Nov 6th with One Large Game

[bbk]

Had a decent week last week with a couple of mis reads but plan to come back strong this week not a large card but see some very profitable games.

I dont release GOY or crap like that but I love this game. Dont really understand the line movement on this game but thinks its cover large.

Wisconsin 20 units
This will be my largest play YTD as all of you know I have a really good read on Wisky as I have played and won twice this year on the moneyline with them. With Erasmas back and 2 weeks to prepare and with everyone not even mentioning Wisky in the NC debate and AT HOME. I think they come out and absolutely DOMINATE Minny. I will be playing the 1st half also.

Will have more plays later Good luck this weekend

 

[baby johnson]

traditionally these games aa very close...i'd play em for sure on the ml

 

[bbk]

I agree however this week I think this is a perfect spot for Wisky especially with Minny coming off a horrible loss as a 17 pt fav on the road at Indiana; Minny has shown they can be blown out against Mich State and I think Wisky is the best team they have faced ytd!!

 

[bbk]

Adding two play Oreg State +17 1/2 and the money line.
The more and more I look at this game the more and more I like it. Alot of different factors go into my decision. 1st but not foremost; two key injuries will make a difference in this game; Starting WR Mcfoy is out and Starting Guard Drake is out for the game. Although USC does spread the ball around they are not deep at WR and now lose 20 catches which could be big considering they face one of the top rated pass defenses in the country and since USC is one dimensional passing the ball that plays straight into Or State strength. Now Freshman Byers wil take over for Drake however on the road is a whole new story and Or State's different blitzing schemes should give him problems all day long. I believe Or State will be able to move the ball against a USC defense that has not been tested the last couple of weeks but when faced against above average offenses USC has shown that you can move the ball against them. The key to the game will be Anderson and how he holds onto the ball. If he doesnt throw any picks I believe Or State can win this game by double digits however we all know that wont happen so I expect a pretty tight game.

Also looking at Oreg +22
Good luck on your plays

 

[Franky Wright]

Two of my favorite picks BBK!! :clap:

GL to us!!
Franky

 

[bbk]

Thanks Franky; really looking at Oreg +22; I know Cal is this and that but after watching Oreg and how they play defense; I think this defense will be able to physically match up against Cal offense and should produce enough plays to keep them in this game. An outright upset would not surprise me.

 

[bbk]

Adding Virginia -13 1/2
Lost on FSU against MD but with 2 weeks to prepare At home; I think this is a perfect spot for Virginia to rebound here; MD goes back to having no offense and Virg has the horses to put up some points in this game.

 

[Scott4USC]

You are correct BBK that McFoy is out and Drake as well. McFoy out will hurt USC more than Drake. USC has had ton of injuries at WR but like you said USC spreads the ball around.

I have no clue to why you think USC is 1 dimensional. FYI, running back Lendale White will finally be 100% coming into this game. Been playing all year with a bum ankle yet averages over 5 yards per carry and has 9 TD's this year. Bush also averages 5 yards per carry and has 4 rushing TD's. But you say USC is one dimensional? Hope that is not one of the reasons your taking Oregon St.

I also think you are underestimating the Oregon St. OL vs USC DL. OSU has a weak OL (very young) and USC has one of the best DL's in the country. Not to mention the OSU QB is not mobile.

Oregon St. has a 3 game win streak but it was against Washington, Washington St., and ARizona. Maybe the 3 worst teams in the Pac 10.

OSU lost to ASU by double digits and got blown out by CAL and Boise St. CAL beat OSU @OSU by 42pts.

Just something to think about. Hope you nail your Wisconsin bet!

 

[bbk]

The strength of OSU team is their pass defense the strength of USC offense is their passing game and with Mcfoy out that is just one less person for Lienhart to throw to. Anyone that has watched USC play knows they are one dimensional as they cannot move the ball running the ball and Bush is not a factor whatsover running the ball; he is more of a threat as a split out and punt returner. I dont think anyone coming into playing USC is worried about USC running game they are worried about the passing game. Like I said the game will come to Anderson; last year AT USC oregan state dominated on the stats with over 536 yard verus like 350 for USC but five turnovers did them in: This year I expect a different story;

Hopefully you didnt jinx me by playing Wisky

 

[Scott4USC]

BBK you are completely wrong. USC has a very good rushing attack. In fact, many USC fans wish Chow would RUN the ball more instead of pass so much.

Lendale White

117 rushing attempts 625 yards 5.3 ypc 9 TD's

Reggie Bush

91 rushing attempts 471 yards 5.2ypc 4 TD's

USC's third tailback averages over 5 yards per carry as well but on only 26 rushing attempts. How many teams have 3 running backs that average over 5 yards per carry?

Those rushing stats don't impress you? Those rushing stats were produced against a top 10 Strength of Schedule. Lendale White has been playing hurt all year and will be 100% this Sat. against OSU. Show me better rushing stats by 2 players on one team. Bet you can't find too many especially on a team that played a top 10 SOS.

I agree 100% with you that OSU has a great and better defensive backfield. OSU has great DB's and Browner is 6.4 so he will be able to cover Dwane Jarret (Mike Williams clone) USC should struggle at WR position but Chow is the best OC in the country and everyone knows he has a gameplan set up that will work with the players he has playing.

That said, OSU still has to stop USC's talented tight ends AND Reggie Bush out of the backfield. Not to mention USC's great rushing attack. Yes, USC has a great rushing attack. 2 RB's average over 5 yards per carry.

I have no idea how Oregon St. is going to score on the USC defense. If USC does not turn the ball over, I do not expect OSU to score over 14pts. Can the OSU defense hold USC to under 30pts???

You brought up OSU's offensive stats last year. That doesn't mean anything because CARROLL gave OSU EVERYTHING underneath. That defensive philosophy works in college football. Yes you give up a ton of stats but you also create turnovers and frustrate the opposing offense. How many teams score on USC in the red zone? How many TD's has USC given up in the 4th quarter all year? ZERO!

Good luck on the rest of your plays!

 

[RexBudler]

Anyone that has watched USC play knows they are one dimensional as they cannot move the ball running the ball

:142lmao: :142lmao:

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

From Friday's Milwaukee paper

Senior defensive end Erasmus James, sidelined since suffering a left-ankle sprain on Oct. 16 at Purdue, isn't fully recovered and surely will be limited - if he can play at all.

In the midst of an All-American season, James vowed during the bye week he would play against the Gophers. He was not made available for interviews this week but considering this is his last home game at UW, he certainly will do all he can to get on the field.

James' predicament will put more stress on fellow starting end Jonathan Welsh, who is returning from a sprained right ankle suffered against Purdue, and reserve ends Jamal Cooper and Joe Monty.

 

[pt1gard]

Not touching this usc/beavs game ... figure usc to win 14+ (prob worse) ... anyhow, lets not forget the hype when everyone loved the Beavs on MJs (it seemed anyhow) when Cal came to town ....

gl, gregg

 

[bbk]

Everything going according to plan; had a little money on the moneyline on Oreg; that guys doesnt drop the ball at the 20 with 1:34 left and Oreg hands call another loss. I knew when Cal faced a physical team they would fold but did respond nicely in the 2nd half. Played Oreg State on the moneyline and plus the points; looking at one other play may post later
good luck tonight

 

[trolln4walii]

Great call on the Badgers bbk. Congrats also on your Ore and Virg winners. GL with OSU tonight

 

[bbk]

Thanks Troll

Adding La Tech plus the points and the money line; Line continues to move down as I thought it would; Haw doesnt have the home field advantage they used to have; Think La Tech takes advantage here

 

[watrdogg]

Nice job today!

 

[Clem D]

good call

 

[bbk]

My money line play is holding up; Anderson yet to turn it over which is the key; as long as OSU doesnt get conservative they should wrap this up in 30 minutes