Very Very Small 1/4 Unit Plays:
0-1
Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5
Leans:
11-8-1
+11.9 Units
12 weeks of showing a profit
2 losing weeks
1 wash
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