nfl winner based on the ML (7-1 YTD)

[UT-Longhorn]

so far the tentative ML plays are:

Broncos 5 units

Seahags 5 units

both are 5 cents heavy currently, if they stay that way, that are the plays, 5 units each as long as they stay heavy.

Playoff System Record- 7-1

 

[styles169]

goodluck today, is this system playoffs only?

 

[UT-Longhorn]

no, just started posting it in the playoffs, did great all year.......

 

[Captain Crunch]

UT, been following this and is very impressive. I have been looking for a chart for conversion of moneyline to spread for NBA, but can't find anything. Ever tried it in hoops?

Good Luck today.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

ok, it just moved back to -3 -155 on denver, so there is no play as of right now........still watching........

 

[UT-Longhorn]

UT, been following this and is very impressive. I have been looking for a chart for conversion of moneyline to spread for NBA, but can't find anything. Ever tried it in hoops?

Good Luck today.

yea, ive been looking for a ML chart for hoops, cant find one.......would really like to cuz it works in hoops as well.........duke ML yesterday was 20 cents light, look what happened......ML on NC State was 15 cents heavy, look what happened...........

 

[UT-Longhorn]

fwiw, no play on denver/pitt game.........

 

[JBBrown2]

UT, if you get a second could give me a small summary of the basis of this system. I am trying to get some stuff together for college hoops and I saw you mentioned it with those two games yesterday.

Thanks

 

[UT-Longhorn]

there is a play on the Seattle ML.


JBBrown-

basically looking at the college hoops moneylines. If they are heavy, play em, if they are light, take the dog. hope that helps.

 

[Captain Crunch]

Do you have a chart for college hoops? The chart I have for football has different ML's for NFL and College. Can you provide a link or post what they are or if they are the same as football.

Thanks and Good Luck

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Do you have a chart for college hoops? The chart I have for football has different ML's for NFL and College. Can you provide a link or post what they are or if they are the same as football.

Thanks and Good Luck

actually I dont have an official line chart for hoops. I just kinda go roughly off a football chart. What I need to do is find out when OLYMPIC FIRST post their saturday lines, since those pretty much are virgin and havent moved off their original number. I can then make a chart based off of that. The key is though getting the lines and moneylines as soon as they release them so they dont move before I write them down and make the chart.

Anyone know when OLYMPIC usually releases the saturday NCAAB lines?

 

[DerekNJND]

I compare MLs from other sites, like Sportsbook and Betonusa to Pinnacle. When SB gets cheap and chincy on the ML payouts compared to Pinny, its often a winner. For example, Carolina was +160 at Pinny and +155 at SB, pretty much the same. Pittsburgh was +130 at SB, while +160 at Pinny. SB was chincy on the payout and steelers won. Hoops too, I bet Gtown on the ML at my book +325. Pinny had it at +340, I saw SB and BetonUSA had it at like +280 +290. Again, the very cheap payout and then a SU winner. Just something I look at before I bet MLs on dogs, or on the dog period.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

UPDATE-

record now- 8-1 YTD

Pitt Superbowl line -3.5 -200, if that line holds, mortgage the house and put it on Pitt, Pitt WILL win if the moneyline stays heavy.........

 

[HoopsGuru]

i see the ml at pinn is -171, 5 dimes has -175 and olympic has -180. guess it dropped a little? i grabbed pitt -3 (-120) in the first half of the nfc title game. think pitt wins this game. this system is great, thanks for posting it, its interesting.

 

[JBBrown2]

UT,

You basing your lines off of OLY

JB