I have to be nuts to even take the jets + any points I haven't handicapped this tilt yet great day yesterday NO bet on KC Broncos fuoking Smith just comes up empty vs That Team.
SO we have a HOME DOG on MNF that cannot bEat them selves ......
NO real QB's to speak of a pea shotter offense which only hurts when it hits i
you in the eye. DONT even talk about the Steelers WIN that was 100% system play against steelers any team that creates records in scoring like that twice at home with 3 home games then takes to the Road has fallen s/u and ATS in that 1st road game.
SO what do we have here the Playoff spolier maybe a lil bit .....normally when a team hit's bottom like that loss away 38-3 when home dogged vs a div rival KABOOM s/u winner BUT dolphins do travel well and havent played since last sunday and as usaul as a DOG VS denver Dolphins are $$$ 8-1 ATS now 5 - 3 s/u
This is dangerous spot to lay 7 points on a sunday game.
BUT facto for years MNF games 82% of the time YOU must pick the winner of the game the new saying well not new is "NO COVER DOGS" do not buy points on any MNF game it never works you like dog to cover then forget the points go ML period .......
SO here we have truly pathetic team with QB merry go round a bum fook idiot HC that will be axed come jan 3rd the butt kising loser OC Morningwig only got brought in to philly cause he was friend of reids.
SO naturally MIKE Vick gets taken in by HIM :clap: BRAVO Jets another loser who hasnt finshed any season excpt when with Falcons.
NOW we look at what is left GONE BEST D player Revis plus others that made that team Playoff caliber two years stright and BOY did they shock the world 2nd year in Playoffs Beating Brady and Manning in thier houses
Best WR's GONE NEW RB's are ok but that O line just aint doing it and the offense just cant stay on field long enough to help defense rest every game Defense is logging more minutes whole game and what you get is a loser every week this team finds ways to lose games
NOW i show you thier offense rankings and defense rankings and thier league worst TO differntial vs Dolphins
This is live handicapping and you will not get anybetter than this method my own systems.
OK JETS Offense ranked 29th 5th running 32nd passing defense ranked 7th 4th vs the run 14th vs pass
see that ? NO offense at all in air which turns into defense get waxed sooner or later TURNOVER diff - 12 1 notch above Raiders this will equal into POINTS for Miami at least 17 they have scoring defense which means the D puts the ball in the end zone also!
Dolphins O ranking 17th 9th running 23rd passing not great but 9 points better in air than Jets defense rankings very stout 7th 4th vs the run which destroys Jets run game 14th vs the pass which is easy VS no passing Game from jets TO differntial a Fat +3
now when you have negative number vs a postive number you add them together to get differnce bewteen two points on the 0 line 3 + 12 = 15 .....
looks like this Dolphins . . . 0 . . . . . . . . . . . .Jets -12 now subtract 12 from 3 you get - 9
This is ultra imporatnt when in DIV games ONLY TO's win n lose Games the team that turns the ball over more will lose the game almost 100% of the time.
I know how Vegas creates point spreads they use a team of math guys who use PR for Coach Home field strength of schedule Offense defense etc... really very complicated system BUT it works and dosent work
Last yaers superbowl was a Vegas goof the lowest ranked softest schedule - 2 in to's vs PLUS 21 in TO's the far better defense than phony pony broncos put on the field etc. etc.. and Peyton gets worse loss ever for a HOFER 43-8 waxing OTHER Goofs by Vegas this week Cardinals favored by 2 @ falcons
Game over 1st half even if Larry fitz played it would have same out come! another error Giants - 3
why? look at thier def rankings 31st over all
Funny BUT saints won at steelers by 3 why ? steelers trend before playing begals over all 5-10 ATS with an 0-7 streak run ...now 0-8
SO the only thing that counts in NFL games is What ?
WHAT GOES up on the fooking score board ...
Here we go simple math
Dolphins PF 285 PA 219 = +66 pts divded by 11 games = + 6 points PG - 7 spread makes them -1
Jets PF 177 PA 303 = - 126 pts divvide by 11 = - 11.45 PPG round up to - 11.5 +7 points = - 4.5
ok look at the pcem differnce +6 vs - 11.5 add together heres your possible margin of victory 17.5 points or 17 or 18 thats the real differnce bewteen two teams so now lets do each side of both teams PPG see what toal we come up with ...
Trust me it works !
Dolphins score 25.9 pg make it 26 allow 19.9 pg make it 20
jets score 16 pg allow 27.5 make it 28 so the best scenario Jets will get 20 from miami Dolphins get 28 from jets with NO TO's 28-20 would be the score
Comparable foes Bills at Buffalo Miami lost 10-29 BUT thats their trend vs Div foes off a pats win now 0-5 ATS
Jets way worse 3-38 on neutral field ughhhhh
also dolphins vs Raiders at London 38-14 Jets VS raiders at home no cover -5 19-14 win wait theres more both teams played the bears Jets at NY - 1 1/2 got ears handed to them with GENO at controls 24-17 LOST Miami AT Bears +3 points waxed the Bears 27-14 @ Jags 27-13 then the total annihliation of a playoff caliber team Cahrgers 37-0 MORE games JETS home VS Donkeys got ears handed to them as a 10 pt home dog 31-17 loss Dolphins at Denver as a 7 1/2 dog almost won the game 36-39
NOW i pull up my systems 1st accessing the situations WE have dolphins off a cover win in the 7 1/2 - 18 1/2 or more spread range ummmm 1-3 ats in Div Games w/ 2 s/u losses over past 11 years 75% fading you win
OFF a 1-9 pt margin loss 6-10 VS div w/ 3 s/u Losses 62.5% fading
after 2 stright covers 4-5 in div games 55.55% fading
favored after cashing as dog 1-1 in div games 50% fading ok just loss either way here
after scoring 100 > pts within 5 games or less 20-37 w/14 s/u losses 64.91% fading
BUT since Pats lost Now dolhhins can tie with bills for 2nd place in DIV matter of fact take 2nd Phins beat Pats Bills lost
OK Now JETS 0-7 point spread loss 18-14 in div 56.25% bet on
after a 20 pt > loss 4-2 in div 66.66% Bet on POST a Bills loss none in div games 5-6 vs Non div foes
ok thats it for JETS all postives
i final thing i use is my ATS charts to see who's headed up or going negative
Miami is headed negative last 3 games like this +36 ATS - 1 ATS +9 Ats + 4 ats in other words very little room above the 0 line
jets are like a night mare it gets worse and worse went from the upset win vs steelers +11.5 ATS s/u win to the demolition BY bills - 32.5 ATS as a teeny tiny lil puppy of 2 1/2
This what Vegas does and evry one squares ville only remebers last weeks results, They all figure Jets will get murdered and start sending it on Miami spread gets adjusted higher ......
THE only thing Jets have to play for is thier only MNF game of year on the grand stage no wait i'm wrong this is thier second MNF game 1st one s/u loss to the baers
well i know jets absoualetly stink not only are losing games but they are great fades all year 2-9 ATS
an honest team what you see is what you get fadeing them all year YOUR breaking your locals pockets
at $100 per game you in profit $680 with them add in the other losers ATS Jags 4 -8 Aints 4-8 NYG 4-8 OMG your rich going 33- 14 ATS NET profit $1760
OK now beings this is MNF we cannot ask JETS to Cover and lose the game
MY systems show we have edge taking this home dog BUT i see dog with no teeth as in many games this year many teams NYG +11 at Seattle
Jags many times i just faded them but not last week +14 1/2 @ Colts wtf paid the price again a 20 point loss
I would have to be out of Mind to put even counterfeit on the JETS i see nothing here at all NO pride no motivation Coach losing it bad team from top to bottom with no real QB behind a swiss cheese O line
Home and away they find ways to lose games as most bad teams do.
There fore I will wager $50 on Dolphins - whatever because i can see Miami winning by the margin i predict 18 points !
JETS are down Dolphins Kick them lower or just DO not let them GET above the zero line win the game play against them as you have before Beating them s/u and ATS in NYC and IN Miami
IF Jets Cover I'll be shocked IF JETS win OK shrug it off as 1 of those any given MONDAY's
Waht we have really is puppy dragging tail home with div rival off a s/u loss!
prefer it would be two stright Road dog losses then Home dog vs rival who lost last game
any way lots of time here i say browse other forums see what numb nuts say LOCK of Year OR MNF HUGEEEEEEEEEEEEEE Bet etc... the 100% one that never wins is Quick take this now before line moves
Havent seen that in years but when i spot it on any game i go other way and I won!
YOU lose to the TEAM not THE points rember that recnt Examples Eagles +3 @ Dallas Seahkws +1 @ 49ers Saints + 3 1/2 @ Steelrs Jaghs + 3 vs G men Chargers +6 @ ravens
OO BTW i just noticed opening line tuse on thisgame was only 4.5 wow 3 point up ...... ok no it's 7 at most and 6.5 at others this i guess due to players OUT on JETS team. o/u is 41.5 i say unders dolphins 21 jets 6 or 3 :0008
SO we have a HOME DOG on MNF that cannot bEat them selves ......
NO real QB's to speak of a pea shotter offense which only hurts when it hits i
you in the eye. DONT even talk about the Steelers WIN that was 100% system play against steelers any team that creates records in scoring like that twice at home with 3 home games then takes to the Road has fallen s/u and ATS in that 1st road game.
SO what do we have here the Playoff spolier maybe a lil bit .....normally when a team hit's bottom like that loss away 38-3 when home dogged vs a div rival KABOOM s/u winner BUT dolphins do travel well and havent played since last sunday and as usaul as a DOG VS denver Dolphins are $$$ 8-1 ATS now 5 - 3 s/u
This is dangerous spot to lay 7 points on a sunday game.
BUT facto for years MNF games 82% of the time YOU must pick the winner of the game the new saying well not new is "NO COVER DOGS" do not buy points on any MNF game it never works you like dog to cover then forget the points go ML period .......
SO here we have truly pathetic team with QB merry go round a bum fook idiot HC that will be axed come jan 3rd the butt kising loser OC Morningwig only got brought in to philly cause he was friend of reids.
SO naturally MIKE Vick gets taken in by HIM :clap: BRAVO Jets another loser who hasnt finshed any season excpt when with Falcons.
NOW we look at what is left GONE BEST D player Revis plus others that made that team Playoff caliber two years stright and BOY did they shock the world 2nd year in Playoffs Beating Brady and Manning in thier houses
Best WR's GONE NEW RB's are ok but that O line just aint doing it and the offense just cant stay on field long enough to help defense rest every game Defense is logging more minutes whole game and what you get is a loser every week this team finds ways to lose games
NOW i show you thier offense rankings and defense rankings and thier league worst TO differntial vs Dolphins
This is live handicapping and you will not get anybetter than this method my own systems.
OK JETS Offense ranked 29th 5th running 32nd passing defense ranked 7th 4th vs the run 14th vs pass
see that ? NO offense at all in air which turns into defense get waxed sooner or later TURNOVER diff - 12 1 notch above Raiders this will equal into POINTS for Miami at least 17 they have scoring defense which means the D puts the ball in the end zone also!
Dolphins O ranking 17th 9th running 23rd passing not great but 9 points better in air than Jets defense rankings very stout 7th 4th vs the run which destroys Jets run game 14th vs the pass which is easy VS no passing Game from jets TO differntial a Fat +3
now when you have negative number vs a postive number you add them together to get differnce bewteen two points on the 0 line 3 + 12 = 15 .....
looks like this Dolphins . . . 0 . . . . . . . . . . . .Jets -12 now subtract 12 from 3 you get - 9
This is ultra imporatnt when in DIV games ONLY TO's win n lose Games the team that turns the ball over more will lose the game almost 100% of the time.
I know how Vegas creates point spreads they use a team of math guys who use PR for Coach Home field strength of schedule Offense defense etc... really very complicated system BUT it works and dosent work
Last yaers superbowl was a Vegas goof the lowest ranked softest schedule - 2 in to's vs PLUS 21 in TO's the far better defense than phony pony broncos put on the field etc. etc.. and Peyton gets worse loss ever for a HOFER 43-8 waxing OTHER Goofs by Vegas this week Cardinals favored by 2 @ falcons
Game over 1st half even if Larry fitz played it would have same out come! another error Giants - 3
why? look at thier def rankings 31st over all
Funny BUT saints won at steelers by 3 why ? steelers trend before playing begals over all 5-10 ATS with an 0-7 streak run ...now 0-8
SO the only thing that counts in NFL games is What ?
WHAT GOES up on the fooking score board ...
Here we go simple math
Dolphins PF 285 PA 219 = +66 pts divded by 11 games = + 6 points PG - 7 spread makes them -1
Jets PF 177 PA 303 = - 126 pts divvide by 11 = - 11.45 PPG round up to - 11.5 +7 points = - 4.5
ok look at the pcem differnce +6 vs - 11.5 add together heres your possible margin of victory 17.5 points or 17 or 18 thats the real differnce bewteen two teams so now lets do each side of both teams PPG see what toal we come up with ...
Trust me it works !
Dolphins score 25.9 pg make it 26 allow 19.9 pg make it 20
jets score 16 pg allow 27.5 make it 28 so the best scenario Jets will get 20 from miami Dolphins get 28 from jets with NO TO's 28-20 would be the score
Comparable foes Bills at Buffalo Miami lost 10-29 BUT thats their trend vs Div foes off a pats win now 0-5 ATS
Jets way worse 3-38 on neutral field ughhhhh
also dolphins vs Raiders at London 38-14 Jets VS raiders at home no cover -5 19-14 win wait theres more both teams played the bears Jets at NY - 1 1/2 got ears handed to them with GENO at controls 24-17 LOST Miami AT Bears +3 points waxed the Bears 27-14 @ Jags 27-13 then the total annihliation of a playoff caliber team Cahrgers 37-0 MORE games JETS home VS Donkeys got ears handed to them as a 10 pt home dog 31-17 loss Dolphins at Denver as a 7 1/2 dog almost won the game 36-39
NOW i pull up my systems 1st accessing the situations WE have dolphins off a cover win in the 7 1/2 - 18 1/2 or more spread range ummmm 1-3 ats in Div Games w/ 2 s/u losses over past 11 years 75% fading you win
OFF a 1-9 pt margin loss 6-10 VS div w/ 3 s/u Losses 62.5% fading
after 2 stright covers 4-5 in div games 55.55% fading
favored after cashing as dog 1-1 in div games 50% fading ok just loss either way here
after scoring 100 > pts within 5 games or less 20-37 w/14 s/u losses 64.91% fading
BUT since Pats lost Now dolhhins can tie with bills for 2nd place in DIV matter of fact take 2nd Phins beat Pats Bills lost
OK Now JETS 0-7 point spread loss 18-14 in div 56.25% bet on
after a 20 pt > loss 4-2 in div 66.66% Bet on POST a Bills loss none in div games 5-6 vs Non div foes
ok thats it for JETS all postives
i final thing i use is my ATS charts to see who's headed up or going negative
Miami is headed negative last 3 games like this +36 ATS - 1 ATS +9 Ats + 4 ats in other words very little room above the 0 line
jets are like a night mare it gets worse and worse went from the upset win vs steelers +11.5 ATS s/u win to the demolition BY bills - 32.5 ATS as a teeny tiny lil puppy of 2 1/2
This what Vegas does and evry one squares ville only remebers last weeks results, They all figure Jets will get murdered and start sending it on Miami spread gets adjusted higher ......
THE only thing Jets have to play for is thier only MNF game of year on the grand stage no wait i'm wrong this is thier second MNF game 1st one s/u loss to the baers
well i know jets absoualetly stink not only are losing games but they are great fades all year 2-9 ATS
an honest team what you see is what you get fadeing them all year YOUR breaking your locals pockets
at $100 per game you in profit $680 with them add in the other losers ATS Jags 4 -8 Aints 4-8 NYG 4-8 OMG your rich going 33- 14 ATS NET profit $1760
OK now beings this is MNF we cannot ask JETS to Cover and lose the game
MY systems show we have edge taking this home dog BUT i see dog with no teeth as in many games this year many teams NYG +11 at Seattle
Jags many times i just faded them but not last week +14 1/2 @ Colts wtf paid the price again a 20 point loss
I would have to be out of Mind to put even counterfeit on the JETS i see nothing here at all NO pride no motivation Coach losing it bad team from top to bottom with no real QB behind a swiss cheese O line
Home and away they find ways to lose games as most bad teams do.
There fore I will wager $50 on Dolphins - whatever because i can see Miami winning by the margin i predict 18 points !
JETS are down Dolphins Kick them lower or just DO not let them GET above the zero line win the game play against them as you have before Beating them s/u and ATS in NYC and IN Miami
IF Jets Cover I'll be shocked IF JETS win OK shrug it off as 1 of those any given MONDAY's
Waht we have really is puppy dragging tail home with div rival off a s/u loss!
prefer it would be two stright Road dog losses then Home dog vs rival who lost last game
any way lots of time here i say browse other forums see what numb nuts say LOCK of Year OR MNF HUGEEEEEEEEEEEEEE Bet etc... the 100% one that never wins is Quick take this now before line moves
Havent seen that in years but when i spot it on any game i go other way and I won!
YOU lose to the TEAM not THE points rember that recnt Examples Eagles +3 @ Dallas Seahkws +1 @ 49ers Saints + 3 1/2 @ Steelrs Jaghs + 3 vs G men Chargers +6 @ ravens
OO BTW i just noticed opening line tuse on thisgame was only 4.5 wow 3 point up ...... ok no it's 7 at most and 6.5 at others this i guess due to players OUT on JETS team. o/u is 41.5 i say unders dolphins 21 jets 6 or 3 :0008
