One big play for Sunday

[yyz]

YTD:

10-12

-14.9 units
-----------------------------------

I don't know why I am doing this. I lose money every year in the NFL, just like the rest of you, but every once in a while, I think I have a good play. (Until I start bitching about how it went sour.)

I lost almost all of these units on just 3 plays (advocates of the straight wager theory can line up here!) Still.....I am banging this play as a 4 unit play.

I might have Johnny Public/Sqaure written all over my face on this, but how in the hell is Green Bay going to stay in this game?

Bulger has never lost a start in St Louis (8-0) Favre is 11-30 in domes. The Pack is headed one way, while the rams are going the other. So many people up here think the Packers are a good play this week........I ask, "WHY????"

When they are playing well, they fuk up in places like this! Why would you think they are ripe for a play today???:shrug:

Favre will do his usual "3 and out" in the first series, and it will go south from there. A pick here, a fumble there.........it could get ugly fast!

I can't see the pack being in this game at the final gun.

4 units:
St Louis -3' -110

 

[bej0101]

 

[JOE IN NY]

I saw this and thought you may like to read it.

Green Bay at St. Louis. The first and most glaringly obvious thing to note is that Bulger is undefeated at home this year. Not saying a LOT but take into consideration that I don't think the Packers travel well at all. This season in their 2 road games with Chicago and Arizona, both of which are ABYSSMAL teams, they've scored 51 points total and allowed 43. Again, this was to 2 teams standing at a combined 2-9 SU! Further, those 2 teams' scoring defenses currently rank 30th and dead last (32nd) in the league...and the Packers LOST to one of them! St. Louis' scoring defense currently ranks 8th in the league, allowing 16 points per game overall and only 13 ppg at home. While the Packers scoring defense is ranked 20th in the league, allowing 22 points per game overall and 21.5 ppg on the road. I don't think I even need to look further but I'll do it anyway. Pack on the road is averaging scoring 25.5 ppg. St. Louis is scoring almost 33 ppg at home. How much more does anyone need? I think St. Louis wins this by at least a touchdown so I'll lay the measely 4 points and take St. Louis for 2 units. I also really like this to stay under the 49 point total for 2 units.

 

[baby johnson]

gb may surprise a few people here by controlling the clock and game...

gl yyz

fellow wisconsinite

 

[djv]

I want to keep hopw alive for al us wiskys. But unless we find a D'fs back field over night. Well St Lou is right side. I think over is good play to.