one game that i really like.........

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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i haven't been posting my nfl plays because i haven't been doing well on sundays. but i do like......

6*houston+9.........


imo, indy is an over rated team because of their terrible defense.

indy has faced 4 teams that average 5.5 yppl or more for the season & they have allowed an average of 33 points & 27 or more points in each of those games to n.e., g.b.,k.c. & minn.(without moss). houston averages 5.6 yppl on offense, so if they score 27 points, i like my chances for covering against an indy team that averages 31 points per game vs. teams that are collectively worse defensively than houston.

a couple of angles.........

play against any nfl favorite who was favored in each of it's last 3 games & is off 3 consecutive ats losses if they scored at least 28 points in their most recent game.

since 1980....ats record is 22-6 (78%)


favorites that have allowed 25 or more pts. in consecutive games are 20-41-1 ats (32.7%) since 1989 if their opponent lost by more than 10 points in their last game.

play against indy.

i read on another forum that teams (haven't been able to verify) that win on monday night usually don't cover the following sunday.


good luck.
 

loophole

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Jul 14, 1999
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really want to play the texans but i have a personal rule against playing public dogs (today houston and tampa bay). will pull for a winner for you though. g/l today.
 

CrazyHorse

giveit2 21
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Nov 29, 2000
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glad to see you like it. It is probably my strongest play today (I play all my games the same amount as I realized I do better in the end that way). I know that MNF angle has not been as strong the last few years but I have teams the following week are 1-6 ats this year including a few outright upsets (TEN lose to HOU, STL lose to MIA, NYJ lose to BUF).

Also Dallas and KC both had bye weeks the week after their MNF wins. But their next game they went a combined 0-2 (ATS and SU). So it could be argued teams are 1-8 ATS (and the majority of those outright losses as favorites) the next game.
 

Irish

Green&Orange
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Jan 8, 2004
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GL AR
It's a pass for me cause they got stomped at denver. Good luck this weekend!

Cheers
Irish
 
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