NFL Week #4 Second BIG PLAY of the season! $$

[FirstnGoal]

1-0 on my Big Plays to date!


:00hour





My first was easy with the Steelers -9.5 over Buffalo.



I expect the line to move quite a bit in this one!

BIG Play on:

New York Jets -3 over Buffalo

The Bills may be the worst team in the NFL at this point since they have lost numerous starters and backups on the defensive side of the ball...a starting O-Lineman and their starting QB J.P. Losman...the injuries have also affected their special teams depth wise etc...plus this might be a bit of a sandwich game for them since they are coming off of a beating at the hands of their division rival the Patriots and have the Cowboys coming into town for a Monday Night date next week...the Jets got back on track this past weekend and will prove to be way too much for a Bills team (with a rookie QB and a bunch of backups) to handle this week...lets spell out the winner in this one...J..E..T..S...JETS, JETS, JETS!
New York 27 Buffalo 16

:bigun:

 

[FirstnGoal]

I had to start a new thread because I'm not smart enough :142smilie to know that it's the fourth and not the third week of the season!

:shrug:

 

[FirstnGoal]

Up to 3.5 already and climbing!!

I wouldn't be surprised if it climbs to 6 by weeks end.

 

[FirstnGoal]

Some trends supporting my play:


Jets are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Jets are 9-0 ATS last 9 games following a ATS loss.

Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Jets are 4-1-1 ATS last 6 games as a favorite.

Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Bills are 1-4 ATS last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.

Bills are 1-5 ATS last 6 gms as a home dog of 3.5-10.0.

 

[FirstnGoal]

Adding this Small Play:

2 game 6 point Teaser
San Diego Chargers -5.5
&
Miami Dolphins +2

Chargers -5.5?The Chargers have played 3 straight tough opponents and come home with a 1-2 record overall?this week they face a Chiefs team that finally got in the win column last week but also a team that doesn?t match up in talent with the lightning bolts?San Diego is 13-3-2 ATS last 18 following a SU loss and 13-4-3 ATS last 20 versus the AFC West?.the Chiefs are just 1-4 ATS last 5 games as a road dog and 1-4 ATS last 5 as a dog overall?.this one won?t be close!
San Diego 30 Kansas City 13

Miami +2?The Dolphins are still searching for their first win and face a Raiders team this week that is coming off of their first W but must travel cross country to face the Dolphins?the Dolphins Defense will welcome back former teammate Daunte Culpepper come Sunday?Oakland is 1-7 ATS last 8 games on Grass and 1-4 ATS last 5 games played in September?Miami is 8-2-1 ATS last 11 after allowing 30+ pts in their previous game?the Favorite (Miami) is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams?.Home cooking gets the ?W?!
Miami 20 Oakland 16

 

[FirstnGoal]

Adding one more Small Play:

Philadelphia -3 over the G-men

 

[Dr. Fade]

Some trends supporting my play:


Jets are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Jets are 9-0 ATS last 9 games following a ATS loss.

Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Jets are 4-1-1 ATS last 6 games as a favorite.

Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Bills are 1-4 ATS last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.

Bills are 1-5 ATS last 6 gms as a home dog of 3.5-10.0.

GL w/your play. Here is a advesarial trend:

HOME DOGS in 2007 are 70%+ ATS

 

[FirstnGoal]

GL w/your play. Here is a advesarial trend:

HOME DOGS in 2007 are 70%+ ATS

Correct!

But, I don't think Buffalo will be one of the home-dogs that will cover today.

There are 9 home-dogs this weekend...I think 6 of the 9 have a shot at covering with the six being:

Arizona
San Fran
Browns
Vikings
Falcons
Bengals

Good Luck!

 

[FirstnGoal]

Adding one last Small Play:

2 game Teaser:

Falcons +9 and Cardinals +12.5