As an addition to a previous thread and without diving to deeply into the intricate stat pile, I thought I would just bring some obvious things to light for those who are in need or are interested.
To those that play run lines, has anyone noticed the disparity between the AL & NL in 1 run games played? Recently, I noted in a post that I usually only play run lines in the AL. The reason for that is that there are considerably more 1 run games in the NL. The NL has played 229 games so far, 71 of which have been decided by 1 run =31%. The AL comes in at 197 games played, 45 by 1 run=22.8%................That is a substantial difference when you have spotting the 1 1/2 in mind. A distinct value advantage in the AL.
Now, The CHICAGO WS have been in only three 1 run games out of 29, or only 10.3% of their games. Likewise, CLEVE has had only 4 out of 29 or 13.8%.Additionally, ARIZ 5 of 29, COLO 5 of 29, DET 5 of 27, KCITY 5 of 27, OAK is 6 of 29, ANA 6 of 28 and BOSTON is 6 of 25. Playing these teams when you like them to win as a run line play instead of a money line fave has gathered in an extra 60 to 90 cents in line value per game on the average.
Note a bit of another pattern here, as CHISOX, CLEVE, DET & K CITY are all in the AL Central. (And MINN is not far behind as the have played in only 7 one run games out of 30)
So, there should be plenty of opportunity for this theory to be played in the upcoming few weeks in that division alone. I say few weeks because the season is young yet and these figures may be turned upside down in another month. I have been working/using it for the past 3 weeks or so (but not as aggressively and steadily as I should have been doing) and will continue on it until it dries up.
BTW, Funny thing I have noted............Who ever talks about, posts pix for or secretely takes the ! 1/2 run line dog? I never see too much action on that end. INPUTfor this here is OK
Hit Em Hard Today...........THE HITMAN
To those that play run lines, has anyone noticed the disparity between the AL & NL in 1 run games played? Recently, I noted in a post that I usually only play run lines in the AL. The reason for that is that there are considerably more 1 run games in the NL. The NL has played 229 games so far, 71 of which have been decided by 1 run =31%. The AL comes in at 197 games played, 45 by 1 run=22.8%................That is a substantial difference when you have spotting the 1 1/2 in mind. A distinct value advantage in the AL.
Now, The CHICAGO WS have been in only three 1 run games out of 29, or only 10.3% of their games. Likewise, CLEVE has had only 4 out of 29 or 13.8%.Additionally, ARIZ 5 of 29, COLO 5 of 29, DET 5 of 27, KCITY 5 of 27, OAK is 6 of 29, ANA 6 of 28 and BOSTON is 6 of 25. Playing these teams when you like them to win as a run line play instead of a money line fave has gathered in an extra 60 to 90 cents in line value per game on the average.
Note a bit of another pattern here, as CHISOX, CLEVE, DET & K CITY are all in the AL Central. (And MINN is not far behind as the have played in only 7 one run games out of 30)
So, there should be plenty of opportunity for this theory to be played in the upcoming few weeks in that division alone. I say few weeks because the season is young yet and these figures may be turned upside down in another month. I have been working/using it for the past 3 weeks or so (but not as aggressively and steadily as I should have been doing) and will continue on it until it dries up.
BTW, Funny thing I have noted............Who ever talks about, posts pix for or secretely takes the ! 1/2 run line dog? I never see too much action on that end. INPUTfor this here is OK
Hit Em Hard Today...........THE HITMAN
