Always nice to see my picks match up with yours HH here is what I like and why
STRONG LEANS THIS WEEK
Arizona, Washington, Jacksonville, NY Jets and Indianapolis
SD is way over priced after that gifted MNF win. Especially on a prime time game where there's more viewers tuned in, people will be more in favor or backing the side that won, especially vs a good team like the Colts. I also like how the Jags have been playing lately. With Blackmon anything is possible. Henne is good enough to at least move the ball at times, which is good enough for me.
I know last week I was on Wash +6 against Dallas and that crashed and burned.Again, the Redskins lost vs Dallas on SNF. They actually out gained the Cowboys, but nobody cares about that when the scoreboard reads 31-16. RG3 can still playball, and the Bears still don't impress me. Redskins won't win the division but they're better than their record shows and will tally off some wins in the next few weeks.
I don't get how you can be so dominant at home, yet look like an average team away from Centurylink. Just a gut feeling, but ARIZ will keep it close...even possibly win. The line opened at -4.5 and it's now -6.5 -110/+100 at Pinny.I doubt it passes or even makes it to 7, so I think the time would be to buy now. Iwill watch this before kick off to see what I can get as a line.
The big game of the week will be Denv/Indy. I think the public will continue to ride the Broncos train, but what makes a better story line for ESPN because I always add that to when I look at a game.Now what will bring more ratings and sell newspapers? "Broncos in a blowout" doubt it. "Manning and the Broncos edge Luck in his old home" ok, getting better...."Sometimes it's better to be LUCKy, Colts stun the Broncos." I think that sells alot of newspapers. I think the books keep this under 7 cause if we would see INDY +7 the books would get crushed.
NY Jets lost to the Steelers...? Maybe Pitt was due. This what I call a zig zag effect cause Patriots are comming off an emotional win vs a team who looked terrible. I love the +4. I see the Pats winning by a FG. Also, who would you rather bet on? Brady or Smith? NO brainer right? That's where we come in. It's certain spots like this we have to make a move.
Just adding my two cents HH you know me I don't really like to write alot, but I really enjoy your threads. GL might add more as we get closer to kick off
