Im on a 20-6 streak including NCAA and NFL for the last 3 weeks posting on this site. My record is easily verified just go back thru my post history if you want to see the last few weeks of winners. 4-1 ATS in college yesterday. Lets keep it going today, I see some great opportunities for sharp players...
ATS
1. Broncos -7.5 - Public is all over KC here but I think Denver makes a statement with this game. Unless KC can get to Manning rushing 4 without having to blitz on every play, this will turn in to a QB/skill position game which gives Denver the big advantage. Chiefs may be the luckiest 9-0 team in league history after facing 4 backup QBs and 3 wins by less than 3 pts. All Denver has to do is protect Manning and they will win this game big. I also might take a look at the OVER here.
2. Packers +6 - Packers have been running the ball very well and the Giants still can't stop the run. Another 20 mph wind game forces both teams to the ground where GB definitely has an advantage. I think Giants win 23-20 but Packers get an easy ATS cover
3. Texans -10 - one of my biggest plays of the day fading Oakland backup McGloin. This kid was terrible at Penn State and facing an elite Texans defense. Even with Pryor I would put this at a 6-7 pt spread.
4. Browns +7 - another close low scoring AFC north battle. Cleveland comes off a bye week with a top five pass and run defense against Cincinnati who is again missing their best player at all three levels of defense. Take the points here.
5. Saints -3 - Going to keep rolling with NO at home until they let me down. I expect Saints to take an early lead and force 49ers to abandon the run. Turning Kaepernick in to a 1 dimensional QB gives the Saints a clear advantage here.
6. Bucs +1 - Tampa is the better team here in pretty much every phase of the game right now. Revis will be able to lock down Roddy White, the only outside threat for the Falcons. TB linebackers are very good and can cover Tony Gonzalez and maybe force Ryan in to a turnover or two. I'm rolling with the top 5 defense at home getting a point vs a bottom 5 offense and defense.
7. Jets -1 - S. Johnson and R.Woods injuries will hurt the Bills offense today vs elite Jets defense. Jets coming off a bye week will win the turnover margin and an ugly low scoring 20-16 game.
8. Cardinals -8.5 - Again going with a top 10 defense against the worst offense in the league. Jags new confidence may be able to keep this close for the first half but I think Cardinals pull away. Before knocking out Jake Locker last week, Jags had lost every game by at least 10 pts. The trend continues here today.
SU
1. Seahawks
2. Broncos
3. Texans
4. Cardinals
5. Saints
6. Lions
OU
1. Patriots under 47
2. Saints over 50
3. Jets under 40
4. Dolphins over 45
5. Browns under 41
6. Bears under 41
7. Broncos over 49
ATS
1. Broncos -7.5 - Public is all over KC here but I think Denver makes a statement with this game. Unless KC can get to Manning rushing 4 without having to blitz on every play, this will turn in to a QB/skill position game which gives Denver the big advantage. Chiefs may be the luckiest 9-0 team in league history after facing 4 backup QBs and 3 wins by less than 3 pts. All Denver has to do is protect Manning and they will win this game big. I also might take a look at the OVER here.
2. Packers +6 - Packers have been running the ball very well and the Giants still can't stop the run. Another 20 mph wind game forces both teams to the ground where GB definitely has an advantage. I think Giants win 23-20 but Packers get an easy ATS cover
3. Texans -10 - one of my biggest plays of the day fading Oakland backup McGloin. This kid was terrible at Penn State and facing an elite Texans defense. Even with Pryor I would put this at a 6-7 pt spread.
4. Browns +7 - another close low scoring AFC north battle. Cleveland comes off a bye week with a top five pass and run defense against Cincinnati who is again missing their best player at all three levels of defense. Take the points here.
5. Saints -3 - Going to keep rolling with NO at home until they let me down. I expect Saints to take an early lead and force 49ers to abandon the run. Turning Kaepernick in to a 1 dimensional QB gives the Saints a clear advantage here.
6. Bucs +1 - Tampa is the better team here in pretty much every phase of the game right now. Revis will be able to lock down Roddy White, the only outside threat for the Falcons. TB linebackers are very good and can cover Tony Gonzalez and maybe force Ryan in to a turnover or two. I'm rolling with the top 5 defense at home getting a point vs a bottom 5 offense and defense.
7. Jets -1 - S. Johnson and R.Woods injuries will hurt the Bills offense today vs elite Jets defense. Jets coming off a bye week will win the turnover margin and an ugly low scoring 20-16 game.
8. Cardinals -8.5 - Again going with a top 10 defense against the worst offense in the league. Jags new confidence may be able to keep this close for the first half but I think Cardinals pull away. Before knocking out Jake Locker last week, Jags had lost every game by at least 10 pts. The trend continues here today.
SU
1. Seahawks
2. Broncos
3. Texans
4. Cardinals
5. Saints
6. Lions
OU
1. Patriots under 47
2. Saints over 50
3. Jets under 40
4. Dolphins over 45
5. Browns under 41
6. Bears under 41
7. Broncos over 49
Last edited:
