On Campus

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
NCAA YTD: 12-8 (+6.22*)

My GOALS for the season are only +10* in NCAA and +6* in NFL - not terribly ambitious, I suppose - but doubling that with my consistent 1 unit plays (with occasional parlay, like last week) ain't going to happen.

When I have stayed on top of my capping homework during the prior week, which includes a healthy dose during the weekend of watching the games and reporting on television, and following the box scores/drive charts on the internet (and my plays were not one "wrong side" after another), my first instincts at the start of the next week are something I embrace (but verify), rather than fear and outguess. My first instincts were that Louisville and Arizona State were in good spots and had lines with good value, and I made early plays on both after a fair amount of preliminary research (and that research and evaluation process isn't yet finished before either play gets included in any contests on Saturday morning). I also circled two MAC games on Monday as among the best on the board, and would have made a small wager that one or more of the recognized MAC and college football experts on the forum would see the games the same way in their various posts.

Kent State(-7) over Akron (Thursday) (1.25*)
I saw good heart, hustle and discipline for 60 minutes when Kent State played Iowa without the soul of their team (QB Cribbs), and more importantly, rookie HC Martin honestly felt the same way. I expected some solid performances immediately thereafter, and I would say that's what has transpired. Usually stronger as a dog, but I like Kent here in a fairly BIG Wagon Wheel spot against the good-hit, no-field Zips (Cleveland Plain Dealer: "'We're real close,' said (Kent WR Darrell) Dowery. 'We've had nine turnovers in three games, and a lot of them in the red zone. We're real close.' . . . It's the window pane they can't break. It's the scream caught in their throat.") . . . I'm not a big supporter of teams that get destroyed AND shutout in their last game, even less so when they are going back on the road, even less so when they had a short week.

GL
 
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gman2

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Nov 12, 2002
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good luck LIA. very valid point about akron getting shut out on the road and then traveling on a short week.
 

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,529
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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
ONWARD:

Louisville(-7') over North Carolina (1.25*)
- All the dimensions I expected from Louisville have been properly flashing to this point. No can believe this is a good matchup for North Carolina or a bad spot for Louisville.

Arizona State(-7) over Oregon State (1*)
- On top of quite a few matchups and angles I think favor ASU heading into this game, I also like looking at the CNN/USA Today poll and seeing Iowa 24th and Arizona State nowhere to be found.

Purdue(-21) over Illinois (1*)
- Illinois has failed in 11 straight ATS and has looked the part every step of the way. No conference mismatch all season looks more pronounced than this one.

Toledo(-7') over Temple (1*)
- Temple in the Glass Bowl, for crying out load. Making this a big spot for the Rockets is the rugged treatment handed to them on the road that has them slinking home with their tail between their legs.

GL
 
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