All of those quotes are certainly disconcerting, but they are very similar to the rhetoric used in 1994, when we seemed to be on the brink of war.
I remember said rhetoric very well, because I was stationed 8 miles south of the DMZ(Camp Casey-Tongduchon for anyone familiar) at the time that Clinton brokered peace, even while he had plans to strike the nuclear facility if necessary. It was every bit as tense and seemingly close to war as it is today, if not more so. We were restricted to post for 3 weeks and on a 'must not drink, must report where you will be etc' for 6 weeks. We all thought for sure that is was going to happen.
I can assure you that it is easy for us to rattle our sabres from the comfort of our homes, without really considering what would happen if the balloon goes up in Korea. About 25,000 of our 37,000 troops in korea are north of Seoul and thus very close to the DMZ.
If they came across the line in force, at night, 2/3rds of our guys wouldn't be able to wipe sleep from their eyes before the North Koreans would be on top of them. They talk about Seoul being within range of 11,000 artillery pieces. Hell, most of OUR troops are within range of light mortar. The first part of the war would be an utter slaughter for US troops.
Air cover coming from the southern and western part of S. Korea would be relatively useless because of the mountainous terrain. It wouldn't be target practice like in Iraq. This was proven in the first Korean war. Our pilots had incredible difficulty in dropping supplies once the logistics chain got broken, let alone being somewhat benign in actually hitting N. Korean troops.
We had incredible air superiority back then, just like we do today. It made absolutely no difference. We didn't win that war, we just ended up right where we started, 45-50 thousand dead troops later.
Another major problem today, as back then, is the fact that we could never fully invade N.Korea, even if/when we turned the tide with re-inforcements. The moment we got anywhere near the Chinese eastern border, we would have to deal with Chinese troops as well. They are the reason we didn't eventually win that war, and there is nothing to suggest that they wouldn't get involved this time as well. MacArthur got fired because he denied that there were any Chinese involved in the war while at the same time our guys were getting massacred by hit and runs by enormous amount of Chinese troops in western N. Korea.
The Chinese knew the terrain, hiding places, the incredible cold didn't bother them in the least while half of our guys had frostbite, and they disappeared as quickly as they showed up. They just kept coming in waves, and despite the fact that we killed many more of them, than them us, they decided that war. Air and Naval dominance didn't, and could never have helped us up there.
Since 1994, N. Korea has been quiet, with their nuclear program dormant. Yes, they sell arms as that is their only viable 'industry'. Every country sells arms. Quiet, that is, until we lumped them into an 'axis of evil'. That was incredibly stupid considering Bush pretty much already knew we were going to go after Iraq. Now think about it: N. Korea hears the triad of 'evil'that they are a part of in our eyes. We invade one of the members of 'evil' in Iraq. Why in the hell would they not assume that they are next?
A war in N. Korea would not bear any resemblance to the coming war in Iraq. Frankly, it's debatable if we would 'win' the war, in the traditional sense. Would we destroy their nuclear ambitions? Sure. At what cost though? Seoul would be absolutely destroyed and we surely would lose tens of thousands of troops, at best, in a war that would surely drag on endlessly.
I sure as hell hope that this hawkish administration thinks through any plans to strike N. Korea, because I can assure everyone that all the enthusiasm for that war would subside in the first week or two as all the body bags are being flown home.
I for one pray that we are not doomed to repeat history on the Korean peninnsula.
I remember said rhetoric very well, because I was stationed 8 miles south of the DMZ(Camp Casey-Tongduchon for anyone familiar) at the time that Clinton brokered peace, even while he had plans to strike the nuclear facility if necessary. It was every bit as tense and seemingly close to war as it is today, if not more so. We were restricted to post for 3 weeks and on a 'must not drink, must report where you will be etc' for 6 weeks. We all thought for sure that is was going to happen.
I can assure you that it is easy for us to rattle our sabres from the comfort of our homes, without really considering what would happen if the balloon goes up in Korea. About 25,000 of our 37,000 troops in korea are north of Seoul and thus very close to the DMZ.
If they came across the line in force, at night, 2/3rds of our guys wouldn't be able to wipe sleep from their eyes before the North Koreans would be on top of them. They talk about Seoul being within range of 11,000 artillery pieces. Hell, most of OUR troops are within range of light mortar. The first part of the war would be an utter slaughter for US troops.
Air cover coming from the southern and western part of S. Korea would be relatively useless because of the mountainous terrain. It wouldn't be target practice like in Iraq. This was proven in the first Korean war. Our pilots had incredible difficulty in dropping supplies once the logistics chain got broken, let alone being somewhat benign in actually hitting N. Korean troops.
We had incredible air superiority back then, just like we do today. It made absolutely no difference. We didn't win that war, we just ended up right where we started, 45-50 thousand dead troops later.
Another major problem today, as back then, is the fact that we could never fully invade N.Korea, even if/when we turned the tide with re-inforcements. The moment we got anywhere near the Chinese eastern border, we would have to deal with Chinese troops as well. They are the reason we didn't eventually win that war, and there is nothing to suggest that they wouldn't get involved this time as well. MacArthur got fired because he denied that there were any Chinese involved in the war while at the same time our guys were getting massacred by hit and runs by enormous amount of Chinese troops in western N. Korea.
The Chinese knew the terrain, hiding places, the incredible cold didn't bother them in the least while half of our guys had frostbite, and they disappeared as quickly as they showed up. They just kept coming in waves, and despite the fact that we killed many more of them, than them us, they decided that war. Air and Naval dominance didn't, and could never have helped us up there.
Since 1994, N. Korea has been quiet, with their nuclear program dormant. Yes, they sell arms as that is their only viable 'industry'. Every country sells arms. Quiet, that is, until we lumped them into an 'axis of evil'. That was incredibly stupid considering Bush pretty much already knew we were going to go after Iraq. Now think about it: N. Korea hears the triad of 'evil'that they are a part of in our eyes. We invade one of the members of 'evil' in Iraq. Why in the hell would they not assume that they are next?
A war in N. Korea would not bear any resemblance to the coming war in Iraq. Frankly, it's debatable if we would 'win' the war, in the traditional sense. Would we destroy their nuclear ambitions? Sure. At what cost though? Seoul would be absolutely destroyed and we surely would lose tens of thousands of troops, at best, in a war that would surely drag on endlessly.
I sure as hell hope that this hawkish administration thinks through any plans to strike N. Korea, because I can assure everyone that all the enthusiasm for that war would subside in the first week or two as all the body bags are being flown home.
I for one pray that we are not doomed to repeat history on the Korean peninnsula.

