slickjim - just read the line on this game - it's telling you everything you need to know...take Northern Illinois....tough place for CM to win - believe have not last 8 trips or something- but strictly look at the line - you have a team w/ better record on road - NI just got waxed last week - majority on CM, yet line moves up? play NIU or pass on the game...i locked into this earlier at -3, up to -4 most places - anyways not saying this will hit everytime - but i'd estimate at a 55-60% long run clip...gl